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AnrothElf

AnrothElf's Journal
AnrothElf's Journal
March 9, 2024

Inside A Secret Society Of Prominent Right-Wing Christian Men Prepping For A 'National Divorce'

By Josh Kovensky

A secret, men-only right-wing society with members in influential positions around the country is on a crusade: to recruit a Christian government that will form after the right achieves regime change in the United States, potentially via a “national divorce.”

It sounds like the stuff of fantasy, but it’s real. The group is called the Society for American Civic Renewal (the acronym is pronounced “sacker” by its members). It is open to new recruits, provided you meet a few criteria: you are male, a “trinitarian” Christian, heterosexual, an “un-hyphenated American,” and can answer questions about Trump, the Republican Party, and Christian Nationalism in the right way. One chapter leader wrote to a prospective member that the group aimed to “secure a future for Christian families.”

It’s an uncanny mimicry of the clandestine engine that, in the right-wing’s furthest imaginings, has driven recent social changes and left them feeling isolated and under siege: a shadowy network occupying the commanding heights of business, politics, and culture, open only to a select, elite few, committed to reshaping the United States to align it with the group’s radical values.

The men TPM has identified as behind this group — and they are all men — have a few things in common. They’re all a certain kind of devout Christian traditionalist. They are white. They have means, financial and social, and are engaged in politics.

[...]

Read the rest at TPM: https://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/inside-a-secret-society-of-prominent-right-wing-christian-men-prepping-for-a-national-divorce

March 3, 2024

A new NYT/Siena poll has people freaking out again. But they shouldn't.

TL;DR: Don't just "ignore the polls"... DEBUNK THEM.

Leave it to the New York Times to stir up Democratic anxiety right before the State of the Union address, with a poll showing Trump beating Biden by five points nationally. A number of my friends sent the poll to me. Some of them are now filled with such gloom and doom that I wanted to lay out my thoughts on it plainly here for a wider audience.

It seems no matter how often I beat the drum about the polls being unreliable, premature and wrong, it doesn’t allay people’s fears enough. Talk of “ditching Biden” then ensues, which of course is not going to happen. We should just stop any discussion of it right now if we know what’s good for us.

So what about this poll? Isn’t the NYT / Siena a reliable indicator? They wouldn’t publish something that is basically false information, right?

Polls aren’t “false.” They report what people actually told the pollsters. But they can be misleading, and they are often faulty. Importantly, we shouldn’t trust any polls to be predictive of the final result when there are still more than 200 days to go till the election and a whole lot of unknowns. But let me focus in particular on this poll and what some experts on polling and methodology are saying about it. I hope you come away with the same conclusion I did: that this is some data, yes, but it’s not very reliable or useful except to make big headlines.


Read the rest: https://statuskuo.substack.com/p/status-report-about-that-poll?r=1zr8b&triedRedirect=true
February 24, 2024

In this media environment, any worthy candidate needs a front-man.

Some asshole to spout platitudes, bumper-sticker slogans, bullshit, and talking-points at whoever happens to be listening -- playing some "numbers game" without regard to anything remotely resembling strategy or even fucking tactics. Just throwing as much spaghetti at the wall as you can as fast as you can until everyone is completely exhausted.

Tell me I'm wrong.

February 24, 2024

Donald Trump spouts racist tripe like the Nazi fuck he is

From the effervescent CandyK on Mastodon. LInk embedding probably won't work, but here it is:

https://masto.ai/@lovelylovely/111985329621071520

Now if #POTUS #JoeBiden had said this racist BS it would be a 3 month story from the media.





February 17, 2024

A Russian spy, a racist, a lunatic, a failed businessman, and a rapist walk into a dive bar.

The bartender says, "You'll have to pay in advance, Mr. Trump."

February 17, 2024

GOTV strategy for Wyoming...? Trying to get a Reproductive Rights amendment by ballot initiative

Even just the campaign to attempt to get Reproductive Rights initiative on the ballot would energize us poor, sadsack Wyoming Dems! After all, we were the first state to give women the right to vote. Surely we can convince some Wyoming women to protect themselves?

In states where that campaign was successful, it's been a powerful force to GOTV. Look at Kansas and Ohio.

