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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
November 4, 2021

Likely Democratic nominee for the 2025 VA Governors Election.

Abigail Spanberger-D.
Narrowly loses re-election in 2022 in a Republican leaning US House District.
Elaine Luria-D
Narrowly wins re-election in 2022 in a Republican leaning US House District.

November 3, 2021

Looking at the VA Gubernatorial,Lt Gubernatorial, and Attorney General Elections!

Democrats lose after being in office for 2 to 3 terms while Republican lose after being in office for 1 to 2 terms.
1981 Robb-D
1985 Baililes-D
1989 Wilder-D
1993 Allen-R
1997 Gilmore-R
2001 Warner-D
2005 Kaine-D
2009 McDonnell-R
2013 McAuliffe-D
2017 Northam-D
2021 Youngkin-R


November 3, 2021

Number of electoral votes the 2024 Democratic Presidential nominee are likely to get.

CA-54
CO-10(64)
CT-7(71)
DE-3(74)
DC-3(77)
HI-4(81)
IL-19(100)
ME-1cd(101)
MD-10(111)
MA-11(122)
NJ-14(136)
NM-5(141)
NY-28(169)
OR-8(177)
RI-4(181)
VT-3(184)
VA-13(197)
WA-12(209)
ME-2(211)
MN-10(221)
NE-2cd(222)
NH-4(226)
MI-15(241)
NV-6(247)
PA-19(266)
AZ-11,GA-16, or WI-10.



November 3, 2021

Despite losing in VA in 2021, Democrats did a lot better than they did in 2009.

Governor- Creigh Deeds-D lost to Bob McDonnell-R by a double digit margin.
Lt Governor- Jody Wagner-D lost to Bill Bolling-R by a double digit margin.
Attorney General- Steve Shannon-D lost to Ken Cuccinelli-R by a double digit margin.

Democrats lost the 2021 VA Gubernatorial, Lt Gubernatorial, and Attorney General Election by a less than 2.5 percent margin.

November 3, 2021

Glenn Youngkin-R will be the Republican nominee for US Senate in 2024 or 2026.

VA is a 1 term elected office for Governor. Youngkin-R is a top tier Republican nominee for US Senate against Kaine-D in 2024 or Warner-D in 2026.

November 3, 2021

2022 GA Gubernatorial Democratic Nominee Stacy Abrams

and US Senator Raphael Warnock-D will need a lot of help in 2022.
We also need to help 2022 NC US Senate Democratic nominee Cherie Beasley-D or Jeff Jackson-D.
2022 FL US Senate Democratic nominee Val Demings-D and 2022 FL Gubernatorial Democratic nominee Charlie Crist-D
2022 TX Gubernatorial Democratic nominee Beto O’Rourke-D.

November 3, 2021

US Senate Races in 2022 that Democrats are likely to win.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NH(Hassan-D) if Sununu-R does not run.
50/51)GA(Warnock-D) has to win in November or December.
50/52)WI(Barnes-D)

November 3, 2021

2022 VA US House Races- Most to least vulnerable Democratic VA US House members.

VA-7(Spanberger-D) likely Democratic nominee for VA Governor in 2025.
VA-2(Luria-D) likely Democratic nominee for VA Governor in 2025.
VA-10(Wexton-D) likely Democratic nominee for VA Governor in 2025.
VA-4(McEachin-D)
VA-3(Scott-D)
VA-11(Connolly-D)
VA-8(Beyer-D)

November 3, 2021

Battleground US Senate Races in 2026

NC(Tillis-R)
MI(Peters-D)
IA(Ernst-R)
GA(Ossoff-D)
2024- AZ(Gallego-D needs to win the primary and general.)
Brown(OH),Tester(MT) and Stabenow(MI) need to get re-elected.
Democrats need to win FL(Stephanie Murphy-D or Darren Soto-D).

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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AM
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