nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's JournalDoes Sherriff Joe prefer pink-
bra and thong?
boxers?
briefs?
Will Sherriff Joe make members of the Trump administration wear pink undergarments?
Is Sherriff Joe Donald Trumps' father figure?
Any chance Sherriff Joe gets a position in the Trump-Pence-Sessions Justice Department?
Federal Bureau of Prisons executive.
Is the pardon of Sherriff Joe a nail in the coffin to the Trump Presidency?
Will the pardon of Sherriff Joe hurt the Republican candidates for AZ US Senate, AZ Governorship, and AZ Attorney General?
2020 Democratic Vice Presidential Nominee-Al Franken (D-MN)
Al Franken (D-MN) is the ideal Vice Presidential runningmate to either Cory Booker (D-NJ), Kamala Harris (D-CA), or Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) and here is why.
Franken is a progressive Democratic US Senator from MN-a battleground state in the midwest. MN has and will have a Democratic Governor after 2018. Franken's US Senate successor will be a Democrat-Keith Ellison.
2018 US Senate Election Rating-Least to Most Vulnerable Democratic and Republican held seats.
2018
Democratic Held Seats.
Solid Democratic
HI-Hirono-D 24
NY-Gillibrand-D 25
VT-Sanders-I/D 26
DE-Carper-D 27
MN-Klobuchar-D 28
RI-Whitehouse-D 29
CA-Feinstein-D 30
WA-Cantwell-D 31
MD-Cardin-D 32
CT-Murphy-D 33
MA-Warren-D 34
NM-Heinrich-D 35
Likely Democratic
NJ-Whoever Governor Elect Murphy-D appoints to replace Menendez-D 36
MI-Stabenow-D 37
ME-King-I/D 38
VA-Kaine-D 39
PA-Casey-D 40
Lean Democratic
WI-Baldwin-D 41
OH-Brown-D 42
MT-Tester-D 43
FL-Nelson-D 44
ND-Heitkamp-D 45
Tossup Democratc
WV-Manchin-D 46
Tossup Republican
MO-McCaskill-D/Hawley-R 45
IN-Donnelly-D/Messer-R or Rokita-R 46
Republican Held Seats
Solid Republican
WY-Barrasso-R 47
UT-Hatch-R 48
TN-Corker-R 49
MS-Wicker-R 50
NE-Fischer-R 51
Likely Republican
TX-Cruz-R 52
Tossup Democratic
AZ-Flake-R/Sinema-D 47
NV-Heller-R/Rosen-D 48
2020-Democrats guide to a majority
Scenario 1-Democrats win the 2020 US Presidential Election.
Democrats pick up CO,NC,and win the 2020 US Presidential Election
Democrats pick up CO,AZ Special, and win the 2020 US Presidential Election
Democrats pick up CO,ME-if Collins-R is not the Republican nominee, and win the 2020 US Presidential Election.
Democrats pick up CO,MT-if Bullock-D is the Democratic nominee, and win the 2020 US Presidential Election.
Democrats pick up CO,AK-if Berkowitz-D or Begich-D are the Democratic nominee, and win the 2020 US Presidential Election.
Scenario 2-Democrats lose the 2020 US Presidential Election.
Democrats pick up CO,NC,and AZ-Special.
Democrats pick up CO,NC,and ME-if Collins-R is not the Republican nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,NC, and MT-if Bullock-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,NC, and AK-if Berkowitz-D or Begich-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,AZ Special,and ME-if Collins-R is not the Republican nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,AZ Special, and MT-if Bullock-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,AZ Special and AK-if Berkowitz-D or Begich-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,ME-if Collins-R is not the Republican nominee,and MT-if Bullock-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,ME-if Collins-R is not the Republican nominee, and AK-if Berkowitz-D or Begich-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,MT-if Bullock-D is the Democratic nominee,and AK-if Berkowitz-D or Begich-D is the Democratic nominee.
2018 and 2020 US Senate Election-Democrats guide to a majority.
