If Jones wins tonight, he will be in the US Senate for 3 years. He will lose re-election in 2020 to a non controversial hard right conservative Republican challenger-Mo Brooks or Roger Aderholt.
If Moore wins tonight, he will be in the US Senate for more than 3 years. It is highly unlikely the US Senate will expel Moore or lose in the Republican primary.
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Seigelman's -D margin of victory in the 1998 AL Governors Race against then sitting Republican Governor Fob James-R. Seigelman-D won the 1998 AL Governors Race by a 15.8 percent margin.
Could Jones-D win today's US Senate Election by a 55-40-5 percent margin?
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1996 was the last open and competitive US Senate Race in AL.
Sessions-R received 52.5%
Bedford-D received 45.5%
2002 was the last competitive Governors Race in AL
Riley-R received 49.2%
Seigelman-D received 49%
Moore-R will receive 51%
Jones-D will receive 47%
Write ins will receive 2%
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The guy who preaches but does not practice teen abstinence.
The guy who prosecutes civil rights violators.
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Democratic Ticket wins
CA-55
CO-9(64)
CT-7(71)
DE-3(74)
DC-3(77)
HI-4(81)
IL-20(101)
ME-3(104)
MD-10(114)
MA-11(125)
MI-16(141)
MN-10(151)
NE-1(152)
NV-6(158)
NH-4(162)
NJ-14(176)
NM-5(181)
NY-29(210)
OR-7(217)
PA-20(237)
RI-4(241)
VT-3(244)
VA-13(257)
WA-12(269)
US House Delegation
AL-R 1
AK-R 2
AZ-D 1
AR-R 3
CA-D 2
CO-D 3
CT-D 4
DE-D 5
FL-R 4
GA-R 5
HI-D 6
ID-R 6
IL-D 7
IN-R 7
IA-Tie
KS-R 8
KY-R 9
LA-R 10
ME-Tie
MD-D 8
MA-D 9
MI-R 11
MN-D 10
MS-R 12
MO-R 13
MT-R 14
NE-R 15
NV-D 11
NH-D 12
NJ-D 13
NM-D 14
NY-D 15
NC-R 16
ND-R 17
OH-R 18
OK-R 19
OR-D 16
PA-R 20
RI-D 17
SC-R 21
SD-R 22
TN-R 23
TX-R 24
UT-R 25
VT-D 18
VA-R 26
WA-D 19
WV-R 27
WI-R 28
WY-R 29
Trump-R wins the Presidency again.
Democrats will win the Vice Presidency.
Democrats have majority of the seats in US Senate in 2020.
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2017
Democrats narrowly lose AL(Jones-D) on Tuesday.
2018
Democrats win by a landslide margin.
CA-Feinstein-D 23
CT-Murphy-D 24
DE-Carper-D 25
HI-Hirono-D 26
ME-King-I/D 27
MD-Cardin-D 28
MA-Warren-D 29
MI-Stabenow-D 30
MN-Klobuchar-D 31
NM-Heinrich-D 32
NY-Gillibrand-D 33
RI-Whitehouse-D 34
VT-Sanders-I/D 35
WA-Cantwell-D 36
Democrats win by a low double digit margin.
MN-Swanson-D 37
NJ-Menendez-D 38
PA-Casey-D 39
VA-Kaine-D 40
Democrats win by a high single digit margin.
AZ-Sinema-D 41(Ward-R is the Republican nominee)
MT-Tester-D 42
NV-Rosen-D 43
ND-Heitkamp-D 44
WV-Manchin-D 45
WI-Baldwin-D 46
Democrats win by a narrow margin
FL-Nelson-D 47 vs Scott-R
IN-Donnelly-D 48
MO-McCaskill-D 49
OH-Brown-D 50
Democrats will have a 50-50 tie in the US Senate after 2018
2020
Democrats hold onto
DE-Coons-D 40
IL-Durbin-D 41
MA-Markey-D 42
MI-Peters-D 43
MN-Swanson-D 44
NH-Shaheen-D 45
NJ-Booker-D 46
NM-Udall-D 47
OR-Merkley-D 48
RI-Reed-D 49
VA-Warner-D 50
Republican held US Senate seat Democrats will pick up in 2020.
CO-Hickenlooper-D or Perlmutter-D 51
Republican held US Senate seats that will be in a Tossup collumn.
