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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
December 31, 2021

2022 US House Election- Democratic US House members that are going to leave!

Kind(WI) -1D
Vela(TX) -2D
Bernice Johnson(TX)
Doyle(PA)
Lamb(PA) -3D
Cartwright(PA) -4D
Kaptur(OH) -5D
Ryan(OH) -6D
Manning(NC) -7D
Price(NC)
Butterfield(NC)
Souzzi(NY)
Sires(NJ)
Malinowski(NJ) -8D
Levin or Stevens(MI) -9D
Slotkin(MI) -10D
Brown(MD)
Yarmuth(KY)
Axne(IA) -11D
Bustos(IL)
Newman or Casten(IL) -12D
McBath or Boudreaux (GA) -13D
Crist(FL)
Demings(FL)
Murphy(FL)
Lowenthal and Roybal Allard(CA) -14D
Bass(CA)
Speier(CA)
Kirkpatrick(AZ) -15D
O’Halleran(AZ) -16D

US House seats the Democrats will gain
CA-22 -15D
CA-27 -14D
CA-45 -13D
IL-3 -12D
IL-13 -11D
NM-2 -10D
OR-6 -9D
TX-15 -8D
TX-35 -7D

Democrats will have a net loss of 7 seats.





December 31, 2021

US Senate seats that the Democrats will end up winning in 2022 are from all of the Biden states.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)NH(Hassan-D)
47)CO(Bennet-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

December 30, 2021

2022 US Senate Election in states Democrats are likely to win.

All of the states Biden carried in 2020.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)PA(Fetterman-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

December 30, 2021

Which 2022 US Senate Race will the Democrats win by a wider margin?

CO(Bennet-D) or NH(Hassan-D)?

December 30, 2021

The newly redrawn MI-10cd

Had Andy Levin’s uncle carried the new MI-10cd in his US Senate Races?

2008 MI US Senate Race

December 30, 2021

US Senate Elections the Democrats are more likely to win in 2022.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)NH(Hassan-D)
47)CO(Bennet-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)

December 30, 2021

US House members forced to leave due to redistricting.

AZ- O’Halleran
CA- Valadao,Garcia, and Steel
GA- McBath or Boudreax
IL- Newman or Casten, and Bost or Miller
MI- Levin or Stevens
NC- Manning
WV- McKinley or Mooney

December 30, 2021

2022 US Senate Election Prediction- Democrats will have a net gain of 2 seats.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Welch-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D) if Johnson-R retires.

December 30, 2021

VT Lt Governor Molly Gray is favored to be the next US Representative of VT.

Both of the VT US Senators Bernie Sanders and Peter Welch are old.
Sanders will be 83 in 2024. Welch will be 81 in 2028.
Gray is a likely candidate for the US Senate when Sanders or Welch decide to retire.

December 30, 2021

Dr Oz has not lived in or visited PA.

Fetterman’s margin of victory over Oz is going to be similar to Casey’s margin of victory over Santorum or Barletta.

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