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boomer_wv

boomer_wv's Journal
boomer_wv's Journal
December 25, 2019

New YouGov Poll

Biden (30%, +1)
Warren (19%, +2)
Sanders (17%, -2)
Buttigieg (7%, 0)
Klobuchar (5%, +1)
Bloomberg (4%, 0)
Yang (3%, 0)
Gabbard (2%, -1)
Booker (2%, 0)
Steyer (2%, +1)
other....

This is out today, following the previous poll from before last weeks debate. There doesn't appear to be much movement of significance. No notifiable bump for Klobuchar yet. Sanders does fall from 2nd to 3rd in a 4 point swing to Warren, who does from -2 to +2 against him. Poll has a 2.9 MoE, which these moves are within, but given that 2 points is on the upper range of that, this could be some real movement and not just noise, but that isn't clear.

Topline takeaway is that Biden continues to expand his lead. His 11 point lead represents the widest margin he has seen in this poll since early June and come a couple months after Warren enjoyed a 7 point lead in mid October.

For everyone who is going to respond that national polls don't matter. I find it very unlikely that a candidate who is polling like Joe Biden is now relative to the field would finish lower than 2nd in either Iowa or New Hampshire. These national polls will influence how the votes coalesce.

Link to poll:

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/t4lyjjoemc/econTabReport.pdf

November 12, 2019

New Monmouth Iowa Poll.

I didn't see this posted anywhere.

Buttigieg: 22
Biden: 19
Warren: 18
Sanders: 13
Klobuchar: 5
Harris: 3
Steyer: 3
Booker: 2
Gabbard: 2
Others 1 or <1.

n = 966
95% ci = 4.6

www.Monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_IA_111219|

October 23, 2019

YouGov Poll: Warren slips

Biden: 24 (-1)
Warren: 21 (-7)
Sanders: 15 (+2)
Buttigieg: 8 (+2)
Harris: 5 (-)
Etc.

This represents Bidens first lead in this poll in a month and her lowest level of support since the first week of sept. This has been one of her best polls.

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Member since: Tue Jun 19, 2018, 12:04 AM
Number of posts: 673
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