nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's Journal2017 AL US Senate Election- If a guy in AL came out in public and said he had an inappropriate
sexual relationship with then AL prosecutor Roy Moore 3 to 4 decades ago, Would this be a demise to the Moore campaign?
For the record- AL conservative voters believe that being homosexual is a bigger sin than being a heterosexual pedophile.
2017 AL US Senate Election- Will a public endorsement from the family of the late Howell Heflin
help Doug Jones win on December 12,2017. Heflin was the last Democratic US Senator from AL (1979-1997). Jones worked for Heflin.
If Doug Jones wins on December 12,2017. Will Jones follow Heflin's lead and remain as a Democrat or follow Shelby's lead and switch to the Republican party?
2020 US Senate Election-Non White Big City Democratic Mayors running for the US Senate.
CO (Gardner-R) vs Hancock-(D-Denver)
GA (Perdue-R)vs Reed-(D-Atlanta)
2018 MS US Senate Race- What are Mike Moore's chances if he runs?
Mike Moore- the former MS AG who filed lawsuits against big tobacco.
2018/2020 US Senate Election-Democrats guide to a regaining control of the US Senate.
2018
Democrats will pick up
AZ Regular (Sinema-D)49
AZ Special (Kelly-D)50
NV (Rosen-D)51
However Democrats could lose couple of Trump State Democratic incumbents up for re-election.
IN (Donnelly-D)50
MO (McCaskill-D)49
2020
Democrats will hold onto every Democratic held seat in 2020 including Peters-MI,Franken-MN,Shaheen-NH,and Warner-VA due to the 2020 Democratic Presidential Nominee's coattails. 49D
Democrats will pick up
CO (Perlmutter-D)50
NC (Ross-D)51
2022
Democrats will hold onto every Democratic held seat in 2022 including Kelly-AZ,Bennet-CO,Cortez Masto-NV,and Hassan-NH due to an increase Hispanic VAP in AZ,CO, and NV. I expect Hassan-NH to win re-election in 2022. 51
Democrats could pick up Open Republican held seats in
NC (OPEN-Burr-R) Martin-D 52
WI (OPEN-Johnson-R) Kind-D 53
Other seats Democrats need to target in 2020 and 2022
2020
GA (Perdue-R)Evans-D
ME if Collins-R retires or faces a primary challenge from LePage-R or Poliquin-R- Pingree-D
MT (Daines-R)Bullock-D
TX (Cornyn-R)either of the Castro twins-D
2022
FL (Rubio-R)Castor-D
GA if Isakson-R retires or faces a primary challenge.-Ossoff-D
PA (Toomey-R)Cartwright- D
2017 AL US Senate Election-2020 US Senate Election-If Moore-R wins next month and gets seated.
Will Moore-R run for re-election in 2020?
Will Moore-R face a tough Republican primary challenge in 2020?
Will Moore-R survive a tough Republican primary challenge in 2020?
Will the Democrats target the AL US Senate Seat again in 2020?
Who will be the Democratic nominee in the 2020 AL US Senate Race?
Doug Jones rematch?
Walter Maddox?
Bobby Bright?
Will Moore-R win again in 2020?
2018 US Senate Election-if Democrats target every Republican held seat.
AZ(OPEN-Flake-R)Sinema-D Lean Democratic
MS (Wicker-R) Hood-D Likely Republican
NE (Fischer-R) Solid Republican
NV ( Heller-R) Rosen-D Lean Democratic
TN (OPEN-Corker-R) Bredesen-D Likely Republican
TX (Cruz-R) O'Rourke-D Lean Republican
UT (Hatch-R)Matheson-D Likely Republican
WY ( Barrasso-R) Freudenthal-D Likely Republican
2018 US House Election-Districts Democrats should target.
AL-1 (Byrne-R)
AL-2 (Roby-R)
AL-3 (Rogers-R)
AL-5 (Brooks-R)
Tie Each of the AL Republican US House incumbents to Roy Moore.
AK-AL (Young-R)get Begich-D to run.
