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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Fri Jan 20, 2017, 07:10 PM
Number of posts: 2,900

Journal Archives

2020 US Senate Elections- Democratic challengers in competitive Republican held seats.

AK(Sullivan-R) Begich-D
AR(Cotton-R) Ross-D
CO(Gardner-R) Hickenlooper-D or Perlmutter-D
GA(Perdue-R)Barrow-D
IA(Ernst-R)Vilsack-D
KS(open-Roberts-R)Sebelius-D
KY(McConnell-R)Beshear-D or McGrath-D
LA(Cassidy-R)Landrieu-D Mitch
ME(Collins-R)Pingree-D
MS(McDaniel-R)Hood-D or Baria-D
MT(Daines-R)Bullock-D
NC(Tillis-R)Foxx-D
OK(open-Inhofe-R)Henry-D or Boren-D
TX(Cornyn-R)Castro-D Joaquin
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Mar 7, 2018, 07:59 PM (1 replies)

2018 US Senate Election Ratings

Solid Democratic
CA(Feinstein-D) 24D
CT(Murphy-D) 25D
DE(Carper-D) 26D
HI(Hirono-D) 27D
ME(King-I/D) 28D
MD(Cardin-D) 29D
MA(Warren-D) 30D
MN-A(Klobuchar-D) 31D
NJ(Menendez-D) 32D
NM(Heinrich-D) 33D
NY(Gillibrand-D) 34D
RI(Whitehouse-D) 35D
VT(Sanders-I/D) 36D
VA(Kaine-D) 37D
WA(Cantwell-D) 38D
Solid Republican
MS-A(Wicker-R)If Wicker-R is the Republican Nominee- Likely Republican If McDaniel-R 43R
NE(Fischer-R) 44R
UT(OPEN-R) Romney-R 45R
WY(Barrasso-R) 46R
Likely Democratic
MI(Stabenow-D) 39D
MN-B(Smith-D) 40D
PA(Casey-D) 41D
WI(Baldwin-D) 42D
Likely Republican
MS-B(OPEN-R)If anyone but McDaniel-R is the Republican Nominee.- Lean Republican If McDaniel-R 47R
Lean Democratic
MT(Tester-D) 43D
OH(Brown-D) 44D
WV(Manchin-D) 45D
Lean Republican
TX(Cruz-R) 48R
Slight Democratic
AZ(OPEN-R)Sinema-D vs McSally-R 46D
FL(Nelson-D) vs Scott-R 47D
IN(Donnelly-D) 48D
MO(McCaskill-D) 49D
NV(Heller-R)Rosen-D 50D
Slight Republican
TN(OPEN-R) Blackburn-R vs Bredesen-D 49R
Tossup
ND(Heitkamp-D) vs Cramer-R 51R

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Tue Mar 6, 2018, 11:04 PM (1 replies)

2018 MS US Senate Election-Mike Espy-D is running.

Former US Congressman and US Agricultural Secretary under Bill Clinton.
Was a defendant of an Independent Counsel investigation of charges that got Menendez(NJ) in trouble. Espy was acquitted on all charges.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Mon Mar 5, 2018, 07:42 PM (0 replies)

2018 MS US Senate Special Election- Does Jim Hood run or is he focused on becoming Governor in 2019?

If Jim Hood-D decides to run for MS Governor in 2019- he'd face Lt. Governor Tate Reeves in the November General Election.
If Jim Hood-D runs for the US Senate in 2018- he could face another Democrat in the runoff Special Election-Late November/Early December. Bennie Thompson.
MS US Senate Special Election is similar to Louisiana- all candidates regardless of party affiliation run on the same ballot.
We could see a Moderate to Conservative Democrat Jim Hood, A progressive black Democrat Bennie Thompson, and couple of top tier Republican candidates.
The runoff Special Election matchup
Hood-D vs Thompson-D
Hood-D vs ?????-R
Thompson-D vs ????-R
Bennie Thompson-D could increase AA turnout- help David Baria-D defeat McDaniel-R in the November General Election assuming McDaniel defeats Wicker in the Republican primary.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Mon Mar 5, 2018, 07:29 PM (0 replies)

2018 US Senate Election- Incoming US Senators.

AZ- Sinema-D or McSally-R
CA- DeLeon-D
FL- Scott-R
IN- Messer-R or Rokita-R
MO- Hawley-R
NV- Rosen-D
ND- Cramer-R
TN- Bredesen-D or Blackburn-R
UT- Romney-R


