WSHazel
WSHazel's JournalDon't let the media or Republicans dictate the story
There are a flood of bad polls being released showing a tightening race. This is blatant manipulation to try to change the story and set the news cycle.
Clear out the riff raff and focus on polls by respected organizations like the national news organizations (yes, including Fox), and respected polling services like Monmouth, Marist, Quinnipiac, Suffolk, PPP, SurveyUSA, and even Ipsos and IBD. There are maybe 15 polling services that matter. The rest of them, like Rasmussen, are trolling us.
Biden has about a 10 point national lead. He has leads of almost 10 points in NE-2, Wisconsin and Michigan, and about 6-7 points in Pennsylvania. He is up about 4-5 in Arizona, Florida and ME-2, and up 1-2 points in Georgia and North Carolina. Texas, Ohio and Iowa are tied.
Biden needs to win 38 EVs out of that pile. Trump needs to win 145. And even calling Wisconsin, Michigan and NE-2 "swing" states is a misnomer. South Carolina, Montana, Kansas and Alaska will be narrower victories for Trump than NE-2, Wisconsin and Michigan will be for Biden.
Most of the votes have already been cast in every one of those states but Pennsylvania. The race isn't tightening, it is almost over.
If you are still freaking out, volunteer to call and or text swing state voters to GOTV. Volunteer to help with local races. There has to be a close State Rep or State Senate race near you. Whatever you do, don't listen to hacks like Steve Kornacki spin a story that the race is "tightening".
What is the site that shows the early voting by state?
I think I accidentally deleted the link.
Biden is going to win, but if you want something to be afraid of this election
focus on the down ticket races, ESPECIALLY in the state houses.
https://www.usatoday.com/in-depth/news/politics/elections/2020/08/17/election-2020-key-states-could-swing-democrats-republicans/3298836001/
If the Democrats get control of the state houses in Florida, Texas, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Arizona and Michigan, they can make a lot of positive change in a lot of people's lives. They would also control reapportionment, which could move 50+ house seats from red to blue. Imagine if Pelosi or the next Speaker did not have to protect 40 swing seats, but could actually run a progressive agenda.
That is what you should worry about. Don't just focus on Biden's lead in your state, because odds are high that somewhere on your ballot is a Democrat in a dogfight. Every single vote will matter.
Trump skipping virtual debate is an empty threat
Biden will show up regardless, and Trump can't have Biden there by himself. Trump will try to cancel the debate, but if that doesn't work, he will be there.
Trump's Nero Decrees
There will be many of them in the next 3 and a half months. Breaking off stimulus was certainly not the last one. Trump's Fed Chair is begging for stimulus, and Trump prefers to let us burn.
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/06/fed-chair-powell-relief-economy-426793
I can tell you who is freaking out right now
Whichever Russians loaned Trump $1.1 billion to launder through his crappy golf courses. Not a clear path to get that money back with Trump at Walter Reed.
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Member since: Wed Sep 23, 2020, 11:36 AMNumber of posts: 159
