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molova

molova's Journal
molova's Journal
September 27, 2016

My dad was watching Univision. He told me he saw a poll on the screen that said 92%-8%

Univision must have run a live debate poll. Clinton was the one with 92%, obviously.

September 26, 2016

Clinton +3 in Ohio

Targetsmart poll. Phone/Web convo. Just like PPP. https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/780497409361055744

September 26, 2016

Instapolls are the best judge of who won the debate

Polls that ask people right away who they thought won the debate are the best tool to judge debate performance, because debate watchers have had minimal exposure to pundits' preferred narrative.

Even debate polls conducted 1 day or 2 days laters are tainted because respondents have mixed pundit opinion with their initial, untainted opinion.

And I'm talking about scientific polls only, not website polls open to anyone aged 8-100 or people living in Mongolia or Chile.

September 26, 2016

I'm wary of Andrea Mitchell and Amy Chozick tonight

These two Hillary haters may set the tone in pretending that Hillary lost the debate due to a cough or wink or some other non-policy related factor.
Keep an eye on them.

September 26, 2016

Politico reporter, on Trump: "if he does passably, we’ll all say he won,”

Today the Washington Post reports that the mainstream media is setting extremely low bar for Donald Trump. to the point that Politico admited last week that "if he does passably, we’ll all say he won,”:

“I think that Trump is buoyed by the very low expectations. This is a guy who’s never debated one-on-one … So if he does passably, we’ll all say he won,” a Politico reporter said last week. The headline of a lead story on Politico this morning, citing anonymous “insiders,” declares that “The heat is on Hillary.”


The reporter is not named in the WaPo piece

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/daily-202/2016/09/26/daily-202-trump-wins-the-debate-expectations-game/57e862bce9b69b3019a1e036/

September 26, 2016

Let's be loud and prolific on Twitter and Facebook

One of the reasons Trump is close to Clinton is the loudness and large number of lying deplorables spreading lies in Twitter and Facebook.
If you do not have a Twitter account, get one. If you don't post news (favorable to Democrats) on Facebook, do so.

I personally use Twitter a lot. Three hashtags you should be using today are #Debates2016, #Debates and #Debatenight

Right wingnuts will be trying to make stuff up via those hashtags, and we can neutralize them. Remember, we are more than they are. They are just more prolific in social media. We must end that.

I personally post frequently based on stories on "Late Breaking News" in DU, which is my opinion the greatest source of news in the nation, where media drivel and Republican-friendly MSM garbage is kept to a minimum.

Politifact will have a live fact-check in their website. Feel free to tweet those fact-checks (which are likely to be dominated by debunkings of Trump's BS).

Also there's a funny but very useful hashtag trending (#TrumpSoftballs).

Tweet, tweet, tweet.

September 25, 2016

Obama leads Romney by 2 ahead of first debate (Washington Post/ABC (Sept. 26-29)

"Registered voters by 2-1 think Barack Obama will win the upcoming presidential debates and go
on to prevail in the November election. But expectations aside, the race remains close, with
strengths and vulnerabilities for both candidates in the campaign ahead."
"
http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1141a1IntotheDebates.pdf

September 24, 2016

Is Russia helping Trump win so he can lift economic sanctions?

From an article today at CNBC:

"In particular, members of the intelligence community are concerned that Carter Page has spoken with the Kremlin about the possibility of lifting economic sanctions on Russia, sources told Yahoo.

Page and Trump's campaign did not immediately respond to requests for comment."

http://www.cnbc.com/2016/09/23/trump-foreign-policy-advisor-reportedly-being-probed-for-ties-to-russia.html

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