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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Fri Jan 20, 2017, 07:10 PM
Number of posts: 2,868

Journal Archives

2020 US Presidential Election- Democratic Ticket-Kamala Harris/Cory Booker???

Harris-Booker ticket energizes and unites the Democratic party base and forces Trump to double down on his bigotry.
Harris-Booker ticket will win all of the Clinton-Kaine 2016 states plus PA,MI,and WI- 278ev along with FL and NC.
I am listening to the TURTLE of the US Senate speak on the US Senate Floor. Is McConnell, Donald Trump's Waylon Smithers?. Mitch McConnell even looks like and acts like Waylon Smithers.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat Jan 20, 2018, 12:35 AM (2 replies)

2018,2020,and 2022 US Senate Election- could Democrats make gains in 3 consecutive cycles?.

2018-
Democrats hold onto CA(Feinstein-D),CT(Murphy-D),DE(Carper-D),FL(Nelson-D),HI(Hirono-D),IN(Donnelly-D),ME(King-I/D),MD(Cardin-D),MA(Warren-D),MI(Stabenow-D),MN(Klobuchar-D),MN(Smith-D),MO(McCaskill-D),MT(Tester-D),NJ(Menendez-D),NM(Heinrich-D),NY(Gillibrand-D),ND(Heitkamp-D),OH(Brown-D),PA(Casey-D),RI(Whitehouse-D),VT(Sanders-I/D),VA(Kaine-D),WA(Cantwell-D),WV(Manchin-D),and WI(Baldwin-D) and pick up AZ(Sinema-D) and NV(Rosen-D). +2D 49D 49R 2I/D
2020-
Democrats hold onto AL(Jones-D),DE(Coons-D),IL(Durbin-D),MA(Markey-D),MI(Peters-D),MN(Smith-D),NH(Shaheen-D),NJ(Booker-D),NM(Udall-D),OR(Merkley-D),RI(Reed-D),and VA(Warner-D) and pick up AZ(Kelly-D) and CO(Perlmutter-D) +2D 51D 47R 2I/D
2022-
Democrats hold onto AZ(Kelly-D),CA(Harris-D),CO(Bennet-D),CT(Blumenthal-D),HI(Schatz-D),IL(Duckworth-D),MD(Van Hollen-D),NV(Cortez Masto-D),NH(Hassan-D),NY(Schumer-D),OR(Wydsn-D),VT(Leahy-D), and WA(Murray-D) and pick up WI(Schactner-D)+1D 52D 46R 2I/D
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Jan 18, 2018, 10:47 PM (1 replies)

Which year is the Democrats are likely to win back the White House-2020 or 2024?

2020- The election will be between a Republican incumbent with mediocre/poor approval ratings vs a lackluster Democratic challenger. The 2020 Democratic Presidential Nominee needs to win all of the states the 2016 Democratic Presidential Nominee won plus MI,PA,and WI. 278ev.
2024- OPEN seat election. After 8 years out of office- voters will want change. Ex. 2000,2008,and 2016.
Democratic Presidential Nominee could be either purple/red state Governors-Gwen Graham(D-FL) or purple/red state US Senators from states with Democratic Governor. Kyrsten Sinema(D-AZ),Catherine Cortez Masto(D-NV), or Tammy Baldwin(D-WI).
Gwen Graham would be the ideal Democratic Presidential Nominee- strong progressive from a battleground state FL.


Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Jan 18, 2018, 07:41 AM (8 replies)

2018 US Senate Election- Worse case and Best case scenario for Democrats.

Worse case scenario
Democrats hold onto CA,CT,DE,FL,HI,ME,MD,MA,MI,MN regular,MN special,MT,NJ,NM,NY,ND,OH,PA,RI,VT,VA,WA,WV,and WI. 47D(-2D)
Best case scenario
Democrats hold onto CA,CT,DE,FL,HI,IN,ME,MD,MA,MI,MN regular,MN special,MO,MT,NJ,NM,NY,ND,OH,PA,RI,VT,VA,WA,WV,and WI.
49D.
Democrats pick up AZ regular,AZ special(Mark Kelly-D),NV,TN,and TX. 54D.(+5D)
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Jan 18, 2018, 06:09 AM (0 replies)

