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nkpolitics1212

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Member since: Tue May 24, 2022, 10:37 AM
Number of posts: 7,140

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US Senate seats that the Democrats have a 50 percent chance or greater of winning in 2022.

37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)HI(Schatz-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)

OH(Ryan-D is a stronger candidate than Vance-R)
NC(Beasley-D is a stronger candidate than Budd-R)
WI(Barnes-D is a stronger candidate than Johnson-R)
GA(Warnock-D is a stronger candidate than Walker-R)
PA(Fetterman-D is a stronger candidate than Oz/McCormick-R)
NV(Cortez Masto-D is a stronger candidate than Laxalt-R)

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat May 28, 2022, 05:33 PM (0 replies)

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 are in the states that Biden won in 2020.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)OR(Wyden-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)AZ(Kelly-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Sat May 28, 2022, 05:37 AM (1 replies)

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022 are in states that Biden carried in 2020.

37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Welch-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CA(Padilla-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)CO(Bennet-D)
46)WA(Murray-D)
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)






Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri May 27, 2022, 09:02 PM (0 replies)

Democrats will have a net loss of 2 seats in the US House in 2022.

Democrats lose
1)AZ-2(O’Halleran-D)
2)AZ-6(Kirkpatrick-D)
3)CA-9(McNerney-D)
4)CA-42(Roybal Allard-D or Lowenthal-D)
5)FL-2(Lawson-D)
6)FL-7(Murphy-D)
7)FL-13(Crist-D)
8)GA-7(Boudreaux-D)
9)IL-6(Casten-D or Newman-D)
10)MI-11(Levin-D or Stevens-D)
11)MI-12(Jones-D)
12)NJ-7(Malinowski-D)
13)NY-12(Maloney-D or Nadler-D)
14)NY-19(Delgado-D)
15)OH-13(Ryan-D)
16)PA-7(Wild-D)
17)TN-5(Cooper-D)
18)TX-34(Whoever replaces Vela-D)
19)WI-3(Kind-D)
Democrats gain
1)CA-13
2)CA-22
3)CA-27
4)CA-45
5)CO-8
6)IL-3
7)IL-13
8)MI-3
9)MI-13
10)NM-2
11)NY-18
12)NY-22
13)NC-13
14)NC-14
15)OH-1
16)OR-6
17)TX-35
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri May 27, 2022, 03:10 PM (3 replies)

US Senate seats that the Democrats will win in 2022.

37)NY(Schumer-D
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)OR(Wyden-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)CT(Blumenthal-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)


I am putting WI,NC,OH,and FL in the Tossup category.

Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Fri May 27, 2022, 12:22 PM (2 replies)

Democratic held US House seats that will go Republican.

AZ- O’Halleran
AZ- Kirkpatrick
FL- Murphy
FL- Crist
IA- Axne
ME- Golden
MI- Slotkin
MI- Kildee
NH- Pappas
NJ- Malinowski
NY- Delgado seat in the special election
OH- Kaptur
PA- Wild
PA- Cartwright
TN- Cooper
VA- Luria
WI- Kind
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu May 26, 2022, 08:17 PM (5 replies)

Democratic US House members that will lose their seat in the primary.

Incumbent vs Incumbent matchup.
Boudreaux-GA.
Casten or Newman- IL
Levin or Stevens- MI
Nadler or C. Maloney-NY
Jones-NY is facing DeBlasio.
SP Maloney-NY is facing Biaggi.
Schrader-OR
Cuellar-TX
Gonzalez or Whoever replaces Vela-TX
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu May 26, 2022, 07:49 PM (1 replies)

Which NY Democratic US House member is going to lose in the primary?

Carolyn Maloney-D or Jerrold Nadler-D?

Both of these Democratic US House Members been is Congress since 1992/1993.
Both of them serve on powerful committees.

Nadler serves on the Judiciary Commitee.
Maloney serves on the Oversight Committee.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu May 26, 2022, 05:27 PM (1 replies)

Can anyone tell me why Schrader(OR) lost his party's nomination by a wider margin than

Cawthorn(NC) lost his party’s nomination?

Schrader(OR) lost by a 41-59.
Cawthorn(NC) lost by a 34-32-34(other)

Cawthorn was an embarrassment to the Republican Party or the Republican Party was an embarrassment before Cawthorn.

What was Schrader’s crime?

Did Schrader have a Manchin/Sinema voting record?


Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu May 26, 2022, 04:42 PM (5 replies)

Who is Orenthal James supporting in the 2022 GA US Senate Election?

Herschel Walker is every thing Orenthal James is except a double murderer.
Posted by nkpolitics1212 | Thu May 26, 2022, 03:28 PM (0 replies)
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