We're only marginally redder than those red states. What's the difference? I started to wonder. Why haven't Wyoming Dems started a similar campaign? Or maybe they have and I don't know about it? WHY DON'T I KNOW ABOUT IT, THEN?!

I did some Ducking (like Googling but using duck.com) but could find no such existing campaigns.

OK, so I thought, well... What would it take to kick such a campaign off, myself?

So I started Ducking the ballot initiative process in Wyoming... and I found this (no paywall link):

https://web.archive.org/web/20240119003644/https://www.wyomingnews.com/news/local_news/the-winding-journey-to-get-a-ballot-initiative-passed-in-wyoming/article_9dcbada6-b646-11ee-b62b-db6986f95953.html

"The last time an initiative made it from a petition to the ballot was in 1996. That’s a testament to the lengthy, complicated and expensive process."

OK. So not promising. But why? I wondered.

More Ducking... and I found this:

https://ballotpedia.org/Laws_governing_the_initiative_process_in_Wyoming

Key takeaway:

"Citizens may not initiate constitutional amendments. The Wyoming State Legislature, however, may place legislatively referred constitutional amendments on the ballot with a two-thirds majority vote of each chamber." (my emphasis)

OH.

Maybe a ballot initiative to change the law to allow citizens to initiate constitutional amendments?

Maybe not a Reproductive Rights Amendment... maybe something more narrow? A veto referendum on the abortion pills ban, maybe?

It's depressing living in such a red state, knowing that very many like-minded Dems exist here, in a state of permanent dis-empowerment. We're all spread out across this big empty state, but if we had a powerful motivating reason to be more active, we could maybe start to change this utterly corrupt state into something more purplish... like a fresh bruise.

Any fellow Wyoming Dems pickin' up what I'm puttin' down?

February 16, 2024

You wanna see a real Witch Hunt?

Look to Georgia.

February 14, 2024

Wyoming needs an abortion rights amendment.

It would galvanize Democratic voters in this state, and help win independent women.

The Democratic Party can never make a dent in Wyoming politics without provoking some unpleasantness. Wyoming needs fighting democrats, small-d and big-D, to take on this level of corruption.

January 28, 2024

Breaking: Travel bans proposed in Tennessee & Oklahoma

States would send aunts & grandmas to prison as "traffickers" for helping teens

We knew it was never going to stop with Idaho.

Tennessee Republican Rep. Jason Zachary introduced a travel ban yesterday—legislation that would make it a Class C felony to take a minor out-of-state for abortion care. That means a friend, aunt or grandmother who helps a teenager get an abortion could be sent to prison for 15 years. In Oklahoma, state Sen. Nathan Dahm introduced a similar bill that would punish anyone who helps a teen obtain care with up to 5 years in prison.

I want to be clear: When I say these laws target anyone who “helps” a teen get an abortion, I don’t just mean someone who physically takes them out of the state. You could be arrested for lending a teenager gas money, or texting them the url of an out-of-state clinic. That’s because both Tennessee’s HB1895 and Oklahoma’s SB1778 deliberately define ‘abortion trafficking’ as broadly as possible. Anyone who “recruits, harbors, or transports” a minor for the purpose of getting an abortion is guilty of ‘trafficking’.

In fact, that’s the exact issue at the center of the legal fight over Idaho’s ‘abortion trafficking’ law—which is currently blocked because a judge ruled it violated the First Amendment. An amicus brief filed by 20 Attorneys General in opposition to Idaho’s travel ban offered this example:

“A teenage girl in Moscow, Idaho, calls her aunt in Pullman, Washington, less than ten miles away, to say she is pregnant and feels she cannot safely tell her parents. If the aunt tells her niece about a clinic in Pullman that offers abortion care and counseling, is that ‘recruitment’? What if the aunt texts her niece a web link to the clinic’s informational material? Or if the niece books an appointment and the clinic’s office manager emails her a preappointment information sheet? If the aunt pays for her niece’s bus ticket to Pullman, is that ‘transportation’—or, as the Idaho law would have it, ‘trafficking’?”

[...]

Read more: https://jessica.substack.com/p/breaking-travel-bans-proposed-in

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