nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalGrassley running for re-election might be good.
If Republican regain control of the US Senate next year and Grassley has to resign, Mitch McConnell become President Pro Tempore of the US Senate.
Is Grassley running for re-election next year so
Pat Grassley gets appointed to the US Senate when ever Chuck leaves?
If Democrats retain control of the US Senate after 2024 elections,
US Senator Patty Murray(D-WA) will be President Pro Tempore of the US Senate. Feinstein(D-CA) will not seek re-election or lose in the November 2024 General Election to a Democrat (Linda Sánchez-D).
Likely Democratic candidates to succeed Leahy are
Jill Krowinski(Speaker of House since 2021/member of House since 2013)
Becca Ballant(President Pro Temp of Senate since 2021/Member of Senate since 2015)
TJ Donovan(Attorney General since 2017) Donovan runs for Leahy’s seat in 2022/Molly Gray runs for Sander’s seat in 2024.
Who are the Republicans in Vermont going to nominate
for the 2022 US Senate Race?
State Senate Minority Leader Randy Brock or
State House Minority Leader Patricia McCoy or
Scott Milne
US Senate Elections in 2022 that Democrats will win by a landslide to narrow margin.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Leahy-D or Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
If Leahy(D-VT) decides tomorrow not to seek re-election to a ninth US Senate term next year.
VT Attorney General T J Donovan is the perfect candidate to replace Leahy.
Donovan won 3 statewide elections by landslide margins.
US Representative Peter Welch has won 7 out of his 9 statewide elections by a landslide margins. The problem with Welch is he will be 75 years old in 2022. The maximum number of term Welch will serve is 2 term.
Lt Governor Molly Gray is in her first term. Gray is likely to replace Sanders in 2024.
If all of the Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2022 including Leahy-D get re-elected,
Which of them are likely to leave in 2028 voluntarily and/or involuntarily?
Leahy(D-VT) will be 88 years in 2028, Might run for a 10th term.
Murray(D-WA) next in line to be US Senate President Pro Temp.after Leahy(VT) and Feinstein(CA) leave the US Senate.
Wyden(D-OR)
Schumer(D-NY)
These US Senators will be in the US Senate for at least 30 years.
Bennet(D-CO),Blumenthal(D-CT),Schatz(D-HI),Duckworth(D-IL),and Van Hollen(D-MD) will be in the US.Senate as long as they want.
Hassan(D-NH),Cortez Masto(D-NV),Kelly(D-AZ),Warnock(D-GA) and Fetterman(D-PA) if he gets elected in 2022 are highly vulnerable in 2028.
The number of US Senate seats the Democrats will have after 2022 is between 49 to 51 seats.
Safe D
37)VT(Leahy-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
Likely D
46)CO(Bennet-D)
Lean D
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
Tilt D
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
Tossup
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D) will be decided in the 12/2022 or 1/2023 General Election runoff.
Tilt R
52)WI(Johnson-R vs Barnes-D) will be similar to 2010(Johnson-R vs Feingold-D) and 2016(Johnson-R vs Feingold-D)
Lean R
53)NC(Budd-R vs Beasley-D)
54)OH(Mandel-R vs Ryan-D)
Likely R
55)FL(Rubio-R vs Demings-D)
The number of US Senate Seats that the Democrats will end up with after 2022 will be 51.
37)VT(Leahy-D or Welch-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
WI(Johnson-R vs Barnes-D) is a Tilt/Lean R state similar to the 2010 WI US Senate Race(Johnson-R vs Feingold-D) and 2016 WI US Senate Race(Johnson-R vs Feingold-D).
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