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DemocracyWins

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Member since: Mon Oct 5, 2020, 02:05 PM
Number of posts: 227

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Good news from Dave Wasserman about FL



https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1314928887806267392

Which states would be a surprised on election night that would flip?

To me Ohio would be number 1, since Trump won that state by 10 points in 2016. Than I would say Iowa, Texas, Georgia, and Florida in that order.

Trump is down by 9 points

and I don't think that is going to change very much going into election day. So why have any more debates, this has been the stable presidential race in American history. People have already made up their minds and voting has already started.

This might be the last debate before the election

I doubt the other two debates are going to happen with Captain Covid still positive.

This debate didn't change the direction of the race

which means full speed towards a Biden landslide.

538 House forecast just released we are heavily favored to keep the house

no surprise but its nice to see a reputable polling firm confirm this

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/house/

Biden now has a 83% chance of winning according to 538

A slew of great polls for Biden yesterday, I wouldn't be surprised if Biden's chance of winning goes up to 90% by election day.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

Does Emerson have GOP bias?

They have been the only quality poll showing a close race in the battle ground states. 538 really need to bump their rating down if they turn out to be wrong on election day.

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1313638241686482950

I just voted by mail

And it felt good, voted for Joe and all down ballot Democrats and dropped it at my local borough election drop box. I wasted no time like I usually do in previous elections as soon as I got my ballot, mailed it in the next day.

I can't wait to hear "Trump has called Joe Biden to concede" on election night

of course this could be a dream to expect Trump calling to concede but I predict the election will so much of a landslide he will have no choice.
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