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crazytown

Profile Information

Gender: Do not display
Hometown: Whitehall, OH
Home country: USA
Current location: Australia
Member since: Thu Sep 27, 2018, 06:37 PM
Number of posts: 5,050

About Me

Same as denem before 2016 election day.

Journal Archives

Trump calls Don Lemmon "the dumbest man on television"

and says 'I am “the least racist person in the world.”'

@realDonaldTrump
CNN’s Don Lemon, the dumbest man on television, insinuated last night while asking a debate “question” that I was a racist, when in fact I am “the least racist person in the world.” Perhaps someone should explain to Don that he is supposed to be neutral, unbiased & fair, .... or is he too dumb (stupid} to understand that. No wonder CNN’s ratings (MSNBC’s also) have gone down the tubes - and will stay there until they bring credibility back to the newsroom. Don’t hold your breath!

(nothing like denouncing another person of color to prove you're not a racist, mien donnie)

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1156588093367083009

The Way We Were: 7/31 - the last RCP Averages prior to the Second Debates.

Medicare for All : Here comes the scare campaign.

IMO it is better that candidates to deal with GOP/Insurance opposition to Medicare for All sooner rather than later.

Elizabeth Warren's bad manners

https://twitter.com/ErickFernandez/status/1156374966692171777
https://twitter.com/ErickFernandez/status/1156382482192838656
https://twitter.com/skinnyfroglegs/status/1156407173892562944

538 on Warren v Sanders

(It is worth noting that Nate Silver has had a some run ins with the Sanders' campaign and is not particularly well disposed towards them.)

538: What We’re Watching For In The Second Democratic Debate
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-were-watching-for-in-the-second-democratic-debate/

natesilver: Sanders probably — maybe definitely — needs some of Warren’s current voters to have a shot at the nomination. It doesn’t necessarily mean he needs to go after her, though, which could fairly easily backfire.

His staff, at times, has seemed a little prickly about Warren. Maybe they thought it was Sanders’ turn — he was the second-place finisher last time, after all. But she’s the one who seems to have momentum and whose chances the media is taking more seriously.

But, again, that doesn’t necessarily mean it’s a good look for Sanders to go after her. I’m not sure what he’d even say, exactly.

He has, at times, tried to emphasize his electability vis-a-vis Warren, a strategy that I think is a bit dubious.

nrakich: I feel like that won’t win him a lot of friends among people who already don’t like the way he treated the last woman he faced in a primary.

natesilver: He has sometimes tried to act like he was the OG Democratic Socialist and she’s stepping on his turf, which I don’t think is a particularly compelling message either.

julia_azari: One thing I want to note about Warren and Sanders is how we (media, voters, everyone) understand what goes on within parties in a nomination contest. Because you essentially have two people competing who have somewhat different approaches to their shared ideological lane ... It’s kind of remarkable that we’re seeing public contestation at this level — not just between factions but within them.

Warren's base are Hillary supporters?

It occurred to me. looking through the polls, that the demographic that most strongly supports Elizabeth Warren - older white college educated women, is the same group that identified most strongly with Hillary in 2008, and 2016. By way of contrast, Bernie's base is young non college graduate men. This is not Tump's base, by the way, which skews strongly towards older voters.

Sanders and Warren voters have astonishingly little in common
https://www.politico.com/story/2019/07/12/sanders-warren-voters-2020-1408548

Elizabeth, like Hillary, is a policy wonk with a strong commitment to women's issues. Warrens signature wealth tax is tied to universal childcare, pre-k, tuition free public college and student loan forgiveness. She may not wear her feminism on her sleeve, but Warren lives it. After town halls she is known for telling little girls "I am running for to be president because that's what girl's do".

And there's one more thing. Warren is a party loyalist. Despite a long friendship with Bernie Sanders that began before she entered politics, she announced for Hillary as soon as Sanders' path to the nomination became mathematically impossible. At the DNC Convention Warren was seated next to Chelsea Clinton, applauding Bill as enthusiastically as anyone else.

If this reasoning is correct, there is a huge divide between Sanders and Warren's candidacies, whatever their policy similarities. If Elizabeth's campaign falters, her base won't be feeling the bern.
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