2023.
Democrats need to hold onto all of the seats they currently hold(including GA and NV) and pick up PA and either OH,NC, or WI.
2024
Concede WV and primary challenge Sinema-AZ with Ruben or Kate Gallego. I prefer Kate Gallego. A woman US Senator from Phoenix who is way more loyal to the Democratic Party than Sinema. Hold onto MT and OH.
MT(Tester-D vs Zinke-R or Rosendale-R).
OH(Brown-D vs Anthony Gonzalez-R)
2026
Hold onto GA(Ossoff-D vs Kemp-R) and pick up NC(Cooper-D vs Tillis-R)

NV is a bluer than GA, but the 2022 Republican US Senate nominee in GA(Walker-R) is more unpopular than the 2022 Republican US Senate nominee in NV(Laxalt-R).

US Senate seats the Democrats will win by a wider to narrower margin.

HI(Schatz-D)
CA(Padilla-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
NY(Schumer-D)
OR(Wyden-D)
IL(Duckworth-D)
VT(Welch-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D)
WA(Murray-D)
CO(Bennet-D)
AZ(Kelly-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
GA(Warnock-D)
OH(Ryan-D)

I put OH ahead of WI and NC because Ryan-OH is more popular and experienced than Barnes-WI and Beasley-NC and Vance-OH is more unpopular and inexperienced than Johnson-WI and Budd-NC.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)OH(Ryan-D)

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)OR(Wyden-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)VT(Welch-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)OH(Ryan-D)
53)WI(Barnes-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)OR(Wyden-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)VT(Welch-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)OR(Wyden-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)VT(Welch-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)

MI(Stabenow-D and Peters-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D and Smith-D)
OH(Brown-D and Ryan-D)
WI(Baldwin-D and Barnes-D)

WI(Barnes-D),OH(Ryan-D),or NC(Beasley-D)?

Ryan-D is the best candidates the Democrats could have nominated but OH is a red state.
In WI, not only is Barnes is losing the WI US Senate race, Evers losing the WI Governors race according to the recent public opinion poll.
NC is an open seat election in a weak red state. Cheri Beasley and Ted Budd have the same political skills.

US Representative Mike Gallagher-R
US Representative Bryan Steil-R

Gallego or Stanton-D
Masters or Limon-R
Sinema-I

Sinema’s base will be the moderate Republican voters.