nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalTammy Duckworth's IL US Senate has switched sides since 1998.
1992-Moseley Braun-D replaced Dixon-D
1998-Fitzgerald-R replaced Moseley Braun-D(Scandals involving Moseley Braun-D- meeting the Nigerian dictator.)
2004-Obama-D replaced Fitzgerald-R
2010-Kirk-R replaced Obama/Burris-D)Blagovich-D selling this seat.
2016-Duckworth-D replaced Kirk-R
2022- seat will remain in the Democratic column.
2022 CT US Senate Race becomes less safe for Democrats if Themis Klarides is the GOP nominee.
Blumenthal-D is leading Klarides-R by a 10 percent margin.
Democrats will get over 60 percent of the popular vote in
CA(Padilla-D)
HI(Schatz-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
NY(Schumer-D)
VT(Welch-D)
Democrats will get over 55 percent of the popular vote in
CO(Bennet-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D)
IL(Duckworth-D)
OR(Wyden-D)
WA(Murray-D)
Democrats will get over 50 percent of the popular vote in
AZ(Kelly-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
The too close to call US Senate Races are
WI(Barnes-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
FL(Demings-D)
IA(Franken-D)
Top tier 2022 Democratic US Senate nominees
AL(Boyd-D)
AZ(Kelly-D)
AR(James-D)
CA(Padilla-D)
CO(Bennet-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D)
FL(Demings-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
HI(Schatz-D)
ID(Roth-D)
IL(Duckworth-D)
IN(McDermott-D)
IA(Franken-D)
KS(Holland-D)
KY(Booker-D)
LA(Chambers-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
MO(Kunce-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
NY(Schumer-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
ND(Christensen-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
OK regular(Madison Horn-D)
OK special(Kendra Horn-D)
OR(Wyden-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
SC(Matthews-D)
SD(Bengs-D)
UT(McMullin-D)
VT(Welch-D)
WA(Murray-D)
WI(Barnes-D)
Democrats are likely to win
37)HI
38)NY
39)CA
40)MD
41)VT
42)CT
43)OR
44)IL
45)WA
46)CO
47)NH
48)NV
49)AZ
50)PA
51)GA
52)WI
53)NC
54)OH
55)FL
Vulnerable Republican and Democratic US Senate seats in 2022?
Republican
1)PA
2)WI
3)NC
4)OH
5)FL
6)IA
I expect Democrats to win most of these seats.
Democratic
1)GA
2)NV
3)AZ
4)NH
Democrats will narrowly hold onto all these seats
Worst case scenario for Democrats in the 2022 US Senate Elections a gaining at least 1 seat.
Democrats will win
AZ(Kelly-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
AZ,GA,NV and NH are Democratic held seats.
PA is a Republican held seat vacated by Toomey-R.
WI,NC,OH,and FL are wave election seats but likely Democratic nominee in those seats are outstanding candidates.
WI(Barnes-D)
NC(Beasley-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
FL(Demings-D)
Will a former black female police chief from Orlando,FL win statewide in FL?
The Democratic nominees in previous FL statewide elections were moderate white male. We need to see how Val Demings does against Marco Rubio. If Demings loses by a narrow margin, will she run against Rick Scott who is an easier target than Rubio?
Does GA-7cd US Representative Carolyn Boudreaux-D have a future in elected office in GA?
Boudreaux lost a Democratic primary race to current Democratic US Representative Lucy McBath due to Redistricting.
Run for the US House in GA-7 if and when McBath runs for statewide office or gets a cabinet position in 2nd Biden/1st Harris term.
Run for Statewide office- Lt Governor.
Run for a seat in the GA state legislature.
Crackpot Republican 2022 US Senate Nominees?
AZ- Blake Masters-R
GA- Herschel Walker-R
MO- Eric Greitens-R (How strong of a general election candidate are Lucas Kunce-D or Trudy Busch Valentine-D?)
NH- Donald Boluc-R
OH- JD Vance-R
PA- Mehmet Oz-R
Who is going to be the next Rick Boucher-VA/Colin Petersen-MN?
Longtime Democratic US House Members that represent extremely Republican district.
Will that be Marcy Kaptur of OH?
US Sente seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will be most likely going to win.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
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