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Claustrum

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Profile Information

Gender: Male
Current location: New York
Member since: Fri Mar 6, 2020, 04:33 PM
Number of posts: 2,412

Journal Archives

2021 (2)
- January (2)
2020 (42)
- November (5)
- October (27)
- September (7)
- May (1)
- April (2)

My Trumper parents just asked me to delete their facebook and whatsapp accounts.

I guess Facebook can finally die now that they pissed democrats off months/years ago and the Trumpers now.

Posted by Claustrum | Tue Jan 12, 2021, 02:31 PM (27 replies)

If we get both GA seats, who will be the senior and junior senator from GA?

Would they be swore in at the same time?

Posted by Claustrum | Tue Jan 5, 2021, 11:46 PM (14 replies)

When is the last time we heard about Hunter Biden? Nope.

Yeah. It's the 120k COVID cases new single day record that would magically disappear after Nov. 3rd. LOL

Posted by Claustrum | Fri Nov 6, 2020, 01:21 PM (4 replies)

Clayton (GA) will report it's remaining 5.7k votes at midnight EST.

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1324539500060676096

Nate Cohn: That will be enough for Biden to take the lead.

Posted by Claustrum | Thu Nov 5, 2020, 10:01 PM (7 replies)

Biden wins new batch of ballots in PA by 50 points

Biden needs about 22 points lead for the rest of the ballots to overtake Trump's lead.

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324179823565131777

Biden's won those ballots by ~50 points, not 40.

https://twitter.com/ryanmatsumoto1/status/1324169165763043328

PENNSYLVANIA MATH:

Trump +195,953 votes
6,277,135 votes reporting
~88% estimated vote reporting
~855,973 votes remaining
Biden must win remaining votes 525,963 to 330,010.
Biden must win remaining ballots 61% - 39%.

Biden is favored. Mail ballots are HEAVILY D.

Posted by Claustrum | Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:05 PM (6 replies)

Lets put this in perspective. It's historically very hard to win against an incumbent.

Yes, we didn't get the landslide we wanted. But Biden is going to win as a challenger. Trump is going down in history as one of the very few 1 term presidents.

Posted by Claustrum | Wed Nov 4, 2020, 03:19 PM (9 replies)

Warnock (GA runoff) will be a very expensive race if we are at 49/50 for senate

Posted by Claustrum | Wed Nov 4, 2020, 01:32 AM (0 replies)

I don't get the talking heads talking point about the 7.9 GDP growth

Yes, that's a good number. But you don't get to claim victory without looking at why we get that kind of number. It's because the economy went into the dump and a lot of business had to close down (some temporary, some permanent). So I don't see how this is a win for Trump.

Posted by Claustrum | Thu Oct 29, 2020, 08:02 AM (18 replies)

Anyone has any idea about NY-11 Max Rose chance (Staten Island/south Brooklyn district)

There is still no polling for NY-11 this cycle. There were only 2 polls back in 2018.

My assumption is the house seat will go to the party that wins on the presidential level.

Have anyone heard anything about this race? Or if someone has a different view on this race?

Posted by Claustrum | Sat Oct 24, 2020, 05:21 PM (63 replies)

Sigh... When MSNBC shows a poll and Bill Krystal is the one to point out to use average rather

than any one poll.......

MSNBC, do better please....

Edit: Please don't cherry pick a poll for your horse race narrative. Use averages please.

Posted by Claustrum | Sat Oct 24, 2020, 03:35 PM (10 replies)

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