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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
March 2, 2018

2018 US Senate Election- Incoming US Senators.

AZ- Sinema-D or McSally-R
CA- DeLeon-D
FL- Scott-R
IN- Messer-R or Rokita-R
MO- Hawley-R
NV- Rosen-D
ND- Cramer-R
TN- Bredesen-D or Blackburn-R
UT- Romney-R


AZ,CA,FL,IN,MO,NV,ND,and TN are Tossups.
UT- Romney-R is strongly favored to win.
Likely 2018 US Senator Elects
AZ-Sinema-D or McSally-R
TN-Bredensen-D or Blackburn-R
UT-Romney-R

February 25, 2018

2018 US Senate Elections-highly vulnerable Democratic and Republican held seats.

Highly vulnerable Democratic held seats.
1)ND(Heitkamp-D vs Cramer-R)
2)IN(Donnelly-D vs Messer/Rokita-R)
3)MO(McCaskill-D vs Hawley-R)
4)FL(Nelson-D vs Scott-R)
5)OH(Brown-D vs Renacci-R)
6)WV(Manchin-D vs Jenkins/Morrissey-R)
7)MT(Tester-D vs Rosendale-R)
Highly vulnerable Republican held seats.
1)NV(Heller-R vs Rosen-D)
2)AZ(McSally-R vs Sinema-D)
3)TN(Blackburn-R vs Bredesen-D)
4)TX(Cruz-R vs O'Rourke-D)
Democrats are going to pick up NV,AZ,and TN.
Republicans are going to pick up ND and IN.
50D(48D 2I)50R
2020 US Senate Elections-highly vulnerable Democratic and Republican held seats.
Highly vulnerable Democratic held seats.
1)AL(Jones-D vs A Non Controversial-R)
2)NH(Shaheen-D vs Sununu-R)
Highly vulnerable Republican held seats.
1)CO(Gardner-R vs Hickenlooper-D or Perlmutter-D)
2)NC(Tillis-R vs Stein-D)
3)MT(Daines-R vs Bullock-D)
4)TX(Cornyn-R vs Castro-D)
Democrats are going to pick up CO,NC,and MT.
Republicans are going to pick up AL.
52D(50D 2I)48R

February 22, 2018

2018 US House Election.-Democrats guide to a majority.

Lean Democratic Takeover. +12D
AZ-2
CA-39
CA-49
FL-27
MN-2
NJ-2
NJ-12
PA-5
PA-6
PA-7
VA-10
WA-8
Must win Democratic Districts.
CA-10
CA-21
CA-25
CA-45
CA-48
CO-6
FL-26
IA-1
MI-11
MN-1
MN-3
MN-8
NE-2
NY-19
NY-22
NY-24
PA-1
TX-23

February 21, 2018

2018 US Senate Election Rating.

Democratic Held Seats.
Tossup
ND(Heitkamp-D) vs Cramer-R
IN(Donnelly-D) vs Messer/Rokita-R
MO(McCaskill-D) vs Hawley-R
Slight Democratic
FL(Nelson-D) vs Scott-R
WV(Manchin-D) vs Jenkins/Morrisey-R
Lean Democratic
OH(Brown-D) vs Rennacci-R
MT(Tester-D) vs Rosendale-R
Likely Democratic
WI(Baldwin-D)
PA(Casey-D) vs Barletta-R
MI(Stabenow-D)
MN(Smith-D)
ME(King-I)
NJ(Menendez-D)
Solid Democratic
VA(Kaine-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
MA(Warren-D)
MD(Cardin-D)
DE(Carper-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
CA(Feinstein-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
HI(Hirono-D)

February 16, 2018

2018 ND US Senate Race- Is Cramer-R a better or worse candidate than Berg-R- the 2012 nominee?

Heitkamp(D-ND) is one of the top 4 most vulnerable Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2018.
McCaskill(D-MO) and Donnelly(D-IN) are number 1/2 in vulnerability assuming the 2018 GOP nominee in IN and MO does not make a gaffe like the 2012 GOP nominee in IN and MO.
Heitkamp(D-ND) is number 3 in vulnerability due to the recent announcement of Cramer-R reconsidering his decision to run.
Heitkamp's brother should run for the ND-AL US House seat. It would be awesome if Heidi and Joel Heitkamp win ND Congressional Races in 2018.
Nelson(D-FL) is number 4 in vulnerability assuming Scott(R-FL) decides to run.
Manchin(D-WV),Tester(D-MT), and Brown(D-OH) are number 5/6/7 in vulnerability.
Casey(D-PA) is number 8
Baldwin(D-WI) is number 9
Stabenow(D-MI) is number 10

February 13, 2018

2018 NV US Senate Race went from Tossup to Lean Democratic Takeover

Dean Heller has announced he is supporting Trump's immigration policy.
Democrats are also likely to win the 2018 AZ US Senate Race.
Picking up AZ and NV and holding onto vulnerable Democratic seats in FL,IN,MO,MT,ND,and OH gives Democrats 51 seats. Democrats could also pick up TN.

February 3, 2018

Could Paul Ryan be the first Speaker of House since Tom Foley(1994) to lose re-election?

Tom Foley(D-WA-5) lost re-election in the 1994 GOP wave.
Paul Ryan(R-WI-1) could lose re-election in the 2018 Democratic wave.

February 3, 2018

2018 US House Election-seats Democrats are likely to pick up

1)AZ-2
2)CA-39
3)CA-49
4)FL-27
5)MN-2
6)NJ-2
7)NJ-12
8)PA-7
9)VA-10
10)WA-8
11)CA-25
12)CA-48
13)CO-6
14)FL-26
15)IA-1
16)MI-11
17)NE-2
18)NY-19
19)TX-23
20)CA-10
21)IL-6
22)NY-22
23)TX-7
24)CA-21
25)MN-3
26)NY-24

February 3, 2018

2018 US Senate Election-seats Democrats are likely to win.

AZ-Sinema-D
CA-Feinstein-D
CT-Murphy-D
DE-Carper-D
FL-Nelson-D
HI-Hirono-D
IN-Donnelly-D
ME-King-I/D
MD-Cardin-D
MA-Warren-D
MI-Stabenow-D
MN-Klobuchar-D
MN-Smith-D
MO-McCaskill-D
MT-Tester-D
NV-Rosen-D
NJ-Menendez-D
NM-Heinrich-D
NY-Gillibrand-D
ND-Heitkamp-D
OH-Brown-D
PA-Casey-D
RI-Whitehouse-D
VT-Sanders-I/D
VA-Kaine-D
WA-Cantwell-D
WV-Manchin-D
WI-Baldwin-D
+2D

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