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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
October 31, 2022

How progressive or neutral is the NYT Sienna poll?

AZ Kelly-D +6 (51-45)
GA Warnock-D +3 (49-46)
NV Cortez Masto-D tie (47-47)
PA Fetterman-D +6 (50-44)


The PA poll has been taken between 10/24 to 10/26). A day before to a day after the debate.


October 31, 2022

US Senate seats up in 2022 that Democrats and Republicans will win by a single digit margin.

Democrats will win by a likely margin.
CO(Bennet-D)
WA(Murray-D)
Republicans will win by a likely margin.
FL(Rubio-R)
IA(Grassley-R).
Democrats will win by a lean margin
AZ(Kelly-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
Republican will win by a lean margin.
NC(Budd-R)
OH(Vance-R)
WI(Johnson-R)
The Tossup US Senate Races are
GA(Warnock-D vs Walker-R)
NV(Cortez Masto-D vs Laxalt-R)
PA(Fetterman-D vs Oz-R).

Democrats will win PA.
Republicans will win NV.
GA will go either way and it will be decided on 12/6/2022.

October 31, 2022

We need to send SR Sidarth to every Glenn Youngkin campaign rally.

Will Glenn Youngkin be able to control himself?

October 30, 2022

Maximum number of US Senate seats the Democrats will end up with after 2022 is 54.

I think Democrats will come up short in FL(Demings-D) and IA(Franken-D)
Democrats will win
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

Safe Republican seats
AL(Britt-R) Boyd-D
AK(Murkowski-R or Tshibacka-R) Chesboro-D
AR(Boozman-R) James-D
ID(Crapo-R) Roth-D
IN(Young-R) McDermott-D
KS(Moran-R) Holland-D
KY(Paul-R) Booker-D
LA(Kennedy-R) Chambers-R but will need to keep Kennedy-R below 50 percent in 11/2022.
MO(Schmitt-R) Busch Valentine-D
ND(Hoeven-R) Christiansen-D
OK(Lankford-R) Horn-D
OK(Mullin-R) Horn-D
SC(Scott-R) Matthews-D
SD(Thune-R) Bengs-D
UT(what polititical party will McMullin caucus with.?)

October 30, 2022

The Tossup US Senate Races in 2022 that the Democrats will need to win to remain in the majority.

Scenario 1)
PA(Fetterman-D) 49
GA(Warnock-D) 50
Scenario 2)
NV(Cortez Masto-D) 49
GA(Warnock-D) 50
Scenario 3)
PA(Fetterman-D) 49
NV(Cortez Masto-D) 50



October 30, 2022

The 2022 GA US Senate Election runoff plus PA and/or NV are the US Senate Races Democrats must win.

Democrats are favored to win
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
Democrats will narrowly win.
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
Democrats have a 50-50 percent chance of winning
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)OH(Ryan-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)

October 30, 2022

Which of these incoming Republican US Senators are one termers or less than one termers.

Katie Britt-AL?
Herschel Walker-GA?
Eric Schmitt-MO?
Adam Laxalt-NV?
Ted Budd-NC?
JD Vance-OH?
Mark Wayne McMullin-OK?
Mehmet Oz-PA?

October 30, 2022

Democrats guide to remain in the majority in the US Senate is to win WA,CO,NH,AZ,PA and GA or NV.

Solid Democratic seats.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)MD(Van Hollen-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)NY(Schumer-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
Likely Democratic seats
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
Lean Democratic seats
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
Tilt Democratic seats.
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50/51)NV(Cortez Masto-D) and/or GA(Warnock-D)

October 30, 2022

Fetterman and Oz Debate!

&list=RD2H5uWRjFsGc&start_radio=1
October 30, 2022

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin greater than 25 percent.

HI(Schatz-D) 37
MD(Van Hollen-D) 38
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin between 20 to 25 percent margin.
VT(Welch-D) 39
CA(Padilla-D) 40
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin between 15 to 20 percent margin.
NY(Schumer-D) 41
OR(Wyden-D) 42
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin between 10 to 15 percent margin.
IL(Duckworth-D) 43
CT(Blumenthal-D) 44
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin between 5 to 10 percent margin.
WA(Murray-D) 45
CO(Bennet-D) 46
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin between 1 to 5 percent margin.
NH(Hassan-D) 47
AZ(Kelly-D) 48
US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 by a margin less than 1 percent.
PA(Fetterman-D) 49
NV(Cortez Masto-D) 50
GA(Warnock-D) 50/51 12/2022 runoff.




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