AZ,CA,FL,IN,MO,NV,ND,and TN are Tossups.
UT- Romney-R is strongly favored to win.
Likely 2018 US Senator Elects
AZ-Sinema-D or McSally-R
TN-Bredensen-D or Blackburn-R
UT-Romney-R
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Mar 1, 2018, 07:29 PM (0 replies)

2018 AZ-8 US House Special Election- What are Democratic Nominee Hiral Vyas Tipernini's chances?

Can she pull an upset win?
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Feb 28, 2018, 07:08 PM (1 replies)

2018 US Senate Elections-highly vulnerable Democratic and Republican held seats.

Highly vulnerable Democratic held seats.
1)ND(Heitkamp-D vs Cramer-R)
2)IN(Donnelly-D vs Messer/Rokita-R)
3)MO(McCaskill-D vs Hawley-R)
4)FL(Nelson-D vs Scott-R)
5)OH(Brown-D vs Renacci-R)
6)WV(Manchin-D vs Jenkins/Morrissey-R)
7)MT(Tester-D vs Rosendale-R)
Highly vulnerable Republican held seats.
1)NV(Heller-R vs Rosen-D)
2)AZ(McSally-R vs Sinema-D)
3)TN(Blackburn-R vs Bredesen-D)
4)TX(Cruz-R vs O'Rourke-D)
Democrats are going to pick up NV,AZ,and TN.
Republicans are going to pick up ND and IN.
50D(48D 2I)50R
2020 US Senate Elections-highly vulnerable Democratic and Republican held seats.
Highly vulnerable Democratic held seats.
1)AL(Jones-D vs A Non Controversial-R)
2)NH(Shaheen-D vs Sununu-R)
Highly vulnerable Republican held seats.
1)CO(Gardner-R vs Hickenlooper-D or Perlmutter-D)
2)NC(Tillis-R vs Stein-D)
3)MT(Daines-R vs Bullock-D)
4)TX(Cornyn-R vs Castro-D)
Democrats are going to pick up CO,NC,and MT.
Republicans are going to pick up AL.
52D(50D 2I)48R

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Feb 24, 2018, 08:24 PM (0 replies)

2018 US House Election.-Democrats guide to a majority.

Lean Democratic Takeover. +12D
AZ-2
CA-39
CA-49
FL-27
MN-2
NJ-2
NJ-12
PA-5
PA-6
PA-7
VA-10
WA-8
Must win Democratic Districts.
CA-10
CA-21
CA-25
CA-45
CA-48
CO-6
FL-26
IA-1
MI-11
MN-1
MN-3
MN-8
NE-2
NY-19
NY-22
NY-24
PA-1
TX-23

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Feb 22, 2018, 06:39 PM (0 replies)

2018 US Senate Election Rating.

Democratic Held Seats.
Tossup
ND(Heitkamp-D) vs Cramer-R
IN(Donnelly-D) vs Messer/Rokita-R
MO(McCaskill-D) vs Hawley-R
Slight Democratic
FL(Nelson-D) vs Scott-R
WV(Manchin-D) vs Jenkins/Morrisey-R
Lean Democratic
OH(Brown-D) vs Rennacci-R
MT(Tester-D) vs Rosendale-R
Likely Democratic
WI(Baldwin-D)
PA(Casey-D) vs Barletta-R
MI(Stabenow-D)
MN(Smith-D)
ME(King-I)
NJ(Menendez-D)
Solid Democratic
VA(Kaine-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
MA(Warren-D)
MD(Cardin-D)
DE(Carper-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
CA(Feinstein-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
HI(Hirono-D)

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Feb 21, 2018, 06:50 PM (0 replies)

2018 ND US Senate Race- Is Cramer-R a better or worse candidate than Berg-R- the 2012 nominee?

Heitkamp(D-ND) is one of the top 4 most vulnerable Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2018.
McCaskill(D-MO) and Donnelly(D-IN) are number 1/2 in vulnerability assuming the 2018 GOP nominee in IN and MO does not make a gaffe like the 2012 GOP nominee in IN and MO.
Heitkamp(D-ND) is number 3 in vulnerability due to the recent announcement of Cramer-R reconsidering his decision to run.
Heitkamp's brother should run for the ND-AL US House seat. It would be awesome if Heidi and Joel Heitkamp win ND Congressional Races in 2018.
Nelson(D-FL) is number 4 in vulnerability assuming Scott(R-FL) decides to run.
Manchin(D-WV),Tester(D-MT), and Brown(D-OH) are number 5/6/7 in vulnerability.
Casey(D-PA) is number 8
Baldwin(D-WI) is number 9
Stabenow(D-MI) is number 10

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Feb 15, 2018, 08:37 PM (0 replies)
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