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Otto Lidenbrock

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Member since: Wed Jun 20, 2018, 07:20 PM
Number of posts: 580

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Morning Consult Post Debate Poll: Biden 32%, Sanders 20%, Warren 18%, Harris 6%


That seems a higher than normal sample size.
Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Mon Sep 16, 2019, 03:45 PM (58 replies)

What do other candidates think about the Freedom Dividend (UBI)?

It's Andrew Yang's signature policy that he loves plugging on stage but I've not heard a moderator bring it to others.

I noticed when Yang revealed his surprise right at the start for 10 families around America getting a year's worth of UBI from his campaign the audience cheered while his fellow candidates seemed a little shocked/lost for words for a second or two.

What does Joe Biden think of handing over $1000 a month to everyone? Bernie Sanders? Kamala Harris? What does Yang do if someone says "I'll raise it to $2000 a month"?
Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Fri Sep 13, 2019, 05:39 PM (11 replies)

77/100 stories about Biden that got the most social media attention in last 3 weeks were negative

Unlike a certain someone he's not thrown the toys out of the pram screaming "fake news" and "enemy of the people".

Of the 100 stories about Joe Biden that have received the most social media attention over the last 3 weeks, 77 were negative, according to data from NewsWhip exclusively provided to Axios. Of the 25 biggest stories, 24 were negative.

The big picture: While stories about Biden may be generating more interactions on social media than his 2020 rivals, it's largely because he's getting ripped apart in those pieces.

Social media has never been kind to moderation, and Biden is getting a lot of incoming from both sides of the political spectrum.

Why it matters: As Biden maintains his perch atop the 2020 field in the polls, both the right and the left have incentives to chip away at his position with intense scrutiny and attacks.

Yes, but: Biden is not helping his cause with his recurring erroneous statements.

We reported in August that Biden was getting pummeled online for his gaffes. The gaffes have continued, as has the negative coverage around him.
The latest: In the last 3 weeks, the biggest Biden storylines (measured by interactions on articles on Facebook and Twitter) have been:

Plunging in a Monmouth poll to land in a virtual tie with Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. (It was a small sample, and later polls with larger samples showed Biden was still in the lead.)
The Washington Post report that 'almost every detail' of a war story Biden tells was false.
Vice, citing a campaign video: "Joe Biden: It Would Be an Insult to My Dead Son for Everyone to Have Healthcare."
Saying in New Hampshire: "I love this place. Look, what's not to like about Vermont."
His wife Jill saying that voters might "have to swallow a little bit" by voting for Biden.
Saying in New Hampshire: "I want to be clear, I'm not going nuts."
Saying in Iowa that MLK and RFK were assassinated in the 1970s.

Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Sun Sep 8, 2019, 12:15 PM (15 replies)

Andrew Yang is youtube's favorite candidate

Just for the record regarding that Biden thread just removed. Yang is very popular in online circles, as are Gabbard and Sanders. Youtube like twitter skews very liberal or very conservative. Very little in between.
Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Sat Sep 7, 2019, 09:28 PM (8 replies)

In 2012 the Washington Post reported this as a Biden gaffe. It turned out to be a blessing.

Public opinion was in favour too and once everyone in the administration publicly joined together, same sex marriage became law of the land.

Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Fri Aug 30, 2019, 11:25 PM (4 replies)

Take a look at the YUGE crowd Don Jr received at a rally yesterday!

Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Fri Aug 30, 2019, 07:37 AM (5 replies)

Seriously, why is Beto polling so low?

On paper he ought to be top tier.

1) An excellent campaigner who works extremely hard and does all the retail politics stuff but with actual purpose. He's not just going shaking hands...."hey how you doing, what's your name", he's visiting towns and localities to meet with the locals and hear their stories and their concerns and ambitions.

2) Somebody who can excite the party. He's inspiring. Young, energetic, acknowledges the flaws of our past with an optimistic message for our future. Like in 2016 it looks like we will have an ideological split but what Beto offers is he reaches out to both.

3) We saw what happened in Texas. And when we hear the term "political revolution" I think he is the one who best reflects it since he was not preaching to the converted. Texas is a red state. It hadn't had such a close race for forty years. Ted Cruz was a strong incumbent in Texas despite his national polls being poor. Beto flipped numerous counties Trump won and actually got a higher number of votes from the state than Hillary did in 2016. He brought it into play for us for the future. And he can do it again in 2020. If we flip Texas the entire state of play will change for a generation.

4) And if he can cause such a effect in Texas then the normal swing stages surely must be more open-minded to him. The famous Obama-Trump voters. To rebuild the Blue Wall.

