AOCrocks
AOCrocks's JournalWhy so many Conservatives on Real Time tonight?
And only Jonathan Alter to counter them.
Which of the current candidates are most likely running for VP?
I ask this for two reasons. In such a crowded field, it is evident that most of the current candidates won't last too long.
Also, Obama picked Biden who was an early candidate. Kerry picked Edwards. Reagan picked Bush. Some think that if Clinton had picked Sanders for VP, she would have won.
So whom among the current candidates is more likely to be VP than the Presidential nominee?
CNN: 2020 Rankings
2. Joe Biden: No one confounds us more than the former vice president. Biden continues to lead national polling and has strength in all the early states. Polling indicates that many of the qualities voters are looking for fit well with Biden's resume. He can probably pick up a number of endorsements when he declares. Importantly, there are more and more signs Biden will actually run. Biden, though, has weaknesses. He has a long record that can easily be attacked. Democratic voters are not enthusiastic about nominating someone over the age of 75. He could also be stale from not having run a campaign for a long time. We wonder how much of his polling advantage will evaporate once he is no longer just President Barack Obama's vice president and he is his own entity. (Previous ranking: 2)
1. Kamala Harris: The California senator has held down the top spot in our rankings for five straight months now. She continues to run a practically flawless campaign, a hard thing to do for someone who is doing this for the first time. The only potential hurdle for Harris is the nominating calendar; if she doesn't win, place or show in Iowa or New Hampshire, does that make her less viable in her must-win state of South Carolina? If she can make it that far, the map gets friendlier, with the massive treasure trove of California's delegates waiting in early March. (Previous ranking: 1)
https://www.cnn.com/2019/03/07/politics/2020-democrats-rankings/index.html
FDR, JFK, LBJ The greatest Dems of the 20th century
were known by their initials.
Who will be next great Dem known by their initials?
Moderate vs. Progressive
There has been a lot of talk about what type of nominee the party should go with for 2020. Should we choose someone from the moderate wing or someone more progressive. There are pluses and minuses to both.
In the past the party has usually nominated the more moderate candidate running in the primaries, such as Bill Clinton. However, it can be argued that while more of a moderate that Barack Obama was more progressive than Hillary Clinton. So which is the best direction to go in 2020.
Going with a more progressive candidate (such as Warren or Sanders) would excite the base which is where the energy in the party is at the moment. The danger here is that white working class voters, who voted for Obama and then defected to Trump, in states like Michigan and Pennsylvania might be alienated by a candidate who is too progressive and either stay home or vote for Trump again.
A more moderate candidate (like Klobuchar or Biden) would bring back these voters. However, someone more moderate might not excite Progressive voters and like in 2000 & 2016, they might vote for a third party candidate (E.G. Jill Stein) or stay home.
It is a bit of a conundrum. I curious as to what others here think. And which of the current candidates would be considered a moderate or progressive.
Just remember: Polls in February 2007
Had Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani in the lead for their party's nominations.
A lot can happen in the next year.
I always laugh at right wingers
when the brag about the ratings of FAUX News. Like that really means something.
DNC to request 2020 candidates affirm they'll run and serve as Democrats
By Adam Levy, CNN
(CNN) The Democratic National Committee plans to meet with 2020 campaigns next week to hand out an "affirmation form" for candidates to sign and certify they will run and serve as members of the Democratic Party, a DNC official said Tuesday.
The announcement follows Bernie Sanders' entry into the 2020 campaign earlier Tuesday — his second consecutive presidential election. An independent who caucuses with Democrats in the Senate, Sanders rankled some Democrats in 2016 when he ran for the nomination even though he wasn't an official member of the party.
DNC members passed a new rule last August, which was seen as a response to the Sanders campaign, requiring all candidates "to affirm in writing" that they "are a member of the Democratic Party, will accept the Democratic nomination; will run and serve as a member of the Democratic Party."
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