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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AM
Number of posts: 7,140

Journal Archives

Mark Kelly(D-AZ) and Raphael Warnock(D-GA) are not that vulnerable.

In AZ, Kelly’s Republican challenger is either going to be Mark Brnovich,Jim Lamon-R or Blake Masters-R. All 3 of those Republican candidates are lightweights compared to Kelly’s previous 2020 Republican US Senate opponent Martha McSally-R. McSally was appointed to this seat right after McCain died. Before running for the US Senate, McSally served in the US House representing Gabby Giffords US House district based in Tucson.

In GA, Warnock is going face and defeat Hershel Walker-R in the 1/2023 runoff.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Mon Apr 25, 2022, 08:14 PM (2 replies)

Conor Lamb for PA State Attorney General?

The PA Attorney General term which the 2022 Democratic nominee for PA Governor Josh Shapiro currently holds is not up in 2024. Shapiro is favored to become the next Governor of PA. Conor Lamb is unlikely to be the Democratic nominee for the US Senate. Lamb was a former US Attorney before he got elected to the US House of Representative. Lamb is very young, He can use the state Attorney General position as a stepping stone for Governor or US Senator.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Mon Apr 25, 2022, 05:39 PM (3 replies)

The Democratic nominee for the 2022 US Senate Election performance is based on

How the Democratic nominee for the 2022 Governors Election does except for VT and NH does,
VT Governor-Phil Scott-R
VT US Senator-Peter Welch-D
NH Governor-Chris Sununu-R
NH US Senator-Maggie Hassan-D
AZ Governor-Katie Hobbs-D
AZ US Senator-Mark Kelly-D
CA Governor-Gavin Newsom-D
CA US Senator-Alex Padilla-D
CO Governor-Jared Polis-D
CO US Senator-Michael Bennet-D
CT Governor-Ned Lamont-D
CT US Senator-Richard Blumenthal-D
GA Governor-Stacey Abrams-D
GA US Senator-Raphael Warnock-D
HI Governor-Josh Green-D
HI US Senator-Brian Schatz-D
IL Governor- JB Pritzker-D
IL US Senator- Tammy Duckworth-D
MD Governor- Peter Franchot-D
MD US Senator- Chris Van Hollen-D
NV Goveror- Steve Sisolak-D
NV US Senator-Catherine Cortez Masto-D
NY Governor-Kathy Hochul-D
NY US Senator- Chuck Schumer-D
OR Governor-Ted Wheeler-D
OR US Senator-Ron Wyden-D
PA Governor-Josh Shapiro-D
PA US Senator-John Fetterman-D
WI Governor-Tony Evers-D
WI US Senator-Mandela Barnes-D


Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Mon Apr 25, 2022, 03:35 PM (0 replies)

US Senate Elections in 2022 in the states that have top tier Democratic nominee.

Democratic Incumbent
37)AZ(Kelly-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)CO(Bennet-D)
40)CT(Blumenthal-D)
41)GA(Warnock-D)
42)HI(Schatz-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)MD(Van Hollen-D)
45)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
46)NH(Hassan-D)
47)NY(Schumer-D)
48)OR(Wyden-D)
49)WA(Murray-D)
Only NV is the seat that has a top tier Republican nominee- Laxalt-R former state Attorney General and AZ if Brnovich-R is the Republican nominee- Brnovich-R is a current state Attorney General.
Democratic nominee in OPEN US Senate Elections.
50)VT(Welch-D) US Representative.
51)PA(Fetterman-D) Lt Governor
52)OH(Ryan-D) US Representative.
53)NC(Beasley-D) former state Supreme Court Chief Justice.
54)OK special(Horn-D) former US Representative.
Only NC is the seat with a top tier Republican nominee- Budd-R US Representative. OK special has a top tier Republican nominee. McMullin-R US Representative.
Democratic challengers
55)FL(Demings-D)
56)IA(Finkenauer-D)
57)WI(Barnes-D)

The newly elected Democratic US Senators will be-
VT(Welch-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
WI(Barnes-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
MO(Kunce-D) if Greitens-R is the Republican nominee.





Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Apr 24, 2022, 08:52 PM (0 replies)

What year will Joni Ernst become the senior US Senator of IA?

Will there be a special election the other IA US Senate seat in 2024 or 2026?

Alex Padilla becomes a senior US Senator of CA before or after 1/2025.

Due to recent news of Orrin Hatch’s death, Grassley and Feinstein who are older than Hatch need to retire because they are able to complete their US Senate terms.

