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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 09:37 AM
Number of posts: 7,762

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US Senate seats in the states that the Democrats will win in 2022 based on the margin of victory.

Less than 1 percent margin.
OH(Ryan-D)maybe
NV(Cortez Masto-D) maybe
Between a 1 to 2 percent margin.
PA(Fetterman-D)
Between a 2 to 3 percent margin.
GA(Warnock-D)
Between a 3 to 4 percent margin.
AZ(Kelly-D)
Between a 4 to 6 percent margin.
NH(Hassan-D)
Between a 6 to 8 percent margin.
CO(Bennet-D)
Between a 8 to 10 percent margin.
WA(Murray-D)
Between a 10 to 12 percent margin.
CT(Blumenthal-D)
Between a 12 to 15 percent margin.
IL(Duckworth-D)
Between a 15 to 18 percent margin.
OR(Wyden-D)
Between a 18 to 21 percent margin.
NY(Schumer-D)
Between a 21 to 24 percent margin.
CA(Padilla-D)
Between a 24 to 27 percent margin.
MD(Van Hollen-D)
Between a 27 to 30 percent margin.
VT(Welch-D)
More than a 30 percent margin.
HI(Schatz-D)









Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Oct 22, 2022, 10:41 PM (0 replies)

US Senate seats up in 2022 in states that the Democrats will win by a less than 10 percent margin.

WA(Murray-D) 9 to 11 percent.
CO(Bennet-D) 7 to 9 percent.
NH(Hassan-D) 5 to 7 percent.
AZ(Kelly-D) 3 to 5 percent.
PA(Fetterman-D) 2 to 3 percent
GA runoff (Warnock-D) 1 to 2 percent.
NV(Cortez Masto-D) less than 1 percent.




US Senate seats up in 2022 in states that the Democrats will win by a more than 10 percent margin.
HI(Schatz-D) more than 35 percent.
VT(Welch-D)31 to 35 percent.
CA(Padilla-D)27 to 31 percent
MD(Van Hollen-D)23 to 27 percent.
NY(Schumer-D) 20 to 23 percent.
OR(Wyden-D) 17 to 20 percent.
IL(Duckworth-D) 14 to 17 percent.
CT(Blumenthal-D)11 to 14 percent.
WA(Murray-D) 9 to 11 percent.
CO(Bennet-D) 7 to 9 percent.
NH(Hassan-D) 5 to 7 percent.
AZ(Kelly-D) 3 to 5 percent.
PA(Fetterman-D) 2 to 3 percent.
GA(Warnock-D) 1 to 2 percent.
NV(Cortez Masto-D) less than 1 percent.
The 52nd US Senate seat for Democrats will be OH(Ryan-D)





Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Oct 22, 2022, 06:36 PM (1 replies)

2022 Democratic US Senate Nominee's margin of victory.

Less than a 1 percent margin.
(NV-Cortez Masto-D)
Between a 1 percent to a 2 percent margin.
(PA-Fetterman-D)
Between a 2 percent to a 3 percent margin.
(GA-Warnock-D)
Between a 3 percent to a 4.5 percent margin.
(AZ- Kelly-D)
Between a 4.5 percent to a 6 percent margin.
(NH-Hassan-D)
Between a 6 percent to a 7.5 percent margin.
(CO-Bennet-D)
Between a 7.5 percent to a 9.5 percent margin.
(WA-Murray-D)
Between a 9.5 percent to a 11.5 percent margin.
(CT- Blumenthal-D)
Between a 11.5 percent to a 13.5 percent margin.
(IL- Duckworth-D)
Between a 13.5 percent to a 16 percent margin.
(OR- Wyden-D)
Between a 16 percent to a 18.5 percent margin.
(NY- Schumer-D)
Between a 18.5 percent to a 21 percent margin.
(VT- Welch-D)
Between a 21 percent to a 24 percent margin.
(MD- Van Hollen-D)
Between a 24 percent to a 27 percent margin.
(CA- Padilla-D)
More than a 27 percent margin.
(HI- Schatz-D)

Democrats will fall short in WI,OH,and NC.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Oct 22, 2022, 04:26 PM (3 replies)

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 from a solid to slight margin.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)

















Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Oct 22, 2022, 01:47 PM (1 replies)

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 from a solid to slight margin.

Over 24 percent margin.
HI(Schatz-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
CA(Padilla-D)
Between a 18 to 24 percent margin.
VT(Welch-D)
NY(Schumer-D)
OR(Wyden-D)
Between a 12 to 18 percent margin.
IL(Duckworth-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D)
WA(Murray-D)
Between a 6 to 12 percent margin.
CO(Bennet-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
AZ(Kelly-D)
Less than a 6 percent margin.
GA(Warnock-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Oct 22, 2022, 07:38 AM (0 replies)

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats are favored to win.

HI(Schatz-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
CA(Padilla-D)
VT(Welch-D)
NY(Schumer-D)
OR(Wyden-D)
IL(Duckworth-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D)
WA(Murray-D)
CO(Bennet-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
AZ(Kelly-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)

NV is going to be by a less than 1 percent margin.







Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Oct 22, 2022, 01:18 AM (0 replies)

US Senate Races in the states that the Democrats will win in 2022 from a strong to weak margin.

US Senate Races in the states that have a +DPVI.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
US Senate Races in the swing states that have a strong Democrat vs a weak Republican.
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)

I doubt that NV is going Democrat because Laxalt-R has been leading in most of the recent public opinion polls and there has not and will not be going to be any debates for the NV US Senate Race which could help Cortez Masto-D.


Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Oct 21, 2022, 06:57 PM (1 replies)

If Malcolm Kenyatta won the Democratic nomination for the US Senate, How would he do against Dr. Oz?

Would PA voters be inclined to vote for a young gay black male from Philadelphia for a statewide(US Senate) office?
John Fetterman will win but by a narrow margin.
Conor Lamb is the PA’s Tim Ryan/ Dr Oz is the PA’s JD Vance.

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Oct 21, 2022, 07:11 AM (7 replies)

To the Democrats in PA that are concerned about Fetterman's health and crime.

Democratic Attorney General Josh Shapiro will be the next Governor of PA. Josh Shapiro will focus on reducing the crime rate in PA. Governor Shapiro will pick Fetterman’s US Senate successor. Malcolm Kenyatta or Connor Lamb.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Oct 21, 2022, 06:44 AM (10 replies)

Democrats guide to majority in the US Senate in 2022 is to win-

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)






Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Oct 21, 2022, 05:54 AM (4 replies)
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