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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Fri Jan 20, 2017, 07:10 PM
Number of posts: 2,698

Journal Archives

2018 US Senate Election- Incoming US Senators.

AZ- Sinema-D or McSally-R
CA- DeLeon-D
FL- Scott-R
IN- Messer-R or Rokita-R
MO- Hawley-R
NV- Rosen-D
ND- Cramer-R
TN- Bredesen-D or Blackburn-R
UT- Romney-R


AZ,CA,FL,IN,MO,NV,ND,and TN are Tossups.
UT- Romney-R is strongly favored to win.
Likely 2018 US Senator Elects
AZ-Sinema-D or McSally-R
TN-Bredensen-D or Blackburn-R
UT-Romney-R
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Mar 1, 2018, 07:29 PM (0 replies)

2018 AZ-8 US House Special Election- What are Democratic Nominee Hiral Vyas Tipernini's chances?

Can she pull an upset win?
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Feb 28, 2018, 07:08 PM (1 replies)

2018 US Senate Elections-highly vulnerable Democratic and Republican held seats.

Highly vulnerable Democratic held seats.
1)ND(Heitkamp-D vs Cramer-R)
2)IN(Donnelly-D vs Messer/Rokita-R)
3)MO(McCaskill-D vs Hawley-R)
4)FL(Nelson-D vs Scott-R)
5)OH(Brown-D vs Renacci-R)
6)WV(Manchin-D vs Jenkins/Morrissey-R)
7)MT(Tester-D vs Rosendale-R)
Highly vulnerable Republican held seats.
1)NV(Heller-R vs Rosen-D)
2)AZ(McSally-R vs Sinema-D)
3)TN(Blackburn-R vs Bredesen-D)
4)TX(Cruz-R vs O'Rourke-D)
Democrats are going to pick up NV,AZ,and TN.
Republicans are going to pick up ND and IN.
50D(48D 2I)50R
2020 US Senate Elections-highly vulnerable Democratic and Republican held seats.
Highly vulnerable Democratic held seats.
1)AL(Jones-D vs A Non Controversial-R)
2)NH(Shaheen-D vs Sununu-R)
Highly vulnerable Republican held seats.
1)CO(Gardner-R vs Hickenlooper-D or Perlmutter-D)
2)NC(Tillis-R vs Stein-D)
3)MT(Daines-R vs Bullock-D)
4)TX(Cornyn-R vs Castro-D)
Democrats are going to pick up CO,NC,and MT.
Republicans are going to pick up AL.
52D(50D 2I)48R

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Feb 24, 2018, 08:24 PM (0 replies)

2018 US House Election.-Democrats guide to a majority.

Lean Democratic Takeover. +12D
AZ-2
CA-39
CA-49
FL-27
MN-2
NJ-2
NJ-12
PA-5
PA-6
PA-7
VA-10
WA-8
Must win Democratic Districts.
CA-10
CA-21
CA-25
CA-45
CA-48
CO-6
FL-26
IA-1
MI-11
MN-1
MN-3
MN-8
NE-2
NY-19
NY-22
NY-24
PA-1
TX-23

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Feb 22, 2018, 06:39 PM (0 replies)

2018 US Senate Election Rating.

Democratic Held Seats.
Tossup
ND(Heitkamp-D) vs Cramer-R
IN(Donnelly-D) vs Messer/Rokita-R
MO(McCaskill-D) vs Hawley-R
Slight Democratic
FL(Nelson-D) vs Scott-R
WV(Manchin-D) vs Jenkins/Morrisey-R
Lean Democratic
OH(Brown-D) vs Rennacci-R
MT(Tester-D) vs Rosendale-R
Likely Democratic
WI(Baldwin-D)
PA(Casey-D) vs Barletta-R
MI(Stabenow-D)
MN(Smith-D)
ME(King-I)
NJ(Menendez-D)
Solid Democratic
VA(Kaine-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
MA(Warren-D)
MD(Cardin-D)
DE(Carper-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
CA(Feinstein-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
HI(Hirono-D)

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Feb 21, 2018, 06:50 PM (0 replies)

2018 ND US Senate Race- Is Cramer-R a better or worse candidate than Berg-R- the 2012 nominee?

Heitkamp(D-ND) is one of the top 4 most vulnerable Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2018.
McCaskill(D-MO) and Donnelly(D-IN) are number 1/2 in vulnerability assuming the 2018 GOP nominee in IN and MO does not make a gaffe like the 2012 GOP nominee in IN and MO.
Heitkamp(D-ND) is number 3 in vulnerability due to the recent announcement of Cramer-R reconsidering his decision to run.
Heitkamp's brother should run for the ND-AL US House seat. It would be awesome if Heidi and Joel Heitkamp win ND Congressional Races in 2018.
Nelson(D-FL) is number 4 in vulnerability assuming Scott(R-FL) decides to run.
Manchin(D-WV),Tester(D-MT), and Brown(D-OH) are number 5/6/7 in vulnerability.
Casey(D-PA) is number 8
Baldwin(D-WI) is number 9
Stabenow(D-MI) is number 10

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Feb 15, 2018, 08:37 PM (0 replies)

2018 NV US Senate Race went from Tossup to Lean Democratic Takeover

Dean Heller has announced he is supporting Trump's immigration policy.
Democrats are also likely to win the 2018 AZ US Senate Race.
Picking up AZ and NV and holding onto vulnerable Democratic seats in FL,IN,MO,MT,ND,and OH gives Democrats 51 seats. Democrats could also pick up TN.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Tue Feb 13, 2018, 05:29 AM (3 replies)

Could Paul Ryan be the first Speaker of House since Tom Foley(1994) to lose re-election?

Tom Foley(D-WA-5) lost re-election in the 1994 GOP wave.
Paul Ryan(R-WI-1) could lose re-election in the 2018 Democratic wave.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Feb 3, 2018, 11:01 AM (2 replies)

2018 US House Election-seats Democrats are likely to pick up

1)AZ-2
2)CA-39
3)CA-49
4)FL-27
5)MN-2
6)NJ-2
7)NJ-12
8)PA-7
9)VA-10
10)WA-8
11)CA-25
12)CA-48
13)CO-6
14)FL-26
15)IA-1
16)MI-11
17)NE-2
18)NY-19
19)TX-23
20)CA-10
21)IL-6
22)NY-22
23)TX-7
24)CA-21
25)MN-3
26)NY-24
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Feb 3, 2018, 06:27 AM (0 replies)

2018 US Senate Election-seats Democrats are likely to win.

AZ-Sinema-D
CA-Feinstein-D
CT-Murphy-D
DE-Carper-D
FL-Nelson-D
HI-Hirono-D
IN-Donnelly-D
ME-King-I/D
MD-Cardin-D
MA-Warren-D
MI-Stabenow-D
MN-Klobuchar-D
MN-Smith-D
MO-McCaskill-D
MT-Tester-D
NV-Rosen-D
NJ-Menendez-D
NM-Heinrich-D
NY-Gillibrand-D
ND-Heitkamp-D
OH-Brown-D
PA-Casey-D
RI-Whitehouse-D
VT-Sanders-I/D
VA-Kaine-D
WA-Cantwell-D
WV-Manchin-D
WI-Baldwin-D
+2D
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Feb 3, 2018, 06:04 AM (0 replies)
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