AZ(McCain-R) Kelly or Stanton-D vs McSally-R
MT- Bullock-D vs Daines-R
NC-Foxx-D vs Tillis-R
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Gabbard- First Female, First Hindu Presidential Nominee, Military Veteran, Bernie Sanders 2016 supporter.
Castro- First Hispanic Vice Presidential Nominee.
Gabbard/Castro wins
DC-3
HI-4(7)
CA-55(62)
MA-11(73)
MD-10(83)
VT-3(86)
NY-29(115)
IL-20(135)
WA-12(147)
RI-4(151)
ME1cd-1(152)
NJ-14(166)
CT-7(173)
DE-3(176)
OR-7(183)
NM-5(188)
VA-13(201)
CO-9(210)
ME-2(212)
NV-6(218)
FL-29(247) Thanks to high Latino turnout(Castro) and Gabbard's military record.
AZ-11(258) Thanks to high Latino turnout(Castro) and Gabbard's military record.
Gabbard's path to 270 is
MN-10 and NH-4(272ev) States Clinton narrowly won in 2016.
MI-16(274ev)
PA-20(278ev)
NC-15(273ev)
FL-29,NC-15,and AZ-11 are the 3 states Gabbard/Castro needs to carry to win the 2020 US Presidential Election.
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AZ-Sinema-D Slight Democratic with McSally-R,Lean Democratic with Ward-R
AR special- Beebe-D Lean Republican
CA-Feinstein-D Solid Democratic
CT-Murphy-D Solid Democratic
DE-Carper-D Solid Democratic
FL-Nelson-D Slight Democratic with Scott-R, Likely Democratic without Scott-R
HI-Hirono-D Solid Democratic
IN-Donnelly-D Slight Democratic
ME-King-I/D Solid Independent/Democratic
MD-Cardin-D Solid Democratic
MA-Warren-D Solid Democratic
MI-Stabenow-D Solid Democratic
MN regular-Klobuchar-D Solid Democratic
MN special-Swanson-D Lean Democratic
MS- Presley-D Solid Republican with Wicker-R, Likely Republican with McDaniel-R
MO-McCaskill-D Slight Democratic
MT-Tester-D Lean Democratic
NE-Raybould-D Solid Republican
NV-Rosen-D Slight Democratic with Heller-R, Lean Democratic with Tarkanian-R
NJ-Menendez-D Likely Democratic
NM-Heinrich-D Likely Democratic with the possibility of Martinez-R or Sanchez-R being the Republican Nominee.
NY-Gillibrand-D Solid Democratic
ND-Heitkamp-D Lean Democratic
OH-Brown-D Lean Democratic
PA-Casey-D Likely Democratic
RI-Whitehouse-D Solid Democratic
TN-Bredensen-D Lean Republican
TX-O'Rourke-D Lean Republican
UT-Wilson-D Solid Republican
VT-Sanders-I/D Solid Independent/Democratic
VA-Kaine-D Likely Democratic
WA-Cantwell-D Solid Democratic
WV-Manchin-D Lean Democratic
WI-Baldwin-D Likely Democratic
WY-Trauner-D Solid Republican
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2018
23)AL-Jones-D
24)AZ-Sinema-D
25)CA-Feinstein-D
26)CT-Murphy-D
27)DE-Carper-D
28)FL-Nelson-D
29)HI-Hirono-D
30)IN-Donnelly-D
31)ME-King-I/D
32)MD-Cardin-D
33)MA-Warren-D
34)MI-Stabenow-D
35)MN-Klobuchar-D
36)MN-Swanson-D
37)MO-McCaskill-D
38)MT-Tester-D
39)NV-Rosen-D
40)NJ-Menendez-D
41)NM-Udall-D
42)NY-Gillibrand-D
43)ND-Heitkamp-D
44)OH-Brown-D
45)PA-Casey-D
46)RI-Whitehouse-D
47)VT-Sanders-I/D
48)VA-Kaine-D
49)WA-Cantwell-D
50)WV-Manchin-D
51)WI-Baldwin-D
2020
40)AZ-Kelly-D
41)CO-Hickenlooper-D
42)DE-Coons-D
43)IL-Durbin-D
44)MA-Markey-D
45)MI-Peters-D
46)MN-Swanson-D
47)MT-Bullock-D
48)NH-Shaheen-D
49)NJ-Booker-D
50)NM-Udall-D
51)NC-Wood-D
52)OR-Merkley-D
53)RI-Reed-D
54)VA-Warner-D
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