The Coxswain
The Coxswain's JournalVoting for me was a walk in the Park.
Because that is where the Ballot Box is.
In a Children's park. My daughter gets to play on the swing. I get to vote with ZERO line. And Kids watch democracy in action. This is fantastic .. Someday I hope it is this easy to vote in every single place in America
Its a travesty that people don't have equal access to ballot box and are having to stand in long lines in some places
As Local News Dies, a Pay-for-Play Network Rises in Its Place
'A nationwide operation of 1,300 local sites publishes coverage that is ordered up by Republican groups and corporate P.R. firms.'https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/18/technology/timpone-local-news-metric-media.html
Angela Underwood, a freelance reporter in upstate New York, took the $22 assignment over email. She contacted the spokesman for Senator Susan Collins, the Republican opponent, and wrote an article on his accusations that Ms. Gideon was two-faced for criticizing shadowy political groups and then accepting their help.
The short article was published on Maine Business Daily, a seemingly run-of-the-mill news website, under the headline “Sen. Collins camp says House Speaker Gideon’s actions are hypocritical.” It extensively quoted Ms. Collins’s spokesman but had no comment from Ms. Gideon’s campaign.
Then Ms. Underwood received another email: The “client” who had ordered up the article, her editor said, wanted it to add more detail.
Another Item for the next congress - fund independent local jouranalism .
Why is QAnon getting mindshare?
Lyndon Johnson once spread the rumor that his opponent was a pig fucker. When confronted with the fact that it was false.. LBJ responded that he knew it was a lie- but he just wanted to hear his opponent deny it publicly.
It is this guilt through insinuation.. that makes suspicious people think that there might be something more to a ridiculous proposition.
QAnon is our pig fucker moment and it is a thousand times worse as scores of dummies believe that shite due to the power of the internet. They become unwitting agents for the propagation of obvious lies. Yet others like Trump are too happy to help keep it going and reap the benefits..
This is a serious problem that is going to be a problem well beyond this election cycle.
What can be done legislatively about this?
Watch "The Trial of the Chicago 7" on Netflix ..
What a fantastic movie .. and scary how we are headed in that direction...
Where has that generation gone .. we (Gen X) are so self involved in comparison
Iam eagerly waiting to make a sticker with these words after Nov 3rd..
TRUMP VOTER?
FUCK YOUR FEELINGS
Diane Fienstein is really beginning to bother me ..
I thinking her hug of Lindsey was a planned move ..just as her making wrong noises about filibuster when President Obama called it a relic of slavery...
What is her angle?
Is this the result of some internal squabble with Schumer that we don't know about. EVEN if she lost some power struggle - does she forget who is she supposed to be fighting for?
I can give somewhat of a pass to Andrew Yang .. though I really think he partly chose to fire those shots to soften her up for the upcoming fight for speaker's role and get a more progressive champion.
But what is Diane's Axe?
Regarding Trump's probability of winning..
That is roughly one in 1 in 8
But it is not that simple .
For example consider the following
1) Pick a ball randomly from an urn with 8 balls of which one ball is of different color
2) Flip a coins 3 times in a row
Picking the odd ball in experiment 1) and landing 3 consecutive heads roughly has the same probability as Trump being elected
Or is it?
Does the probability really reflect Trump's chances of winning. Or does it reflect out lack of certainty in knowing the future using the tools of statistics..
But deep down I think this approach is a bit generous to Trump. Given the state of the race Trump will be very happy to take these odds in a betting match and Biden would not..
Consider the following through experiment .. if the race were truly 1 in 8 .... Say we offered the choice to scrap the election and
use experiment 1) or 2) to determine the next president ...I am willing to wager $1000 that Biden would choose elections and Trump would choose the game. ( Even after assuming Biden's choice is purely driven by his personal estimate and not social responsibility )
Because deep down - Trump knows he is Fucked and would be thrilled with 1 in 8 shot if he could take it
Bottom line - we got this.
Roll a 8 sided dice ..
Right now Trump has 1 in 8 of winning the Electoral college per 538
pick a number for Trump and roll the dice
https://www.google.com/search?q=8+sided+dice&oq=8+s&aqs=chrome.1.69i57j35i19i39j0j46j69i60j69i61j69i60j69i65.3384j1j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
This is scary.
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Member since: Tue Aug 25, 2020, 06:26 AMNumber of posts: 744