2018 US House Election-Democrats guide to a majority.

Democrats win Special Elections in AZ-8,OH-12,and PA-18. 197D
Democrats hold onto MN-1,NV-3, and NH-1. 197D
Democrats pick up
AZ-2 198D
CA-10 199D
CA-21 200D
CA-25 201D/200D
CA-39 202D/201D
CA-45 203D
CA-48 204D/202D
CA-49 205D/203D
CO-6 206D/204D
FL-26 207D/205D
FL-27 208D/206D
GA-6 209D
IL-6 210D/207D
IL-12 211D
IL-13 212D
IA-1 213D/208D
IA-3 214D
KS-2 215D
KS-3 216D
KY-6 217D
ME-2 218D
MI-8 219D
MI-11 220D/209D
MN-2 221D/210D
MN-3 222D
MT-AL 223D
NE-2 224D/212D
NJ-2 225D/213D
NJ-7 226D
NJ-11 227D/214D
NM-2 228D
NY-11 229D
NY-19 230D/215D
NY-22 231D/216D
NY-24 232D
NC-9 233D
PA-6 234D
PA-7 235D
PA-8 236D
PA-15 237D
PA-16 238D
TX-7 239D/217D
TX-23 240D/218D
TX-32 241D
UT-4 242D
VA-2 243D
VA-5 244D
VA-7 245D
VA-10 246D/219D
WA-8 247D/220D



Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Jan 18, 2018, 05:46 AM (3 replies)

2018 WI-10 State Senate Special Election Victor Patty Schachtner-D.

Schachtner-D won yesterday's special election by a 8 percent margin in a district that went for Trump-R by a 17 percent margin.
Should Schachtner-D run for the US House in 2020 against Duffy-R(WI-7) and then US Senate in 2022 against Johnson-R.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu Jan 18, 2018, 12:09 AM (0 replies)

2018 US Governors Election Rating. Solid Republican to Solid Democratic

Solid Republican
AL(Ivey-R) Ivey-R vs Maddox-D 8R
AR(Hutchinson-R)Hutchinson-R vs Hendersen-D 9R
ID(OPEN-Otter-R)Labrador-R vs Balukoff-D 10R
NE(Ricketts-R)Ricketts-R vs Davis-D 11R
SC(McMaster-R)McMaster-R vs Smith-D 12R
SD(OPEN Daugaard-R)Noem-R vs Sutton-D 13R
TX(Abbott-R)Abbott-R vs White-D 14R
Likely Republican
AZ(Ducey-R) Ducey-R vs Garcia-D 15R
GA(OPEN-Deal-R) Cagle-R vs Abrams-D 16R
IA(Reynolds-R) Reynolds-R vs Hubbell-D 17R
KS(OPEN-Brownback-R)Kobach-R vs Brewer-D 18R
MA(Baker-R)Baker-R vs Warren-D 19R
OK(OPEN-Fallin-R) Lamb-R vs Edmondson-D 20R
TN(OPEN-Halsam-R) Black-R vs Dean-D 21R
VT(Scott-R) Scott-R vs Ehlers-D 22R
WY(OPEN-Mead-R) Murray-R vs Thorne-D 23R
Lean Republican
MD(Hogan-R)Hogan-R vs Baker-D 24R
NH(Sununu-R)Sununu-R vs Marchand-D 25R
OH(OPEN-Kasich-R)DeWine-R vs Cordray-D 26R
WI(Walker-R)Walker-R vs Evers-D 27R
Slight Republican
NV(OPEN-Sandoval-R)Laxalt-R vs Sisolak-D 28R
Lean Independent
AK(Walker-I)Walker-I vs Begich-D vs Miller-R 1I
Slight Democratic
FL(OPEN-Scott-R) Putnam-R vs Graham-D 8D
IL(Rauner-R) Rauner-R vs Pritzker-D 9D
MI(OPEN-Snyder-R)Schuette-R vs Whitmer-D 10D
Lean Democratic
CO(OPEN-Hickenlooper-D)Polis-D vs Tancredo-R 11D
CT(OPEN-Malloy-D ) Bronin-D vs Boughton-R 12D
ME(OPEN-LePage-R) Mayhew-R vs Eves-D 13D
MN(OPEN-Dayton-D) Walz-D vs Johnson-R 14D
NM(OPEN-Martinez-R) Lujan Grisham-D vs Pearce-R 15D
PA(Wolf-D) Wolf-D vs Wagner-R 16D
Likely Democratic
OR(Brown-D) Brown-D vs Buehler-R 17D
RI(Raimondo-D) Raimondo-D vs Fung-R 18D
Solid Democratic
CA(OPEN-Brown-D) Newsom-D vs Villagrosa-D 19D
HI(Ige-D) Hanabusa-D vs Carroll-R 20D
NY(Cuomo-D) Cuomo-D vs Kolb-R 21D

