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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
October 26, 2022

US Senate seats in states that Democrats will win in 2022 by a single digit margin according to 538.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
Single Digit margin
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)



October 25, 2022

US Senate seats in the states that the Democrats will win 2022 in order to remain in the majority.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50/51)GA(Warnock-D) and NV(Cortez Masto-D)


October 25, 2022

US Senate seats in the states that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to slight margin.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)


October 24, 2022

US Senate seats in states up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win.

Less than a 5 percent margin.
NV(Cortez Masto-D) 1 percent
PA(Fetterman-D) 2 percent
GA(Warnock-D) 3 percent
AZ(Kelly-D) 4 percent.
Between a 5 to 10 percent margin.
NH(Hassan-D) 5.5 percent.
CO(Bennet-D) 7.5 percent.
WA(Murray-D) 9.5 percent.
Between a 10 to 15 percent margin.
CT(Blumenthal-D) 11 percent.
IL(Duckworth-D) 14 percent.
Between a 15 to 20 percent margin.
OR(Wyden-D) 15.5 percent.
NY(Schumer-D) 19.5 percent.
Between a 20 to 25 percent margin.
VT(Welch-D) 21 percent
MD(Van Hollen-D) 24 percent.
Between a 25 to 30 percent margin.
CA(Padilla-D) 25.5 percent
HI(Schatz-D) 29.5 percent.




October 24, 2022

US Senate seats in states up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats are favored to win.

HI(Schatz-D)
CA(Padilla-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
VT(Welch-D)
NY(Schumer-D)
OR(Wyden-D)
IL(Duckworth-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D)
WA(Murray-D)
CO(Bennet-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
AZ(Kelly-D)
Tossup US Senate Races that the Democrats will end up winning.
GA(Warnock-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)





October 23, 2022

Tossup US Senate Races that the Democrats need to win in 2022 in order to remain in the majority.

GA runoff(Warnock-D will finish in 1st place in 11/2022 but will not get over 50 percent of the popular vote.) Warnock is definitely going to win in the 12/2022 runoff.
PA(Fetterman-D) margin of victory will be similar to Biden’s margin of victory in the 2020 US Presidential Election in PA.

Democrats are favored to win,
AZ(Kelly-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
CO(Bennet-D)
WA(Murray-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D)
IL(Duckworth-D)
OR(Wyden-D)
NY(Schumer-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
VT(Welch-D)
CA(Padilla-D)
HI(Schatz-D).

Wave elections are NV,OH,NC and WI.

October 23, 2022

US Senate seats in the states that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a less than 5 percent margin.

NV(Cortez Masto-D) .5 percent margin.
PA(Fetterman-D) 2 percent margin.
GA(Warnock-D) 3 percent margin
AZ(Kelly-D) 4.5 percent margin.
US Senate seats in the states that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a 5 to 10 percent margin.
NH(Hassan-D) 6.5 percent margin.
CO(Bennet-D) 8.5 percent margin.
US Senate seats in the states that the Democrats will win in 2022 by 10 to 15 percent margin.
WA(Murray-D) 10.5 percent margin.
CT(Blumenthal-D) 12.5 percent margin.
IL(Duckworth-D) 14.5 percent margin.
US Senate seats in the states that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a 15 to 20 percent margin.
OR(Wyden-D) 16.5 percent margin.
NY(Schumer-D) 18.5 percent margin.
US Senate seats in the states that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a 20 to 25 percent margin.
MD(Van Hollen-D) 20.5 percent margin.
CA(Padilla-D) 22.5 percent margin.
VT(Welch-D) 24.5 percent margin.
US Senate seats in the states that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a more than 25 percent margin.
HI(Schatz-D)






October 23, 2022

US Senate seats in the states the Democrats will win in 2022 by a less than 5 percent margin.

NV(Cortez Masto-D) no clear favorite. .5 percent margin.
PA(Fetterman-D) 1.5 percent margin.
GA(Warnock-D) 2.5 percent margin.
AZ(Kelly-D) 3.5 percent margin.
US Senate seats in the states the Democrats will win in 2022 by a 5 to 10 percent margin.
NH(Hassan-D) 5.5 percent margin.
CO(Bennet-D) 7.5 percent margin.
WA(Murray-D) 9.5 percent margin.
US Senate seats in the states the Democrats will win in 2022 by a 10 to 15 percent margin.
CT(Blumenthal-D) 11.5 percent margin.
IL(Duckworth-D) 13.5 percent margin.
US Senate seats in the states the Democrats will win in 2022 by a 15 to 20 percent margin.
OR(Wyden-D) 16.5 percent margin.
NY(Schumer-D) 19.5 percent margin.
US Senate seats in the states the Democrats will win in 2022 by a 20 to 25 percent margin.
MD(Van Hollen-D) 22.5 percent margin.
US Senate seats in the states the Democrats will win in 2022 by a 25 to 30 percent margin.
CA(Padilla-D). 25.5 percent margin.
VT(Welch-D) 28.5 percent margin.
US Senates seats in the states the Democrats will win in 2022 by a more than 30 percent margin.
HI(Schatz-D)







October 23, 2022

US Senate seats in the states the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to slight margin.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)



October 23, 2022

US Senate seats in states that the Democrats will win in 2022 .

NV(Cortez Masto-D) less than 1 percent margin.
PA(Fetterman-D) between 1 to 2 percent margin.
GA(Warnock-D) between 2 to 3 percent margin.
AZ(Kelly-D) between 3 to 4 percent margin.
NH(Hassan-D) between 4 to 6 percent margin.
CO(Bennet-D) between 6 to 8 percent margin.
WA(Murray-D) between 8 to 10 percent margin.
CT(Blumenthal-D) between 10 to 12 percent margin.
IL(Duckworth-D) between 12 to 14 percent margin.
OR(Wyden-D) between 14 to 17 percent margin.
NY(Schumer-D) between 17 to 20 percent margin.
MD(Van Hollen-D) between 20 to 23 percent margin.
CA(Padilla-D) between 23 to 26 percent margin.
VT(Welch-D) between 26 to 29 percent margin.
HI(Schatz-D) more than a 29 percent margin.





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