Polybius
Polybius's JournalMontana polls
Montana: Trump vs. Harris: Trump 56, Harris 41
Montana Senate - Sheehy vs. Tester: Sheehy 51, Tester 45
MONTANA VOTER SURVEY
While the Presidential race was not surprising, the Senate race is. Outlier? Or is Tester in trouble?
German far-right party wins state election for the first time since the Nazis
Video in link (NBC News).
https://www.nbcnews.com/now/video/german-far-right-party-wins-state-election-for-the-first-time-since-the-nazis-218469445959
Germany: Far-right AfD wins first state vote since WWII
Source: DW
The far-right AfD won the election in Thuringia, securing 32.8% of the vote, preliminary results showed after all votes were counted.
The Christian Democratic Union (CDU) came second, winning 23.6%.
The upstart, left-wing party Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) was third with 15.8% of the vote.
Germany’s ruling coalition parties, including Chancellor Olaf Scholz's Social Democrats (SPD), the environmentalist Greens and business-focused Free Democrats (FDP), received a drubbing at the polls.
Read more: https://www.dw.com/en/far-right-german-party-wins-first-state-election-since-wwii/live-70102882
Menendez's Senate Replacement Has Been a Democrat for Just 5 Months
Source: NY Times
When George Helmy is sworn in next month as Robert Menendez's temporary replacement in the Senate, he will be joining a chamber where Democrats hold a razor-thin majority, outnumbering Republicans by a single seat, 50 to 49.
Mr. Helmy was selected last week by Gov. Philip D. Murphy of New Jersey, a Democrat, to fill a seat held for three terms by Mr. Menendez, who, before being convicted of trading his political influence for bribes of cash, gold and a Mercedes, was widely viewed as one of the country's most powerful Democrats.
Mr. Helmy, however, is new to the Democratic Party.
He registered as a Democrat in March, six days before the candidate he was supporting in the Democratic Senate primary, Tammy Murphy, New Jersey's first lady, dropped out of the race, according to Board of Elections records in Morris County, N.J. Before then, he was registered as an independent -- or "unaffiliated" -- voter.
Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/23/nyregion/george-helmy-bob-menendez-murphy.html
Louisiana governor tells parents against Ten Commandments in classrooms: 'Tell your child not to look'
Source: NBC News
Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry has a suggestion for parents who don't believe the Ten Commandments should be displayed in public school classrooms throughout the state.
"Tell your child not to look at them," he told reporters Monday.
The Republican governor defended the controversial legislation during a news conference announcing how Louisiana intends to fend off a lawsuit that argues that it is unconstitutional to hang the Ten Commandments in state-funded school and college classrooms.
Landry first signed the GOP-backed legislation in June, making Louisiana the first state in the nation to require schools to exhibit posters of the religious text, which was revealed to Moses in the Bible and remains revered by followers of the Christian faith.
Read more: https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/louisiana-governor-tells-parents-ten-commandments-classrooms-tell-chil-rcna165147
Dow plunges nearly 1,000 points after report shows sharp drop in U.S. hiring
Source: CBS News
Stocks tumbled Friday after new government data showed a steep decline in hiring in July, spurring concerns that economic activity is slowing faster than economists expected.
Two hours into the session, the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 984 points, or 2.4%, to 39,415. The broader S&P 500 sank 2.5%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite lost nearly 3%, fueled by disappointing quarterly earnings from bellwethers such as Amazon and Intel.
Market analyst Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge said the weak employment numbers will heighten fears the economy is losing steam. "This labor report fell short on pretty much every single metric," he said in a note to investors.
Although stocks have hit record highs this year, propelled in part by excitement over artificial intelligence companies, investors have pulled back in recent weeks. Some analysts think the Federal Reserve has waited too long to lower interest rates, raising the risk of a hard landing for the economy, or even a recession.
Read more: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/stocks-today-why-falling-jobs-report-2024/
Kari Lake wins primary, teeing up Arizona Senate showdown with Gallego
Source: The Hill
Republican Kari Lake easily glided to victory in the Arizona Senate GOP primary, according to a projection from Decision Desk HQ, teeing up a marquee showdown between her and Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego.
Lake was largely seen as the presumptive GOP nominee in the Republican contest to replace retiring Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I-Ariz.), as her only real contender was Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb. Gallego ran uncontested in the Democratic contest.
Lake, also a former local news anchor, has repeatedly refuted the election loss despite multiple court challenges getting tossed. The firebrand conservative has sought to court skeptics and moderate Republicans she isolated last cycle, with limited success.
Gallego, meanwhile, has sought to eschew his progressive bonafides, including having his membership expire with the Congressional Progressive Caucus.
Read more: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801679-arizona-primary-results-2024-kari-lake-senate/
Live Updates: Top Hamas Leader Is Killed in Iran
Source: NY Times
Ismail Haniyeh was targeted and killed while visiting Iran, Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps said.
Ismail Haniyeh, one of the most senior Hamas leaders, was targeted and killed in Iran, according to a statement by Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps on Tuesday.
Hamas accused Israel of killing Mr. Haniyeh, who led the Hamas political operations from exile in Qatar, in Tehran. Hamas made the statement on its official Telegram account.
Iran's Revolutionary Guards announced in a statement that Ismail Haniyeh, a top Hamas leader, was killed in Tehran on Tuesday that he was attending the inauguration ceremony of Iran's new president. The statement said that he and an Iranian security guard were targeted at the place of their residence and further details will be announced.
Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/07/30/world/israel-gaza-war-lebanon-hezbollah
Breaking...
Venezuela opposition leader Freddy Superlano has been detained, party says
Source: Reuters
CARACAS, July 30 (Reuters) - Venezuela opposition party Voluntad Popular said on Tuesday on X that its national coordinator Freddy Superlano has been detained.
The arrest comes amid a disputed election where both President Nicolas Maduro and opposition candidate Edmundo Gonzalez have declared victory.
Read more: https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/venezuela-opposition-leader-freddy-superlano-has-been-detained-party-says-2024-07-30/
https://x.com/ArtCandee/status/1818336101594980502
Trump is polling better than Rick Scott in Florida
Brand new Univ. of North Florida polls:
Trump 49, Harris 42
Scott 47, Mucarsel-Powell 43
https://www.actionnewsjax.com/news/local/unf-poll-trump-has-7-point-lead-harris-home-state-florida/UBARUDRLTFGG3LWRT3JJJPTHW4/
Could Scott be upset in Florida?
Profile Information
Gender: MaleHometown: Staten Island, NY
Home country: United States
Current location: Staten Island, NY
Member since: Thu Sep 28, 2017, 10:03 PM
Number of posts: 17,134