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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
October 29, 2017

I just make an additional $60.00 campaign contribution to the Doug Jones Campaign plus

$7.00 to actblue.
We cannot let this bigot Judge Roy Moore be in the US Senate!
We also need to defeat Ted Cruz-TX and Marsha Blackburn or Stephen Fincher-TN in 2018!
We also need to prevent FL Governor Rick Scott-R from defeating FL US Senator Bill Nelson!

October 28, 2017

2018 US Senate Election-Most Vulnerable and Least Vulnerable DEM and GOP held seat.

Most Vulnerable REP held seat.
Heller-NV
Most Vulnerable DEM held seat.
Manchin-WV
Least Vulnerable REP held seat.
Barrasso-WY
Least Vulnerable DEM held seat.
Hirono-HI

October 28, 2017

Proposal to change the 22nd Amendment from lifetime term limits to consecutive term limits.

What if we make the national executive term limits law identical to some state executive term limits law?
Donald Trump/Mike Pence-R could face a primary challenge from George W. Bush/Dan Quayle-R and then lose in the general election to Barack Obama/Al Gore-D.
The proposed consecutive term limits law is like what they have in CA. Jerry Brown was elected CA Governor in 1974 and 1978, in 1982 he was unable to run for CA Governor. After 28 years out of office, Brown was again elected CA Governor in 2010 and 2014.
George W Bush and Barack Obama are both former 2 term US Presidents. Dan Quayle and Al Gore are former Vice Presidents, I choosed Dan Quayle-R over Dick Cheney-R and Al Gore-D over Joe Biden-D because Cheney-R and Biden-D are too old to be VP.
I want to see who wins the 2020 Republican Presidential Primary between Trump and Bush43 and I want to see Obama crush either Trump or Bush43 in the November 2020 General Election.
Barack Obama and Al Gore can clean up the mess Donald Trump has made and will make.

October 27, 2017

Which US Senators I prefer from each state?

AL-Shelby-R
AK-Murkowski-R
AZ-Flake-R
AR-Boozman-R
CA-Harris-D
CO-Bennet-D
CT-Murphy-D
DE-Coons-D
FL-Nelson-D
GA-Isakson-R
HI-Schatz-D
ID-Crapo-R
IL-Duckworth-D
IN-Donnelly-D
IA-Grassley-R
KS-Moran-R
KY-Paul-R
LA-Kennedy-R
ME-King-I
MD-Van Hollen-D
MA-Warren-D
MI-Stabenow-D
MN-Klobuchar-D
MS-Wicker-R
MO-McCaskill-D
MT-Tester-D
NE-Sasse-R
NV-Cortez Masto-D
NH-Hassan-D
NJ-Booker-D
NM-Heinrich-D
NY-Gillibrand-D
NC-Burr-R
ND-Heitkamp-D
OH-Brown-D
OK-Lankford-R
OR-Merkley-D
PA-Casey-D
RI-Whitehouse-D
SC-Graham-R
SD-Rounds-R
TN-Corker-R
TX-Cornyn-R
UT-Hatch-R
VT-Sanders-I
VA-Kaine-D
WA-Murray-D
WV-Manchin-D
WI-Baldwin-D
WY-Barrasso-R

October 27, 2017

2017 Election prediction-AL US Senate,NJ Governor, and VA Governor

AL US Senate- Moore-R by a 0 to 5 percent margin.
NJ Governor- Murphy-D by a 15 to 20 percent margin.
VA Governor- Northam-D by a 5 to 10 percent margin.