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Apr 24, 2022, 04:40 PM (1 replies)

Democrats could actually gain seats in the US House of Representatives in 2022.

Democrats lose
1)AZ(O’Halleran-D)
2)AZ(OPEN Kirkpatrick-D)
3)CA(OPEN McNerney-D)
4)CA(OPEN Roybal Allard-D vs OPEN Lowenthal-D)
5)FL(Lawson-D)
6)FL(OPEN Murphy-D)
7)FL(OPEN Crist-D)
8)GA(Boudreaux-D or McBath-D)
9)IL(Casten-D or Newman-D)
10)MI(Levin-D or Stevens-D)
11)MI(OPEN Lawrence-D)
12)NJ(Malinowski-D)
13)TN(OPEN Cooper-D)
14)TX(OPEN Vela-D)
15)WI(OPEN Kind-D)

Democrats gain
14)CA(new) Gray-D
13)CA(Valadao-R vs whoever replaces Nunes-R) Salas-D
12)CA(Garcia-R) Smith-D
11)CA(Steel-R) Chen-D
10)CO(new) Caraveo-D
9)IL(new) Ramirez-D
8)IL(new) Budzinski-D
7)MI(Meijer-R) Scholten-D
6)MI(new)
5)NM(Herrell-R) Vasquez-D
4)NY(OPEN Zeldin-R)
3)NY(Malikiotakis-R) Rose-D
2)NY(OPEN Katko-R)
1)NC(new) Jackson-D
0)OH(Chabot-R) Landsman-D
1)OR(new)
2)TX(new) Casar-D



Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Apr 24, 2022, 01:40 PM (3 replies)

US House seats that the Democrats will lose and gain in 2022.

1)AZ-2
2)AZ-6
3)CA-9(Incumbent D vs Open Incumnent D)
4)CA-42(Open Incumbent D vs Open Incumbent D)
5)FL-2(Incumbent R vs Incumbent D in a +7R district.)
6)FL-7
7)FL-13
8)GA-7(Incumbent D vs Incumbent D)
9)IL-6(Incumbent D vs Incumbent D)
10)MI-11(Incumbent D vs Incumbent D)
11)MI-12(Incumbent D vs Open Incumbent D)
12)NJ-7
13)OH-13
14)TN-5
15)TX-15
16)TX-34(Incumbent D vs Open Incumbent D)
17)WI-3

Democrats will gain.
16)CA-13
15)CA-22
14)CA-27
13)CA-45
12)CO-8
11)IL-3
10)IL-13
9)MI-3
8)MI-13
7)NM-2
6)NY-1
5)NY-11
4)NY-22
3)NC-14
2)OH-1
1)OR-6
0)TX-35

Democrats will remain in the majority in the US House of Representative in 2022.





Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Apr 24, 2022, 10:52 AM (11 replies)

CA is going to be the state that will keep Democrats in the majority in the US House in 2022.

Democrats will lose
1)AZ-2
2)AZ-6
3)CA-9(2 Democratic Incumbents in the same district.)
4)CA-42(2 Democratic Incumbents in the same district.)
5)FL-4
6)FL-7
7)FL-13
8)GA-7(2 Democratic Incumbents in the same district.)
9)IL-6(2 Democratic Incumbents in the same district.)
10)IA-3
11)KS-3
12)ME-2
13)MI-11(2 Democratic Incumbents in the same district.)
14)MI-12(2 Democratic Incumbents in the same district.)
15)NJ-7
16)OH-9
17)PA-7
18)PA-8
19)TN-5
20)TX-34(2 Democratic Incumbents in the same district.)
21)VA-2
22WI-3

Democrats will gain
21)CO-8
20)IL-3
19)IL-13
18)MI-3
17)MI-13
16)NM-2
15)NY-1
14)NY-11
13)NY-22
12)NC-14
11)OH-1
10)OR-6
9)TX-15
8)TX-35

Without CA Democrats will lose 8 seats.
7)CA-13
6)CA-22
5)CA-27
4)CA-45

Democrats have a net loss of 4 seats.

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Apr 24, 2022, 08:15 AM (0 replies)

US Senate Elections in the states that the Democrats will win in 2022.

37)CA(Padilla-D) vs another Democratic general election opponent.
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)GA(Warnock-D) 1/2023 runoff.






Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sun Apr 24, 2022, 06:46 AM (0 replies)

When will the next CA US Senate Election for Feinstein's seat be? 2022 or 2024?

If Feinstein leaves office before 2022, will there be an election in 2022?

Who will be the Democratic candidates?


Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Apr 23, 2022, 05:22 PM (3 replies)
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