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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
December 9, 2023

Who is going to be the next US Representative from MD-3 and MD-6?

MD-3
Sarah Elfreth-D
Clarence Lam—D
MD-6
Lesley Lopez-D
Joe Vogel-D

December 8, 2023

Tom Suozzi is in the same situation as Jane Harman -CA.

Harman gave up her CA US House seat in 1998 to run for Governor, she lost in the Democratic Primary to Gray Davis. In 2000, Harman ran for her former CA US House seat and won.

December 7, 2023

Is Devin Nunes going to run for Kevin McCarthy's US House seat or is he satisfied working at Trump media?

Nunes resigned from US House to become CEO of Trump Media. His sucessor Connie Conway was placed in Kevin McCarthy’s US House district.

December 3, 2023

The likely Democratic Nominee for the 2024 US House Election in MD-3 and MD-6.

MD-3
Vanessa Atterbeary- Howard
Sarah Elfreth- Anne Arundel
Clarence Lam- Howard and Anne Arundel.
MD-6
April McClain Delaney- wife of former MD-6 US House Member John Delaney.
Tekesha Martinez- Mayor of Hagerstown,MD- city in Washington County MD
Lesley Lopez
Joe Vogel
Vanessa Atterbeary, Sarah Elfreth or Clarence Lam will be the Democratic Nominee for MD-3
Joe Vogel or Lesley Lopez will be the Democratic Nominee for MD-6










December 3, 2023

Did Santos conned the voters in NY-3cd to send him to the US House or was the Democratic nominee

Robert Zimmerman a lackluster candidate?
Could Jon Kaiman or Josh Lafazan defeated Santos if either of them were the Democratic nominee?
Democrats need a stronger candidate other than Tom Suozzi in 2024.
We need to make sure that Suozzi does not bail out in 2026 to run for NY State Comptroller if the current NY State Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli decides to retire after 20 years in office.

December 2, 2023

Democrats guide to remaining control of the US House in 2024.

Democrats will lose NC-6,NC-13,and NC-14.
Democrats have to pick up
AL-2
CA-13
CA-22
CA-27
CA-45
NY-3
NY-4
NY-17
NY-19
NY-22
OR-5


December 2, 2023

Lisa Blunt Rochester(DE) is so far going to be the only black female US Senator in the next Congress.

Blunt Rochester does not face a top tier primary opposition that Angela Alsobrooks(MD) and Barbara Lee(CA) is facing.

John Carney(DE) has yet to announce his plans.
David Trone(MD) has a lot of money. Total Wine and More franchise.and Congressional experience.
Adam Schiff and Katie Porter(CA) are fighting to face Barbara Lee in the runoff.

December 2, 2023

How reliable is the RMG Research poll?

RMG Research(Scott Rasmussen) poll conducted a survey for the 2024 MD US Senate Democratic Primary.
It has Trone leading Alsobrooks by 45-25 percent.
This is despite the fact the overwhelming majority of the Democratic Elected officials in MD are backing Alsobrooks.
Van Hollen
Hoyer
Mfume
Ivey
Moore
Miller
Lierman
Pittman- Anne Arundel
Olszewski- Baltimore
Scott- Baltimore City
Ball- Howard
Elrich- Montgomery
Bill Ferguson- MD Senate President
Adrienne Jones- MD House Speaker




December 1, 2023

How many class of 2000,2006,2012,and 2018 Democratic US Senators are going to be left?

2000
Cantwell-WA
Carper-DE and Stabenow-MI are retiring.
2006
Klobuchar-MN
Casey-PA
Whitehouse-RI
Sanders-VT if he runs again.
Brown-OH and Tester-MT are in a very tough re-election campaign.
Cardin-MD is retiring.
Menendez-NJ is going to lose.
2012
Murphy-CT
Hirono-HI
King-ME
Warren-MA
Heinrich-NM
Gillibrand-NY
Kaine-VA
Baldwin-WI
Manchin-WV is retiring.
2018
Rosen-NV
Sinema-AZ is going to retire or lose.

The class of 2024 Democratic US Senators will be
Schiff or Porter-CA
Blunt Rochester-DE
Alsobrooks-MD
Gallego-AZ
Slotkin-MI
The class of 2024 Republican US Senators will be
Banks-IN
Ricketts-NE
Republican Primary Winner-UT
Justice-WV


December 1, 2023

1988 US Presidential and US Senate Election in OH.

George HW Bush carried OH by a 10.85 percent margin.
Howard Metzenbaum was re-elected to the US Senate by a 14 percent margin.

Sherrod Brown is going to win re-election by a high single/low double digit margin.

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