October 26, 2017

2018 US Senate Election-based on public opinion polling.

Solid Democratic
CA-Feinstein-D 24
CT-Murphy-D 25
DE-Carper-D 26
HI-Hirono-D 27
ME-King-I/D 28
MD-Cardin-D 29
MA-Warren-D 30
MN-Klobuchar-D 31
NY-Gillibrand-D 32
RI-Whitehouse-D 33
VT-Sanders-I/D 34
WA-Cantwell-D 35
Solid Republican
MS-Wicker-R 44
NE-Fischer-R 45
TN-Fincher/Blackburn-R 46
WY-Barrasso-R 47
Likely Democratic
MI-Stabenow-D 36
NJ-Pallone or whoever Murphy appoints-D 37
NM-Heinrich-D 38 (Solid Democratic without Martinez-R/Lean Democratic with Martinez-R)
PA-Casey-D 39
VA-Kaine-D 40
Likely Republican
AL-Moore-R 48
UT-Hatch-R 49
Lean Democratic
AZ-Sinema-D 41
FL-Nelson-D 42 (if Scott-R runs -Tossup Democratic)
MT-Tester-D 43
WV-Manchin-D 44
WI-Baldwin-D 45
Lean Republican
MO-Hawley-R 50
TX-Cruz-R 51
Tossup Democratic
NV-Rosen-D 46
Tossup Republican
IN-Messer/Rokita-R 52
No Clear Favorite
ND-(Heitkamp-D vs Campbell-R)
OH-(Brown-D vs Mandel-R)

October 25, 2017

2018 US House Election-Districts Democrats need to win to regain control of the US House.

1)AZ-2
2)CA-10
3)CA-21
4)CA-25
5)CA-39
6)CA-48
7)CA-49
8)CO-6
9)FL-26
10)FL-27
11)GA-6
12)IL-12
13)IA-1
14)IA-3
15)KS-2
16)KS-3
17)ME-2
18)MI-8
19)MI-11
20)MN-2
21)MN-3
22)MT-AL
23)NE-2
24)NJ-7
25)NJ-11
26)NY-19
27)NY-22
28)NY-24
29)PA-6
30)PA-7
31)PA-8
32)PA-15
33)TX-7
34)TX-23
35)VA-10
36)WA-8
Democrats have to hold onto
1)AZ-1
2)FL-7
3)MN-1
4)MN-8
5)NV-3
6)NH-1
7)NJ-5

October 25, 2017

2018 Democratic Presidential Ticket-Amy Klobuchar/Bob Casey.

Turns PA,MI,WI,and MN into blue states. Unites both wings of the Democratic Party.

October 25, 2017

2018 US Senate Election-due to the recent announcement of Flake (R-AZ) not seeking re-election,

AZ moves from a Tossup to a Lean Democratic. Sinema-D defeats Ward-R by a high single digit margin.

October 24, 2017

List of Democratic US Senators after the 2018 midterm elections

AZ-Sinema-D 1
CA-Feinstein-D 2
CA-Harris-D 3
CO-Bennet-D 4
CT-Blumenthal-D 5
CT-Murphy-D 6
DE-Carper-D 7
DE-Coons-D 8
FL-Nelson-D 9
HI-Schatz-D 10
HI-Hirono-D 11
IL-Durbin-D 12
IL-Duckworth-D 13
IN-Donnelly-D 14
ME-King-I/D 15
MD-Cardin-D 16
MD-Van Hollen-D 17
MA-Warren-D 18
MA-Markey-D 19
MI-Stabenow-D 20
MI-Peters-D 21
MN-Klobuchar-D 22
MN-Franken-D 23
MO-McCaskill-D 24
MT-Tester-D 25
NV-Cortez Masto-D 26
NV-Rosen-D 27
NH-Shaheen-D 28
NH-Hassan-D 29
NJ-Booker-D 30
NJ-Pallone-D 31
NM-Udall-D 32
NM-Heinrich-D 33
NY-Schumer-D 34
NY-Gillibrand-D 35
ND-Heitkamp-D 36
OH-Brown-D 37
OR-Wyden-D 38
OR-Merkley-D 39
PA-Casey-D 40
RI-Reed-D 41
RI-Whitehouse-D 42
VT-Leahy-D 43
VT-Sanders-I/D 44
VA-Warner-D 45
VA-Kaines-D 46
WA-Murray-D 47
WA-Cantwell-D 48
WV-Manchin-D 49
WI-Baldwin-D 50
We will have a 50 Democratic US Senators. We will need ME-Collins-R to defeat any of Trump's policies.

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