Scenario 1
2018
All Democratic held US Senate seats up in 2018 remain in the Democratic column. 48D
Democrats pick up
AZ-Sinema-D 49D
NV-Rosen-D 50D
2020
CO-Hickenlooper,Perlmutter,Kennedy,Johnston,Markey,Hancock,Neguse,Salazar-assume he is elected CO AG in 2018, or Crow-assuming he defeats Coffman in CO-6cd US House seat in 2018. 51D
Scenario 2
2018
Democrats lose US Senate seats in states Trump won by a double digit margin except MT-Tester-D and ND-Heitkamp-D 45D
Democrats pick up
AZ-Sinema-D 46D
NV-Rosen-D 47D
2020
CO-Hickenlooper,Perlmutter,Kennedy,Johnston,Markey,Hancock,Neguse,Salazar,or Crow. 48D
NC-Foxx,Cowell,Stein,Wood,Ross,Roberts,McIntyre,Kissell,Schuler,Miller,Jackson,or Martin. 49D
GA-Evans,Barrow,Reed,or Ossoff. 50D
MT-Bullock or Curtis-assuming she defeats Gianforte in 2018. 51D
AK-Berkowitz 52D
IA-Vilsack or Loebsack or Boulton. 53D
AZ-if there is a special election-Stanton or Gallego or Kelly. 54D
ME-if there is an open seat-Pingree or Michaud. 55D
2020 US Senate Election-Democrats guide to a regaining control of the US Senate.
After the 2018 Election- Democrats will hold somewhere between 46 seats (gain AZ and NV, lose IN,MO,ND-if Cramer-R runs,and WV) to 50 seats (gain AZ and NV)
In 2020 Democrats need to hold onto
Solid Democratic
DE-Coons-D 36D
IL-Durbin-D 37D
MA-Markey-D 38D
NJ-Booker-D 39D
NM-Udall-D 40D
OR-Merkley-D 41D
RI-Reed-D 42D
Likely Democratic
MI-Peters-D 43D
MN-Franken-D 44D
Lean Democratic
NH-Shaheen-D 45D
VA-Warner-D 46D
and pick up
Lean Democratic
CO-Hickenlooper,Perlmutter,Markey,Kennedy,Johnston or Hancock-D 47D
Tossup Democratic
AZ if there is a special election-Stanton,Kirkpatrick,Kelly,or Gallego-D 47/48D
ME-if Collins retires or gets defeated in the primary or gets defeated in the primary but runs as an Independent-
Pingree or Michaud-D 47/49D
MT-Bullock-D 48/50
NC-Wood,Foxx,Cowell,or Kissell-D 49/51D
Tossup Republican
AK-Berkowitz-D 50/52D
GA-Barrow,Reed,Evans, or Ossoff-D 51/53D
2018 and 2020 US Senate Election-Number of US Senate Seats Democrats will have after 2018 and 2020.
2018
Democrats are going to pick up
AZ-Sinema-D defeats Flake-R by a high single digit margin and defeats Ward-R by a low double digit margin. +1D 49D
NV-Rosen-D defeats Heller-R by a high single digit margin and defeats Tarkanian-R by a low double digit margin. +2D 50D
Democrats could lose
MO-McCaskill-D loses to Hawley-R by a narrow digit margin. -1D 49D
IN-Donnelly-D loses to Messer-R or Rokita-R by a narrow margin. -2D 48D
WV-Manchin-D loses to Morrisey-R or Jenkins-R by a narrow margin. -3D 47D
2020
Democrats are going to hold onto every Democratic held seat up in 2020 including in battleground states in
MI-Peters-D wins re-election by a low double digit margin.
MN-Franken-D wins re-election by a low double digit margin.
NH-Shaheen-D wins re-election by a high single digit margin.
VA-Warner-D wins re-election by a high single digit margin.
Democrats are going to pick up
CO-Gardner-R loses to Perlmutter-D by a low double digit margin. +1D 48D
AZ Special- McCain's successor-R loses to Stanton-D by a high single digit margin. +2D 49D
NC-Tillis-R loses to Kissell-D by a high single digit margin. +3D 50D
GA-Perdue-R loses to Barrow-D by a narrow margin. +4D 51D
Too Close to call
MT-Daines-R vs Bullock-D
ME(Open-Collins-R) Poliquin-R vs Pingree-D
Ed Perlmutter (D-CO) is seeking re-election to the US House in 2018.
Will Perlmutter make another run for statewide office in 2020-US Senate against Gardner?
Perlmutter dropped out of the Governors Race because he had to compete in the Democratic primary against Polis and his personal wealth?
2020 KY US Senate Race-McConnell-R vs McGrath-D
Amy McGrath-D is currently running for the KY-6CD US House Race against Andy Barr-R. If McGrath-D defeats Barr-R or comes close to defeating Barr-D in KY-6 (+9R PVI)- She should be the Democratic nominee for the US Senate against McConnell.
McGrath is an Iraq and Afghanistan War Veteran.
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