GA(Warnock-D vs Walker-R) is going to be decided in the 1/2023 general election runoff.
Democrats need to get 51 or 52 seats before GA.
37)CA(Padilla-D) vs another Democrat like in 2016 and 2018.
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)/NC(Beasley-D)
52)NC(Beasley-D)/GA(Warnock-D)
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Mandela Barnes(D-WI) or Cheri Beasley(D-NC) or both or neither?
I expect Democrats to win AZ(Kelly-D),GA(Warnock-D),NV(Cortez Masto-D) and PA(Fetterman-D).
OH(Ryan-D) is a bonus seat for Democrats.
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Portman- The Republican nominee in the 2010 and the 2016 OH US Senate Election is much stronger than all of the Republican candidates in the 2022 OH US Senate Election.
Ryan- The likely Democratic nominee in the 2022 OH US Senate Election is much stronger than Fisher(Democratic nominee in 2010) and Strickland(Democratic nominee in 2016).
If we average the OH US Senate Elections in 2006,2010,2012,2016,2018,and 2022.
+12,-17 +6,-21,+7= -13/5= -2.7
Ryan-D will lose by a 2.5 to 3 percent margin.
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AL(Durant-R)
MO-In order for a Democrat(Kunce-D or Sifton-D) to take this seat, Greitens-R needs to be the Republican nominee.
NC(Beasley-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
OK special(Mullin-R)
PA(Fetterman-D)
VT(Welch-D)
Which 2022 Republican US Senate candidate in NC and OH is weaker? This will determine whether the Democrats win the 2022 US Senate elections in NC and OH?
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37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
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37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
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37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
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37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
In lieu of Sinema(AZ) and Manchin(WV)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
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37)VT(Welch-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
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37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
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