I look at the front-runners and see a lot of great qualities but also some notable fallibilities. Therefore as someone who is undecided I am looking for someone with affability but not complicated baggage, someone who is progressive without being dogmatic. I'm struggling to find someone better. Yet he is a non-factor in polls. It makes no sense to me.
Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Tue Aug 27, 2019, 01:23 PM (42 replies)

What is this?

Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Sun Aug 25, 2019, 04:59 PM (193 replies)

Isn't it a shame accomplished Governors can't get any traction in the race?

Hickenlooper and Inslee out already. Bullock couldn't make the first debate stage and barely polling at 1% which puts him in the same bracket as Marianne Williamson and below Andrew Yang. Not trying to dismiss those two but neither have ever held any office before. That should matter. It's one thing talking about ideas but it's another having to implement them and baring the consequences of them as a Governor has to each and every day.
Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Thu Aug 22, 2019, 08:40 AM (8 replies)

Rosalynn Carter: Iowans, ask 2020 candidates for their agenda on family caregiving

For Jimmy and me, Iowa holds a special place in our hearts. During his presidential campaign. I spent over 100 days in Iowa. I visited 105 communities and knocked on more doors and met more Iowans than anyone thought possible. You are some of the most welcoming, warm, informed people we have ever met. Our conversations covered everything from Jimmyís favorite fish recipe to the rapid increase in the price of fertilizer to our national security.

I especially remember the strong show of support you gave us. You truly are patriotic Americans who believe in doing what is best for our country.

As you prepare to interview and evaluate the next set of presidential candidates, I ask you to help me shine a spotlight on the more than 40 million Americans and over 300,000 Iowans who are family caregivers.

You may not be one, but you most certainly know one. Caregivers are the selfless people who provide unpaid care for loved ones who are ill or have serious medical conditions. This is among the most challenging work there is.

Being a caregiver requires infinite patience, physical and emotional strength, health care navigation skills, and a sense of humor ó which can be hard to come by after sleepless nights and demanding days.

It is a reality for millions of Americans, including me.

I have cared for loved ones nearly all my life, so when I look in the mirror, I see a caregiver looking back at me. It began when I was 12 years old and my father became ill. Taking care of him took a toll on our entire family, my mother most of all.

It is safe to say that many of you reading this also see a caregiver in the mirror. You probably also see many around you without recognizing them, because caregivers are not necessarily who we all assume them to be. They are split almost evenly between men and women, and fully one quarter are millennials. They can be looking after a parent with dementia, a spouse injured in combat, or a child with developmental challenges. Or they can even be caring for all three.

Caregivers are sons and daughters, spouses, brothers and sisters, friends, veterans and civilians, and countless others. They are members of all our communities.

And they need our support. While they are focusing intently on their loved ones, their own health and well-being are impacted by long-term caregiving. Caregivers suffer from chronic conditions like heart disease, diabetes, and arthritis at nearly twice the rate of the overall population. They also have increased occurrences of ailments like acid reflux and headaches, an increased tendency to develop serious illness, and high levels of obesity and bodily pain.

Nor are the effects just physical. These helpers are watching a loved one suffer and, in many cases, die. They are exhausted, heartbroken, lonely, scared, and grieving ó all while putting othersí needs ahead of their own.

The impacts donít end there. With 60 percent of family caregivers juggling work and caregiving responsibilities simultaneously, caregiving has costs for workers and employers alike.

The estimated economic value of family and friend caregiving is roughly $500 billion per year ó three times greater than Medicaidís expenditures on professional long-term care.

Itís easy to see that this issue needs to be a national priority. We must look at this community that is growing exponentially, especially as our population ages, and needs to be recognized.

This is where all of you can help. I have sent a letter to all major candidates from both parties who have declared that they are running for president asking them to commit to a national agenda on caregiving as well as to make it a topic of their campaigns.

Soon these folks will be asking for your vote at the state fair and at church or knocking on your door ó just as Jimmy and I did over 40 years ago.

Please ask them about this issue. The population of caregivers is 40 million ó about the same number of people with student loan debt. We talk about student loans; shouldnít we be talking about this?

Since caregivers are often overextended as well as selfless, they need us to speak up for them.

Because as Iíve been saying for the last six decades, there are only four kinds of people in the world: those who have been caregivers, those who currently are caregivers, those who will be caregivers, and those who will need caregivers.

Posted by Otto Lidenbrock | Mon Aug 19, 2019, 11:19 AM (11 replies)
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