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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
February 20, 2022

2022 US Senate Election in the states that the Democrats will be likely to win.

Solid D
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D
43)OR(Wyden-D)
Likely D
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
Lean D
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Tilt D
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

February 20, 2022

As a resident of CO, I will like to see a female US Senator from CO. CO has not had a female US Sen.

List of potential female US Senators from CO.
1)Jena Griswold-D(CO Secretary of State)
2)Yadira Caraveo-D(if/when she becomes CO-8 US Representative)
3)Brittany Petterson-D(if/when she becomes CO-7 US Representative)


February 20, 2022

US Senate seats in states up in 2022 that Democrats are definitely to win.

Solid
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
Likely
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
Lean
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
Tilt
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D/Lamb-D/Kenyatta-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D/Godlewski-D/Nelson-D/Lasry-D)




February 19, 2022

2022 US Senate Election in the states the Democrats have a chance of winning.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D/Lamb-D/Kenyatta-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
56)MO(Kunce-D/Sifton-D)
57)IA(Finkenauer-D/Franken-D)

February 19, 2022

The most vulnerable Democratic and Republican US Senator in 2022.

Most vulnerable Democratic held US Senate seat in 2022- Warnock-GA.
GA is a state where the 1st place finisher(Warnock-D) has receive over 50 percent of the popular vote in 11/2022 to win. If that does not happen a runoff between the 1st and 2nd place finisher will occur in 1/2023. Runoff elections in GA are very close.
Most vulnerable Republican held US Senate seat in 2022- OPEN Toomey-PA.
Strong Democratic nominee(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D) vs Weak Republican nominee(Oz-R).

February 19, 2022

2022 US Senate Elections in states the Democrats will definitely win.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

February 18, 2022

2022 US Senate Election in states that Democrats are likely to win,

States that Biden-D won in 2020 by a Solid Margin.
1/37)CA(Padilla-D)
2/38)HI(Schatz-D)
3/39)NY(Schumer-D)
4/40)VT(OPEN Leahy-D)
5/41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
6/42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
7/43)WA(Murray-D)
8/44)OR(Wyden-D)
9/45)IL(Duckworth-D)
States that Biden-D won in 2020 by a lean/likely margin.
10/46)CO(Bennet-D)
11/47)NH(Hassan-D)
12/48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
States that Biden-D won in 2020 by a Tilt margin.
13/49)AZ(Kelly-D)
14/50)GA(Warnock-D)
15/51)PA(OPEN Toomey-R/Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
16/52)WI(Johnson-R/Barnes-D or Godlewski-D)
States that Biden-D lost in 2020 by a single digit.
17/53)NC(OPEN Burr-R/Beasley-D)
18/54)OH(OPEN Portman-R/Ryan-D)

Can Democrats win
FL(Demings-D vs Rubio-R)
IA(Finkenauer-D or Franken-D vs Grassley-R)
MO(OPEN Blunt-R/Lucas-D or Sifton-D)

February 18, 2022

What needs to occur for Kansas to elect a Democratic US Senator?

Kansas has not elected a Democrat to the US Senate since 1932(McGill-D).
The other states that currently have 2 Republican US Senators have elected a Democrat in
1970)UT(Moss-D) and WY(McGee-D)
1974)ID(Church-D)
1982)MS(Stennis-D)
1988)TX(Bentsen-D)
1990)OK(Boren-D) and TN(Gore-D)
1992)KY(Ford-D)
1998)SC(Hollings-D)
2006)NE(Nelson-D)
2008)AK(Begich-D),AR(Pryor-D),IA(Harkin-D),
LA(Landrieu-D),NC(Hagen-D) and SD(Johnson-D)
2012)FL(Nelson-D),IN(Donnelly-D),MO(McCaskill-D), and ND(Heitkamp-D).
2017 special election) AL(Jones-D)

KS has 2 top tier Democratic candidate for US Senator/ Laura Kelly-D and Sharice Davids-D).

February 18, 2022

Minnesota Congressional Districts are 4R/3D/1tie)

Republican favored
1)MN-7(Fischbach-R)
2)MN-6(Emmer-R)
3)MN-8(Stauber-R)
4)MN-1(OPEN due to Hagedorn-R death.)
Democratic favored
1)MN-5(Omar-D)
2)MN-4(McCollum-D)
3)MN-3(Phillips-D)
Tie
1)MN-2(Craig-D)

Who carried MN-2? Biden or Trump?

February 18, 2022

US Senate Elections the Democrats are to win in 2022 by larger margin to a narrower margin.

Democratic incumbents from (Biden2020 states) that get re-elected with over 60 percent of the popular vote.
HI(Schatz-D)
NY(Schumer-D)
CA(Padilla-D) appointed incumbent seeking a 1st 6 year term.
MD(Van Hollen-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D)
VT(OPEN-Leahy-D/Welch-D is the likely Democratic nominee.)
Democratic incumbents from (Biden2020 states) that get re-elected by a double digit margin but less than 60 percent of the popular vote.
OR(Wyden-D)
WA(Murray-D)
IL(Duckworth-D)
Democratic incumbent from (Biden2020 states) that get elected by a single digit margin.
CO(Bennet-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
AZ(Kelly-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 from (Biden2020 states) the Democrats are likely to win.
PA(OPEN Toomey-R/Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
WI(Johnson-R vs(Barnes-D or Godlewski-D)
Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 from (Non Biden2020 states) the Democrats are likely to win.
NC(OPEN Burr-R/Beasley-D)
OH(OPEN Portman-R/Ryan-D)

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