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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
September 11, 2022

US Senate Seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 will be in the Biden states plus NC and OH.

States where Democrats are leading in the average polls(RCP and 538).
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

FL will be a narrow Democrtic(Demings-D) loss.
The Republican incumbent US Senators running for re-election in 2022 that are very vulnerable are Rubio-FL and Johnson-WI.
Johnson-WI loses by a narrow margin.
Rubio-FL wins by a narrow margin.

PA,OH,and NC are open Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win. Democrats will win OH and NC by a narrow margin. PA by a high single digit margin.
AL,MO,and OK special are open Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Republicans will win.

Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will narrowly win are AZ,NH,NV,and GA.



September 11, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 are in the Biden 2020 states plus NC,OH,and FL.

Safe D
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)CA(Padilla-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
Likely D
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
Lean D
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
Tilt D
50)WI(Barnes-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
Tossup
52)GA(Warnock-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)






September 11, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a solid to slight margin.

37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)



September 11, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 that the Democrats will win.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)

September 11, 2022

Democrats guide to 52 US Senate seats after 2022 with and without GA.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)OR(Wyden-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)WI(Barnes-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)GA(Warnock-D)
52/53)OH(Ryan-D)
52/53/54)NC(Beasley-D)
52/53/54/55)FL(Demings-D)

September 10, 2022

Which US Senate seat up for re-election in 2022 do the Democrats have a better chance of winning?

GA(Warnock-D) or WI(Barnes-D)?

Democrats are going to win-
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
Tossup/Democratic
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)

September 10, 2022

Democrats guide to 52 US Senate seats after the 2022 elections without GA.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)VT(Welch-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)CA(Padilla-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)NC(Beasley-D)


Tossup Races are in GA,OH,and FL.



September 10, 2022

Democrats will be gettting more than 52 US Senate seats after 2022 without worrying about GA.

GA is going to be decided in the 12/2022 runoff. Before the GA runoff is decided, Democrats are going to win-
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)WI(Barnes-D)
51)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
52)OH(Ryan-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)


Democrats win GA since they are going to be in the majority in the US Senate.


September 10, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats will have after 2022.

Safe D
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
Likely D
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
Lean D
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
Tilt D
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)

Democrats will remain in the majority and don’t have to worry about Manchin and Sinema if they don’t win GA.
Democrats are more likely going to win WI,OH,and NC.




September 10, 2022

Democrats are gonna have more than 52 US Senate seats after 2022 without GA(Warnock-D)

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)VT(Welch-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)
52)NC(Beasley-D)

The Tossup seats are
GA runoff(Warnock-D)
OH(Ryan-D)
FL(Demings-D)



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