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Curky

Curky's Journal
Curky's Journal
July 4, 2019

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July 3, 2019

Conflict of interest in Iowa poll where Warren leads Biden

An Iowa poll finds Elizabeth Warren leaving Joe Biden by 3%.
The poll was conducted for Focus on Rural America, a renewable fuel PAC owned by Patty Judge, who appears to be in Elizabeth Warren supporter:

A few weeks ago, Ms.Judge and Warren toured a facility together, and Judge praised and appeared to endorse Warren:

“Candidates need to engage meaningfully with rural Americans, and Senator Warren has shown that she is serious about winning back voters lost to Trump.


http://www.focusonruralamerica.com/2019/06/13/warren-judge-tour-ethanol-plant/

Today she praised Warren again:

“I’m excited to see Iowans closely followed the first debate and will continue to work with the candidates to ensure they are engaging rural Americans in a meaningful way,” said Focus on Rural America Chair Lt. Governor Patty Judge. “Our poll shows that Iowans are paying attention and that they are prioritizing someone who can win rural America, because that’s what it will take to beat President Trump.”

http://www.focusonruralamerica.com/2019/07/03/july-2019-poll-results/

This is not what an unbiased pollster does.
July 1, 2019

First African American woman Senator: Kamala's attack on Biden "sad"

“We can be proud of her nonetheless, but her ambition got it wrong about Joe,” said former Illinois Sen. Carol Moseley Braun, the first African American woman to serve in the Senate who has endorsed Biden in the 2020 primary. “He is about the best there is; for her to take that tack is sad.”


https://www.politico.com/story/2019/06/30/kamala-harris-joe-biden-2020-1391212

July 1, 2019

What is Kamala Harris' plan on health care?

For those considering switching candidates to Kamala Harris, it would be helpful to know if she backs Medicare for All, a public option, or other.
Let's answer that question.

June 30, 2019

New narrative-busting HarrisX poll: Joe Biden's lead goes from 12% to 14% after debates

If you go to the 538 website, you will find the latest HarrisX poll in which Kamala Harris support increased significantly, but Joe Biden's lead over Bernie Sanders actually went up a bit after the debate.
if the narrative that Biden was horrible and Bernie Sanders did okay we're true, then the gap between Biden and Sanders would have narrowed. It didn't.
Importantly, Biden now has 28% total first-choice of voters compared to 27% before the debates.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

June 30, 2019

Morning Consult has some explaining to do

While the media reporting that Joe Biden lost 10% after the debate, Nate Silver quietly released two different Morning Consult polls conducted the exact same days (June 27-28), with the exact same methodology (LV) showing Joe Biden with 33% in one poll and 32% in the other.
Could it be that the debate cost Joe Biden 1%% and not 10%?

Morning Consult and Nate Silver (who are partnering together) are decent and very professional people, but they need to explain what the hell is going on a especially since the whole country is relying on just this one pollster at this point.






https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

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Member since: Fri Jun 28, 2019, 02:47 PM
Number of posts: 45
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