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nkpolitics1212

nkpolitics1212's Journal
nkpolitics1212's Journal
December 20, 2022

Democratic candidates to challenge George Santos(R-NY-3) in 2024!

1)NY-7 state Senator Anna Kaplan.
2)NY-16 state Assemblywoman Gina Sillitti.
NY-7 State Senate and NY-16 State Assembly District are both located in North Hempstead, Nassau County NY, Where NY-3 is located.
Jon Kaiman former North Hempstead Town Supervisor and 2022 Democratic candidate for NY-3
Josh Lafazan Nassau County Legislator and 2022 Democratic candidate for NY-3.

December 20, 2022

What are Matt Dolan's chances in winning the 2024 OH US Senate Election?

Dolan was the Republican candidate for the 2022 OH US Senate Election finished in 3rd place after Vance and Mandel.
Dolan is a state Senator from the Cuyahoga County.

December 18, 2022

Jamie Raskin will be the Top Democrat in US House Oversight and Reform Commitee next year.

Does that take him out of the run for the US Senate in 2024 since if Democrats regain control of the US House of Representatives, Raskin will be a Chairman of the US House Oversight and Reform Committee?

This makes John Sarbanes the frontrunner for the 2024 Democratic nomination for the US Senate assuming Ben Cardin retires. John Sarbanes has been in the US House of Representatives since 2007.

Looking at the class of 2024 US Senators based on seniority.
Adam Schiff(D-CA)
John Sarbanes(D-MD)
Ruben Gallego(D-AZ)
Alex Mooney(R-WV)
Warren Davidson(R-OH)
Ryan Zinke(R-MT)
Becca Ballint(D-VT)

December 18, 2022

US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 that the Democrats will win to remain in the majority.

Democrats have 51 seats including Independents Sinema,King,and Sanders caucusing with the Democrats.
Democrats will retain control of the US Presidency. This means Democrats must hold on every Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 except WV.
AZ(Gallego-D)
CA(Khanna-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Carper-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
ME(King-I)
MD(Raskin-D) Cardin-D retires after 20 years in the MD state house,20 years in the US House,and 18 years in the US Senate.
MA(Warren-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
MT(Tester-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
OH(Brown-D)
PA(Casey-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
VA(Kaine-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)

Democratic US Senators up for re-election in 2024 that have the most political experience.
1)Cardin(MD)
MD House of Representatives(1967-1987)
US House of Representatives (1987-2007)
2)Feinstein(CA)
San Francisco Board of Supervisors(1970-1978)
Mayor of San Francisco(1978-1988)
3)Stabenow(MI)
Ingham County Board of Commisioners(1975-1979)
MI House of Representatives(1979-1991)
MI Senate(1991-1994)
US House of Representatives(1997-2001)
4)Brown(OH)
OH House of Representatives(1975-1983)
OH Secretary of State(1983-1991)
US House of Representatives (1993-2007)
5)Carper(DE)
DE Treasurer(1977-1983)
US House of Representatives(1983-1993)
DE Governor(1993-2001)
6)Hirono(HI)
HI House of Representatives (1981-1994)
HI Lt Governor (1994-2002)
US House of Representatives (2007-2013)
7)Sanders(VT)
Burlington Mayor(1981-1991)
US House of Representatives(1991-2007)
8)Manchin(WV)
WV House of Delegates(1982-1986)
WV State Senate(1986-1996)
WV Secretary of State(2001-2005)
WV Governor(2005-2010)
9)Baldwin(WI)
Madison Council(1985-1986)
Dane County Supervisors(1986-1993)
WI State Assembly(1993-1999)
US House of Representatives(1999-2013)
10)Menendez(NJ)
Union City Mayor/NJ State House/NJ State Senate(1986-1993)
US House of Representatives(1993-2006)









December 18, 2022

Who is likely to be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 MD US Senate Election? Raskin or Sarbanes?

John Sarbanes is a household name in MD politics(His father Paul served in the US Senate for 30 years.)
John Sarbanes is from Baltimore County. The other MD US Senator of MD(Chris Van Hollen-D) is from Montgomery County(DC Metro Area).
Jamie Raskin is the most progressive Democratic US House Member from MD.
Jamie Raskin serves on high profile committees.
Administration
Judiciary
Oversight and Reform
Rules
1/6 Attack.
John Sarbanes serves on
Energy and Commerce
Oversight and Reform.


December 18, 2022

US Senate Elections in 2024 that the Democrats will win.

AZ(Gallego-D)
CA(Khanna-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Carper-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
ME(King-I)
MD(Raskin-D)
MA(Warren-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
MT(Tester-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
OH(Brown-D)
PA(Casey-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
VA(Kaine-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)

December 18, 2022

What are Bel Edwards chances of becoming US Senator assuming Kennedy becomes Governor?

John Kennedy runs for Governor of Louisiana in 2023 and wins. John Bel Edwards, the current Democratic Governor of Louisiana has to leave office in 2024 due to term limits. Bel Edwards runs for Kennedy’s US Senate seat.
LA could be a Republican held US Senate seat up for re-election in 2024 that Democrats can win with a top tier Democratic nominee- a popular 2 term Democratic Governor.

What are Bel Edwards chances against Kennedy?

December 18, 2022

John Sarbanes home in Towson,MD is not located in MD-3, but located in MD-2. What does Sarbanes do?

Run for re-election in MD-3 whether or not he moves to Annapolis,MD?
Run for the US Senate assuming Ben Cardin decides not to seek re-election?

Who wins in a 3 way Democratic Primary between
John Sarbanes-D?
Jamie Raskin-D?
David Trone-D?

December 18, 2022

Incoming Democratic US Senators in 2024.

AZ(Gallego-D) the 2nd most progressive Democratic US House Member of AZ after Grijalva-D and before Stanton-D.
CA(Schiff-D or Khanna-D) both are 1st and/or 2nd place finishers in the 2024 blanket primary.
Khanna-D is the 4th most progressive Democratic US House Member of CA. Khanna-D is more progressive than Schiff-D and Porter-D.
MD(Raskin-D) the 1st most progressive Democratic US House Member of MD. More progressive than Sarbanes-D and Trone-D.


December 17, 2022

Democratic Nominees for the 2024 US Senate Races that the Democrats are likely to win.

AZ(Gallego-D)
CA(Schiff-D and Khanna-D) 1st and 2nd place finishers in Blanket Primary.
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Carper-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
ME(King-I)
MD(Cardin-D,if he decides to run again or Raskin-D) MD-8(DC Suburbs) will be the MD US House district that the newly elected US Senators will be from. Before that it was MD-3(Baltimore Suburbs).
1976(Sarbanes-D/MD-3)
1986(Mikulski-D/MD-3)
2006(Cardin-D/MD-3)
2016(Van Hollen-D/MD-8)
2024(Raskin-D/MD-8)
MA(Warren-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
MT(Tester-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
OH(Brown-D)
PA(Casey-D)
VT(Sanders-I,if he decides to run again or Krowinski-D) Krowinski-D is the Speaker of VT House of Representatives.
VA(Kaine-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)

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