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Otto Lidenbrock

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Member since: Wed Jun 20, 2018, 07:20 PM
Number of posts: 581

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A Question I have for Bernie Sanders

Bernie talks a lot about voter excitement. Getting young people into the political process. Valid points.

But I want to ask him when he was a young person why did he not cast a vote until it was for himself?

Bernie turned 21 in 1961. He first ran for office in 1972. Between those dates the Civil Rights movement was on the ballot in 1964. John Kennedy started the process, then Lyndon Johnson made it the promise of his presidency. Barry Goldwater wanted to do away with it.

Why did he not vote in '64?

Excitement is magical for a party in the campaign, but if you need to be 'excited' by a candidate just to vote when the stakes are that high and it's no ordinary election, you must be in a state of privilege.
Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Fri Sep 20, 2019, 12:49 PM (40 replies)

Morning Consult Post Debate Poll: Biden 32%, Sanders 20%, Warren 18%, Harris 6%


That seems a higher than normal sample size.
Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Mon Sep 16, 2019, 03:45 PM (58 replies)

What do other candidates think about the Freedom Dividend (UBI)?

It's Andrew Yang's signature policy that he loves plugging on stage but I've not heard a moderator bring it to others.

I noticed when Yang revealed his surprise right at the start for 10 families around America getting a year's worth of UBI from his campaign the audience cheered while his fellow candidates seemed a little shocked/lost for words for a second or two.

What does Joe Biden think of handing over $1000 a month to everyone? Bernie Sanders? Kamala Harris? What does Yang do if someone says "I'll raise it to $2000 a month"?
Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Fri Sep 13, 2019, 05:39 PM (11 replies)

77/100 stories about Biden that got the most social media attention in last 3 weeks were negative

Unlike a certain someone he's not thrown the toys out of the pram screaming "fake news" and "enemy of the people".

Of the 100 stories about Joe Biden that have received the most social media attention over the last 3 weeks, 77 were negative, according to data from NewsWhip exclusively provided to Axios. Of the 25 biggest stories, 24 were negative.

The big picture: While stories about Biden may be generating more interactions on social media than his 2020 rivals, it's largely because he's getting ripped apart in those pieces.

Social media has never been kind to moderation, and Biden is getting a lot of incoming from both sides of the political spectrum.

Why it matters: As Biden maintains his perch atop the 2020 field in the polls, both the right and the left have incentives to chip away at his position with intense scrutiny and attacks.

Yes, but: Biden is not helping his cause with his recurring erroneous statements.

We reported in August that Biden was getting pummeled online for his gaffes. The gaffes have continued, as has the negative coverage around him.
The latest: In the last 3 weeks, the biggest Biden storylines (measured by interactions on articles on Facebook and Twitter) have been:

Plunging in a Monmouth poll to land in a virtual tie with Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. (It was a small sample, and later polls with larger samples showed Biden was still in the lead.)
The Washington Post report that 'almost every detail' of a war story Biden tells was false.
Vice, citing a campaign video: "Joe Biden: It Would Be an Insult to My Dead Son for Everyone to Have Healthcare."
Saying in New Hampshire: "I love this place. Look, what's not to like about Vermont."
His wife Jill saying that voters might "have to swallow a little bit" by voting for Biden.
Saying in New Hampshire: "I want to be clear, I'm not going nuts."
Saying in Iowa that MLK and RFK were assassinated in the 1970s.

Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Sun Sep 8, 2019, 12:15 PM (15 replies)

Andrew Yang is youtube's favorite candidate

Just for the record regarding that Biden thread just removed. Yang is very popular in online circles, as are Gabbard and Sanders. Youtube like twitter skews very liberal or very conservative. Very little in between.
Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Sat Sep 7, 2019, 09:28 PM (8 replies)

In 2012 the Washington Post reported this as a Biden gaffe. It turned out to be a blessing.

Public opinion was in favour too and once everyone in the administration publicly joined together, same sex marriage became law of the land.

Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Fri Aug 30, 2019, 11:25 PM (4 replies)

Take a look at the YUGE crowd Don Jr received at a rally yesterday!

Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Fri Aug 30, 2019, 07:37 AM (5 replies)

Seriously, why is Beto polling so low?

On paper he ought to be top tier.

1) An excellent campaigner who works extremely hard and does all the retail politics stuff but with actual purpose. He's not just going shaking hands...."hey how you doing, what's your name", he's visiting towns and localities to meet with the locals and hear their stories and their concerns and ambitions.

2) Somebody who can excite the party. He's inspiring. Young, energetic, acknowledges the flaws of our past with an optimistic message for our future. Like in 2016 it looks like we will have an ideological split but what Beto offers is he reaches out to both.

3) We saw what happened in Texas. And when we hear the term "political revolution" I think he is the one who best reflects it since he was not preaching to the converted. Texas is a red state. It hadn't had such a close race for forty years. Ted Cruz was a strong incumbent in Texas despite his national polls being poor. Beto flipped numerous counties Trump won and actually got a higher number of votes from the state than Hillary did in 2016. He brought it into play for us for the future. And he can do it again in 2020. If we flip Texas the entire state of play will change for a generation.

4) And if he can cause such a effect in Texas then the normal swing stages surely must be more open-minded to him. The famous Obama-Trump voters. To rebuild the Blue Wall.

I look at the front-runners and see a lot of great qualities but also some notable fallibilities. Therefore as someone who is undecided I am looking for someone with affability but not complicated baggage, someone who is progressive without being dogmatic. I'm struggling to find someone better. Yet he is a non-factor in polls. It makes no sense to me.
Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Tue Aug 27, 2019, 01:23 PM (42 replies)

What is this?

Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Sun Aug 25, 2019, 04:59 PM (193 replies)

Isn't it a shame accomplished Governors can't get any traction in the race?

Hickenlooper and Inslee out already. Bullock couldn't make the first debate stage and barely polling at 1% which puts him in the same bracket as Marianne Williamson and below Andrew Yang. Not trying to dismiss those two but neither have ever held any office before. That should matter. It's one thing talking about ideas but it's another having to implement them and baring the consequences of them as a Governor has to each and every day.
Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Thu Aug 22, 2019, 08:40 AM (8 replies)
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