that he was forced to post a disclaimer.

Disclaimer: as has always been the case, the personal judgments offered by this account regarding election results are not official race "calls" and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Cook Political Report, NBC News or any other entity.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1591089618988175362


I've seen enough: Sen. Mark Kelly (D) wins reelection in #AZSEN, defeating Blake Masters (R).

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1590944022939717633

extending her lead to 1136. He is not calling the race yet but well....



Now that #CO03 Rep. Lauren Boebert (R) has expanded her lead over Adam Frisch (D) to 1,136 votes with additional ballots counted in blue-leaning Pueblo County, much tougher to see her losing.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1590925908671492096

she will be ahead out of the 84k votes that's expected to be counted.


First Clark dump of only 14K new ballots and CCM reduces statewide deficit to 18K.

Ds have to love first dump, gaining 5K out of first 14K ballots, with 65 percent to 30 percent spread.

That's first 14K of 84K in Clark.

If margins continue like that, she will be ahead.

IF.

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590527993880797185?cxt=HHwWgoCjiZKy2JIsAAAA

So there will be roughly 145k more votes. Ralston said the democratic party wanted it to be in the 100k+ range from the drop boxes. So we are probably a bit short. It will be a close one depending on the mail in ballots that will be coming in throughout the week.




Also, as
@s_golonka
reminds me, there are 4K more that went into Washoe today, so the total is 61K there and 145K overall.

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590505896202813440?cxt=HHwWgICqxfGrzpIsAAAA

Assuming he will be talking about the mid term.

Here's the math, folks:
If there are 100K mail ballots left in Clark, which would make sense based on turnout there, and the Dems win by the 2-to-1 margin they have so far, CCM could come back to win. More uphill for Sisolak but he's not quite dead yet.

Also: 16K mail in Washoe.

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590282186791321601?cxt=HHwWgoCgxaTO6JEsAAAA

part of it is because of the student loan debt relief program. I was on the fence with the program but Biden once again proves that he knows the electorate more than a lot of us. Once again, trust Biden. He and his team knows his stuff.

He forgot he should have called his real name LOL

Everyone who were worried don't have to anymore. I was confident she would win.

Rating change: in the wake of Mary Peltola's (D) defeat of Sarah Palin (R),
@CookPolitical will be moving #AKAL's November rating from Likely R to Toss Up.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1565139327201542145



Interesting, I would have thought it would be lean R. I think if Palin is 3rd, the other republican would win this seat easily.