November 15, 2022

CA13: Dems take the lead!!

Adam Gray now leads 50.4-49.6

We watched with agony as the Arizona red shift destroyed our hopes. Here comes the California blue shift to restore some optimism!

November 13, 2022

(US House)Dems path to victory in tweets

https://twitter.com/GalenMetzger1/status/1591691815656501248?s=20

https://twitter.com/GalenMetzger1/status/1591691823365640193?s=20

https://twitter.com/GalenMetzger1/status/1591691825290809344?s=20

November 13, 2022

Does anybody actually think there's any shot at NY22?

It’s super close but hasn’t really changed much the last few days with the Republican ahead. Why hasn’t it been called?

November 13, 2022

Will Dems win the House?!

November 13, 2022

MSNBC house projection now 216-219 R.

Getting better and better!


LFG!!!


https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/amp/live-blog/rcna52821

November 12, 2022

Great chart by Nate Cohn at NYT

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/12/upshot/tracking-house-results-midterms.html

It shows Rs winning 219-216 if Mail trends hold.

But I think if mail trends replicate past late arriving returns in California, and they stay the same elsewhere, Dems will take the House.

November 12, 2022

Crucify me if I'm wrong but I don't think GOP wins house

At this point Republicans seem to need a NY type sweep of the California seats from the millions of late ballots.

I just don’t think that is going to happen.

November 10, 2022

Am I blind or...

Does the NYTimes have Dems leading or winning in 219 districts? I know CA41 they show the dem leading even though Calvert just slightly pulled ahead. Are there races they have not updated or something or am I just crazy?

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-house.html

November 10, 2022

Media still hasn't called at least 3 D races that Dem V Dem

They have not called these races for either party towards the balance of power.

There is absolutely zero chance that Republicans could win those seats because there is not a Republican in the race.

November 9, 2022

If Dems keep the house and Senate

… this will be the 3rd straight national election Republicans lost in a row since they elected that red turd!