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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Fri Jan 20, 2017, 07:10 PM
Number of posts: 2,897

Journal Archives

2020 US Senate Election-most vulnerable Democratic held seat-AL and Republican held seat-CO

AL
Jones-D loses to Byrne-R,Roby-R,Rogers-R,Aderholt-R,Brooks-R,and Palmer-R by a high single to low double digit margin.
CO
Gardner-D loses to Hickenlooper-D and Perlmutter-D by a double digit margin. Gardner-D loses to Hancock-D,Kennedy-D,or Markey-D by a high single digit margin. Gardner-R loses to DeGette-D,Johnston-D,or Lynne-D by a narrow margin.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Jan 27, 2018, 11:44 PM (2 replies)

2018 US Senate Election-Democrats could end up with 54 seats if the following happens.

Democrats hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2018
Safe - CA,CT,DE,HI,ME,MD,MA,MI,MN regular,MN special,NM,NY,RI,VT,VA,and WA. 39D
Semi Vulnerable - FL,MT,NJ,ND,OH,PA,WV,and WI. 47D
Vulnerable - IN and MO. 49D
Pick up AZ regular,AZ special,NV,TN,and TX. 54D
Democrats could end up with 60 seats after 2020.
Democrats hold onto every Democratic held US Senate seat up in 2020 except AL-unless the Republicans nominate another controversial candidate. 53D
Democrats pick up AK-if Begich-D or Walker-I/D runs,CO,IA-if Vilsack-D or Loebsack-D runs,ME-if Collins-R loses in the GOP primary,MT-if Bullock-D runs,NC,and TX-if Castro-D runs.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Jan 27, 2018, 09:04 PM (0 replies)

Could Democrats win the 2020 TX US Senate Race if Cornyn-R decides to retire?

Julian Castro is on the 2020 Democratic Presidential/Vice Presidential Ticket.
Beto O'Rourke or Joaquin Castro is the Democratic Nominee for the 2020 TX US Senate Race.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Jan 27, 2018, 06:45 PM (1 replies)

Hispanic Mayors for the 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination. Garcetti-D or Castro-D.

Garcetti-D or Castro-D carries all of the states Clinton carried in 2016 except for ME statewide, MN, and NH. and pick up AZ,FL,and NC. 271ev.

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Jan 27, 2018, 04:45 PM (9 replies)

2018 US House Election-Democrats guide to a majority.

OPEN Republican held US House Seats in purple and blue districts.
AZ-2 195
CA-39 196
CA-49 197
FL-27 198
MI-11 199
NJ-2 200
PA-7 201
PA-15 202
WA-8 203
Republican incumbents in purple and blue districts.
CA-10 204
CA-21 205
CA-25 206
CA-48 207
CO-6 208
FL-26 209
IL-6 210
IA-1 211
MN-2 212
MN-3 213
NE-2 214
NJ-11 215
NY-19 216
NY-22 217
NY-24 218
TX-7 219
TX-23 220
VA-10 221
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Jan 27, 2018, 04:07 PM (1 replies)

Is Kennedy the 3rd Democratic response to Trump's SOTU address a preparation for 2020?

Obama's 2004 Keynote address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention helped him prepare for 2008.
If Kennedy the 3rd gives an excellent response to Trump's State of the Union Address, he should be on the 2020 Democratic Ticket as a Presidential candidate or Vice Presidential runningmate.
Kennedy has high name recognition, charisma, and appeal to blue collar white working class voters.
Kennedy selects a Hispanic Mayor of a big city (Julian Castro or Eric Garcetti) as his Vice Presidential runningmate.
A Kennedy Castro or Castro Kennedy ticket would be an outstanding 2020 Democratic Ticket.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Jan 27, 2018, 02:41 PM (3 replies)

MA4cd US Rep Joe Kennedy the 3rd is giving the Democratic SOTU response on Tuesday.

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri Jan 26, 2018, 07:56 PM (1 replies)

Which MT Democratic politician is preferable on the 2020 Democratic Ticket? Bullock? or Tester?

Pro-Bullock- 2 Term Democratic Governor of a ruby red State. With the exception of Bush 41, Obama, and Trump. Last 4 out of 7 US Presidents were former Governors. Bullock is the only ruby red State Democratic Governor that is pro choice and pro gay rights.
Anti-Bullock- Bullock is the only MT Democratic elected official that can defeat Daines-R in the 2020 MT US Senate Race.
Pro-Tester- most progressive Democratic US Senator from a ruby red State.
Anti-Tester- has been in the US Senate for 14 years.

Bullock or Tester can select Kamala Harris as the 2020 Democratic Vice Presidential Nominee helping Democrats carry all of the Clinton 2016 states plus MI,PA,and WI- 278ev, or MI,PA,and MT- 271ev.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Jan 25, 2018, 08:40 PM (0 replies)

Are Wisconsin voters beating themselves up electing Ron Johnson twice to the US Senate?

Johnson has been in the news attacking the FBI over the Trump Russia investigation.
I lose respect for WI voters for rejecting an honorable public servant like Russ Feingold with a douchebag like Ron Johnson.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Jan 25, 2018, 08:16 AM (3 replies)

Could Democrats win statewide in TX after 2020?

A recent PPP poll in the 2018 TX US Senate Race has Cruz-R leading O'Rourke-D by a 45-37 percent margin. An 8 percent margin is how much Trump-R defeated Clinton in TX during the 2016 US Presidential Race.
Due to increase voter turnout in the Latino community in TX, TX could turn into a purple State in 2022- TX Governor and 2024-TX US Senate.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Jan 24, 2018, 06:45 PM (3 replies)
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