nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalThe maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats will end up with after 2022 if 57.
Landslide margin victory for Democrats.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
Low double digit margin victory for Democrats.
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
High single digit margin victory for Democrats.
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D(
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
Narrow Democratic victory.
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)OH(Ryan-D)
53)WI(Barnes-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
Upset
55)FL(Demings-D)
56)IA(Franken-D)
57)MO(Valentine-D)
Democrats will definitely end up with 53 US Senate seats after 1/2023.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)WI(Barnes-D)
51)OH(Ryan-D)
52)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
53)GA(Warnock-D)12/2022 runoff.
Democrats getting 52 US Senate seats without GA which is likely to be decided in 12/2022
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)OH(Ryan-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
The end of 4/2022, Warnock's campaign gained traction.
He started leading Walker in most polls.
Polls between 12/2021 to 4/2022 had Walker leading. I expect Warnock to be leading right till 11/2022 or 1/2023.
Which Democratic held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022 is the most vulnerable?
GA or NV?
Democrats are don’t need GA and NV because they will pick up PA,WI,OH, and NC. Democrats will end up winning GA and NV.
2 public opinion polling companies for the 2022 US Senate Elections in
AZ,GA,NV,NC,OH,and PA.
Pem Management has Democrats leading in
OH by 6
PA by 6
NC by 3
Beacon Research has Democrats leading in
NV by 6
AZ by 11
GA by 5
PA by 11
Democrats will definitely win the 2022 US Senate Elections in all of the Biden 2020 states.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
2022 US Senate Elections in states the Democrats are favored to win.
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
Is the 2022 GA elections going to be similar to the 1998 GA elections.
1998
US Senate Paul Coverdell-R
Governor Roy Barnes-D
2022
US Senate Raphael Warnock-D
Governor Brian Kemp-R
Who is going to win by a wider margin? Ryan-OH or Barnes-WI?
Barnes represents a Democratic friendly state.
Ryan has crossover appeal.
Who is more unpopular/controversial?
Johnson-WI or Vance-OH
Democrats will hold onto
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
Democrats will pick up
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
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