AZ-2 (McSally-R)
AZ-6 (Schweikert-R)
AR-2 (Hill-R)
CA-8 (Cook-R)
CA-10 (Denham-R)
CA-22 (Nunes-R)
CA-25 (Knight-R)
CA-39 (Royce-R)
CA-42 (Calvert-R)
CA-45 (Walters-R)
CA-48 (Rohrabacher-R)
CA-49 (Issa-R)
CO-3 (Tipton-R)
CO-6 (Coffman-R)
FL-3 (Yoho-R)
FL-6 (DeSantis-R)
FL-12 (Bilakaris-R)
FL-15 (Ross-R)
FL-16 (Buchanan-R)
FL-18 (Mast-R)
FL-25 (Diaz Balart-R)
FL-26 (Curbelo-R)
FL-27 ( Ros-Lehtinen-R)
GA-1 (Carter-R)
GA-6 ( Handel-R)
GA-7 (Woodall-R)
GA-12 (Allen-R)
IL-6 ( Roskam-R)
IL-12 (Bost-R)
IL-13 ( Davis-R)
IL-14 ( Hultgren-R)
IL-16 (Kinzinger- R)
IN-5 (Brooks-R)
IA-1 (Blum-R)
IA-3 ( Young-R)
KS-2 (Jenkins-R)Davis-D
KS-3 ( Yoder-R)
KS-4 ( Estes-R) Thompson-D
KY-6 (Barr-R)
ME-2 ( Poliquin-R)
MI-1 ( Bergman-R)
MI-2 (Huizenga-R)
MI-3 ( Amash-R)
MI-6 ( Upton-R)
MI-7 ( Walberg-R)
MI-8 (Bishop-R)
MI-11 ( Trott-R)
MN-2 ( Lewis-R)
MN-3 ( Paulsen-R)
MO-2 (Wagner-R)
MT-AL ( Gianforte-R)
NE-2 (Bacon-R)
NV-2 (Amodei-R)
NJ-2 ( LoBiondo-R)
NJ-3 ( McArthur-R)
NJ-4 (Smith-R)
NJ-7 (Lance-R)
NJ-11 ( Frelinghuysen-R)
NM-2 (Pearce-R)
NY-1 ( Zeldin-R)
NY-2 ( King-R)
NY-11 ( Donovan-R)
NY-19 ( Faso-R)
NY-21 ( Stefanick-R)
NY-22 ( Tenney-R)
NY-23 (Reed-R)
NY-24 ( Katko-R)
NC-2 ( Holding-R)
NC-6 (Walker-R)
NC-7 (Rouzer-R)
NC-8 (Hudson-R)
NC-9 (Pittenger-R)
NC-13 ( Budd-R)
OH-1 (Chabot-R)
OH-2 (Weinstrup-R)
OH-7 (Tiberi-R)
OH-14 (Joyce-R)
OH-15 (Stivers-R)
OH-16 (Rennacci-R)
PA-6 ( Costello-R)
PA-7 ( Meehan-R)
PA-8 ( Fitzpatrick-R)
PA-15 (Dent-R)
PA-16 ( Smucker-R)
SC-5 (Northam-R)
SC-7 (Rice-R)
TX-6 (Barton-R)
TX-7 ( Culberson-R)
TX-10 (McCaul-R)
TX-23 ( Hurd-R)
TX-24 (Marchant-R)
TX-32 (Sessions-R)
UT-4 ( Love-R) McAdams- D)
VA-1 (Wittman-R)
VA-2 ( Taylor-R)
VA-5 (Garrett-R)
VA-7 (Brat-R)
VA-10 ( Comstock-R)
WA-3 ( Herrara-Beutler-R)
WA-5 (McMorris Rogers-R)
WA-8 ( Reichert-R)
WI-1 (Ryan-R)
WI-6 (Grothman-R)
WI-7 (Duffy-R)
WI-8 (Gallagher-R)
I hear some good news in New Jersey.
A recently dismissed juror in the Menendez trial has stated she would have voted not guilty on all counts and majority of the jurors are saying not guilty. The juror is expecting a hung jury verdict.
This means Menendez gets retried and he gets to remain in the US Senate until after Murphy gets inaugurated.
2017/2018 US Senate Election-Democrats guide to regaining control of the US Senate is 2 scenarios.
Scenario 1
All Trump State Democratic incumbent US Senators (McCaskill-MO,Donnelly-IN,Nelson-FL,Brown-OH,Baldwin-WI,Casey-PA,Stabenow-MI,Manchin-WV,Heitkamp-ND,and Tester-MT) win re-election. 48D
Democrats pick up AL (Jones-D) on December 2017, AZ (Sinema-D) and NV (Rosen-D) in 2018. 51D
Scenario 2
All Trump State Democratic incumbent US Senators win re-election. 48D
Democrats pick up AZ (Sinema-D),NV (Rosen-D),and UT (Wilson-D with McMullin-I in the race taking votes away from Hatch/Romney-R).
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