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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
March 10, 2018

2018 and 2020 US Senate Election- Democrats guide to 60 seats.

2018
Democrats have to hold onto every vulnerable Democratic seats(FL,IN,MO,MT,ND,OH,and WV) and potentially vulnerable Democratic seats(MI,PA,and WI) and pickup vulnerable Republican Seats(AZ,MS-special,NV,TN,and TX)+5D 54D 46R
2020
Democrats have to hold onto every vulnerable Democratic seats(AL,MS if Democrats win in 2018 special) and potentially vulnerable Democratic seats in (MI,MN,NH,and VA) and pickup vulnerable Republican Seats in
AK(Sullivan-R) Berkowitz-D
CO(Gardner-R) Hickenlooper-D/Perlmutter-D or Kennedy-D/Polis-D(whoever loses in the Democratic Primary for 2018 Colorado Governors Race)
GA(Perdue-R) Carter-D/Nunn-D or Abrams-D/Evans-D(whoever loses in the Democratic Primary for 2018 Georgia Governors Race)
IA(Ernst-R) Vilsack-D/Loebsack-D or Boulton-D/Hubbell-D(whoever loses in the Democratic Primary for 2018 Iowa Governors Race)
MT(Daines-R) Bullock-D
NC(Tillis-R) Foxx-D/Stein-D
If Democrats don't win MS special,TN,and TX in 2018
KY(McConnell-R) Beshear-D/McGrath-D
LA(Cassidy-R) Landrieu-D
TX(Cornyn-R) Castro-D
Democrats could win AZ Special and ME in 2020 if Collins(R-ME) retires or loses in the Republican primary.

March 8, 2018

2020 US Senate Elections- Democratic challengers in competitive Republican held seats.

AK(Sullivan-R) Begich-D
AR(Cotton-R) Ross-D
CO(Gardner-R) Hickenlooper-D or Perlmutter-D
GA(Perdue-R)Barrow-D
IA(Ernst-R)Vilsack-D
KS(open-Roberts-R)Sebelius-D
KY(McConnell-R)Beshear-D or McGrath-D
LA(Cassidy-R)Landrieu-D Mitch
ME(Collins-R)Pingree-D
MS(McDaniel-R)Hood-D or Baria-D
MT(Daines-R)Bullock-D
NC(Tillis-R)Foxx-D
OK(open-Inhofe-R)Henry-D or Boren-D
TX(Cornyn-R)Castro-D Joaquin

March 7, 2018

2018 US Senate Election Ratings

Solid Democratic
CA(Feinstein-D) 24D
CT(Murphy-D) 25D
DE(Carper-D) 26D
HI(Hirono-D) 27D
ME(King-I/D) 28D
MD(Cardin-D) 29D
MA(Warren-D) 30D
MN-A(Klobuchar-D) 31D
NJ(Menendez-D) 32D
NM(Heinrich-D) 33D
NY(Gillibrand-D) 34D
RI(Whitehouse-D) 35D
VT(Sanders-I/D) 36D
VA(Kaine-D) 37D
WA(Cantwell-D) 38D
Solid Republican
MS-A(Wicker-R)If Wicker-R is the Republican Nominee- Likely Republican If McDaniel-R 43R
NE(Fischer-R) 44R
UT(OPEN-R) Romney-R 45R
WY(Barrasso-R) 46R
Likely Democratic
MI(Stabenow-D) 39D
MN-B(Smith-D) 40D
PA(Casey-D) 41D
WI(Baldwin-D) 42D
Likely Republican
MS-B(OPEN-R)If anyone but McDaniel-R is the Republican Nominee.- Lean Republican If McDaniel-R 47R
Lean Democratic
MT(Tester-D) 43D
OH(Brown-D) 44D
WV(Manchin-D) 45D
Lean Republican
TX(Cruz-R) 48R
Slight Democratic
AZ(OPEN-R)Sinema-D vs McSally-R 46D
FL(Nelson-D) vs Scott-R 47D
IN(Donnelly-D) 48D
MO(McCaskill-D) 49D
NV(Heller-R)Rosen-D 50D
Slight Republican
TN(OPEN-R) Blackburn-R vs Bredesen-D 49R
Tossup
ND(Heitkamp-D) vs Cramer-R 51R

March 6, 2018

2018 MS US Senate Election-Mike Espy-D is running.

Former US Congressman and US Agricultural Secretary under Bill Clinton.
Was a defendant of an Independent Counsel investigation of charges that got Menendez(NJ) in trouble. Espy was acquitted on all charges.

March 6, 2018

2018 MS US Senate Special Election- Does Jim Hood run or is he focused on becoming Governor in 2019?

If Jim Hood-D decides to run for MS Governor in 2019- he'd face Lt. Governor Tate Reeves in the November General Election.
If Jim Hood-D runs for the US Senate in 2018- he could face another Democrat in the runoff Special Election-Late November/Early December. Bennie Thompson.
MS US Senate Special Election is similar to Louisiana- all candidates regardless of party affiliation run on the same ballot.
We could see a Moderate to Conservative Democrat Jim Hood, A progressive black Democrat Bennie Thompson, and couple of top tier Republican candidates.
The runoff Special Election matchup
Hood-D vs Thompson-D
Hood-D vs ?????-R
Thompson-D vs ????-R
Bennie Thompson-D could increase AA turnout- help David Baria-D defeat McDaniel-R in the November General Election assuming McDaniel defeats Wicker in the Republican primary.

March 2, 2018

2018 US Senate Election- Incoming US Senators.

AZ- Sinema-D or McSally-R
CA- DeLeon-D
FL- Scott-R
IN- Messer-R or Rokita-R
MO- Hawley-R
NV- Rosen-D
ND- Cramer-R
TN- Bredesen-D or Blackburn-R
UT- Romney-R


AZ,CA,FL,IN,MO,NV,ND,and TN are Tossups.
UT- Romney-R is strongly favored to win.
Likely 2018 US Senator Elects
AZ-Sinema-D or McSally-R
TN-Bredensen-D or Blackburn-R
UT-Romney-R

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