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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AM
Number of posts: 7,139

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2018 and 2020 US Senate Election-Democrats guide to a majority.

2018
Democrats lose IN and MO but gain AZ and NV. 49D 51R
2020
Democrats lose AL but gain AZ Special,CO,ME- if Collins retires or is defeated in the primary,MT-if Bullock-D runs, and NC. 51D 49R

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Dec 14, 2017, 10:21 PM (0 replies)

2018 AZ US Senate Special Election?

If McCain-R succumbs to brain cancer any time in the near future, there will be a special election in November 2018.
Likely Democratic Nominee will be Mark Kelly vs Likely Republican Nominee will be Martha McSally.
Who is favored to win?
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Dec 14, 2017, 10:19 AM (2 replies)

2018 US Senate Election- Democrats will have between 51 to 54 seats after 2018.

Every Single Democratic held US Senate Seat up in 2018 remains in the Democratic column- that includes FL(Nelson-D vs Scott-R) What is the likelihood of Scott-R running in FL?, IN(Donnelly-D),MN Special(Smith-D),MO(McCaskill-D),MT(Tester-D),NJ(Menendez-D)ND(Heitkamp-D),OH(Brown-D),PA(Casey-D), WV(Manchin-D), and WI(Baldwin-D) 49D.
Democrats pick up AZ(Sinema-D) and NV(Rosen-D) 51D
Potential Surprise Victories for Democrats- TN(Bredensen-D),TX(O'Rourke-D) and UT(Wilson-D)- assuming McMullin-I runs and splits the Republican vote. 54.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Dec 13, 2017, 10:55 PM (4 replies)

2020 US Senate Election- Democratic held seats from most vulnerable to least vulnerable.

1)AL-Jones-D Tossup/Lean Republican
2)MN- Smith-D Tossup/Lean Democratic
3)NH- Shaheen-D Lean Democratic
4)VA- Warner-D Lean Democratic
5)MI- Peters-D Likely Democratic
6)NM- Udall-D Likely Democratic
7)OR- Merkley-D Solid Democratic
8)NJ-Booker-D Solid Democratic
9)IL-Durbin-D Solid Democratic
10)DE-Coons-D Solid Democratic
11)RI-Reed-D Solid Democratic
12)MA-Markey-D Solid Democratic
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Dec 13, 2017, 09:26 PM (5 replies)

States with 2 female US Senators before and after 2018.

CA-Feinstein-D and Harris-D
MN-Klobuchar-D and Smith-D
NV-Cortez Masto-D and Rosen-D
NH-Shaheen-D and Hassan-D
WA-Murray-D and Cantwell-D
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Dec 13, 2017, 09:02 PM (3 replies)

2018 US Senate Race in UT- 4 way race between Hatch-R vs Wilson-D vs McMullin-I vs Bowden-L

Wilson-D 35%
Hatch-R 30%
McMullin-I 25%
Bowden-L 10%
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Dec 13, 2017, 08:42 PM (0 replies)

2018 MN US Senate Special Election- Tina Smith-D

Governor Mark Dayton-D appointed his Lt. Governor Tina Smith-D to the MN US Senate Seat vacated by Al Franken-D.
Sitting Lt. Governors who have been appointed to the US Senate.
2012-Brian Schatz(D-HI) appointed to replace Dan Inouye-D who died. Schatz-D defeated Colleen Hanabusa-Inouye's preferred candidate in the Democratic Primary and then won the November 2012 General Election.
1996-Sheila Frahm(R-KS) appointed to replace Bob Dole-R who resigned to run for POTUS. Frahm-R lost in the Republican primary to Sam Brownback.
Smith-D is going to win the Democratic Nomination for the 2018 MN US Senate Race with strong endorsements from the entire DFL establishment. I expect the surviving members of the Wellstone family to support Smith.
Republicans will nominate Michelle Bachmann over Tim Pawlenty.
Tina Smith-D defeats Michelle Bachmann in the November 2018 General Election by a high single to low double digit margin.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Dec 13, 2017, 08:23 PM (0 replies)

Doug Jones(D-AL) victory last night helps

Bredensen(D-TN) and O'Rourke(D-TX).
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Dec 13, 2017, 08:05 AM (0 replies)

Will the band Lynrd Skynrd play Sweet Home Alabama at the Jones victory event?

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Dec 13, 2017, 12:59 AM (6 replies)

I hear that NRSC committee chair Gardner(R-CO) is inviting Sen. Elect Jones(D-AL) to switch sides.

Will they send Richard Shelby to convince Doug Jones to become a Republican like Shelby did 23 years ago?
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Dec 13, 2017, 12:31 AM (0 replies)
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