Democrats could win NV,WI,OH,and NH if 2018 is a Democratic Wave. 25D
In 2019
Democrats win KY(Beasher-D),LA(Bel Edwards-D),and MS(Hood-D) 27D
In 2020
Democrats win DE(Carney-D),MO(Kander-D),MT(Schweitzer-D),NH(Marchand-D),NC(Cooper-D),and WA(Inslee-D) 28D





Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Jan 17, 2018, 11:47 PM (0 replies)

2022 Maryland US House Elections.

US Supreme Court rules that the current Maryland Congressional District map is unconstitutional.
Democrats will control the MD State House and State Senate and Republican will control the MD Governorship during the 2022 redistricting.
New MD US House district map
MD-1 +9R
MD-2 +1D
MD-3 +18D
MD-4 +28D
MD-5 +16D
MD-6 +6D
MD-7 +26D
MD-8 +14D
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Wed Jan 17, 2018, 02:27 AM (0 replies)

2018 US Senate Election Ratings. Solid Republican Favored to Solid Democratic Favored.

Solid Republican
WY(Barrasso-R vs Trauner-D)44R
UT(Romney-R vs Wilson-D)45R
MS(Wicker-R vs Presley-D) 46R
NE(Fischer-R vs Raybould-D) 47R
Likely Republican
TX(Cruz-R vs O'Rourke-D)48R
Lean Republican
TN(Blackburn-R vs Bredesen-D)49R
Slight Democratic
MO(McCaskill-D vs Hawley-R)24D
IN(Donnelly-D vs Messer-R)25D
AZ(Sinema-D vs McSally-R)26D
NV(Rosen-D vs Heller-R)27D
Lean Democratic
FL(Nelson-D vs Scott-R)28D
OH(Brown-D vs Renacci-R)29D
WV(Manchin-D vs Jenkins-R)30D
ND(Heitkamp-D vs Campbell-R)31D
MT(Tester-D vs Rosendale-R)32D
Likely Democratic
PA(Casey-D vs Barletta-R)33D
MN(Smith-D vs Bachman-R)34D
VA(Kaine-D vs Stewart-R)35D
WI(Baldwin-D vs Vuckmir-R)36D
NJ(Menendez-D vs MacArthur-R)37D
MI(Stabenow-D vs Carr-R)38D
Solid Democratic
ME(King-I vs Brakey -R)39D
NM(Heinrich-D vs Berry-R) 40D
MN(Klobuchar-D vs Newberger-R)41D
MD(Cardin-D vs Faddis-R)42D
MA(Warren-D vs Gomez-R)43D
CT(Murphy-D vs Hwang-R)44D
NY(Gillibrand-D vs Burnett-R)45D
DE(Carper-D vs Boyce-R)46D
CA(Feinstein-D vs Kalemkarian-R)47D
RI(Whitehouse-D vs Nardalillo-R)48D
WA(Cantwell-D)49D
VT(Sanders-I)50D
HI(Hirono-D)51D

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Tue Jan 16, 2018, 08:10 PM (1 replies)
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