October 7, 2023

NY Times: 2 Families got sick of their states' politics. So they moved out. (No paywall)

Two Families Got Fed Up With Their States’ Politics. So They Moved Out.


"Americans are increasingly fracturing as a people, and some are taking the extraordinary step of moving to escape a political or social climate they abhor. Democrats have left Iowa, Texas and other red states as Republicans have moved out of California, Oregon and other blue states, often over their views on issues like abortion, transgender rights, school curriculums, guns, race and a host of other matters.

While there is no precise count of how many Americans have relocated because of politics and social issues, interviews with demographers and people who have moved or are considering moving, as well as a review of social-media postings and polling, show the phenomenon is real."


https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/07/us/politics/politics-states-moving.html?unlocked_article_code=2pdmGXli118TYCcPz39EuPt1tdetujmGfvFYQyO_GFj-bFvr2geKbKJVuGnBqHs8YjBE6W-MKsPkAkLt_Ivqp5COsyZN5vzE0XFPFRCnLh_7nV1mkrvHsqIXGkL-5Wh5OO1DD7ZJsAsrT9tczUAABStYbQRQE2muzPEfBPYaI6QTXcF49bq46xHnl42X-KcRYh3iiEf_wiGGlLMsqSFe16X5bGpaboIaaXDtUgQK-EfyCCVcNyUnUsb0CiSStN_iBbJFrgrWGP_KdwHeFxUxmo_FBj2Cnf-ontvQONIiooVdl7ZRKyNOHoXWNdveNZ4ghiyikXW-6g1qZJK5ELbWuyPbCzw&smid=nytcore-android-share


I looked it up. Oddly, MO ranks quite high for rate of violent crime per 100000. Alaska is tops. Although DC would be if it were a state. Oregon ranks pretty low for violent crime. Of course it depends on the neighborhood.

We seriously thought about moving from CT to SC, but the weather was the main motivator. Our next door neighbors are right wing. We have kind of an unspoken agreement just to avoid politics. CT is pretty congenial politically of course.

October 6, 2023

Patron Autumn

https://twitter.com/PatronDsns/status/1709624519214662081

October 6, 2023

Tfg endorses gym jordan.

I don't know why I'm putting this up. Who cares? its late at night and I can't sleep.
CNN:


October 4, 2023.
CNN
—
Former President Donald Trump endorsed Ohio Rep. Jim Jordan’s bid for speaker of the House Friday.

In a post on Truth Social shortly after midnight, Trump said Jordan “will be a GREAT Speaker of the House, & has my Complete & Total Endorsement!”

Trump’s intervention into the race came after he expressed openness to temporarily serving in the role himself and, per a source familiar with discussions, considered a visit to Capitol Hill to speak with Republicans in the coming days as they weigh a new speaker.


The former president is not expected to go to Capitol Hill, a source close to Trump said Thursday night. The Messenger first reported the internal discussions on a potential trip.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/05/politics/trump-considering-capitol-hill-visit-speaker/index.html

October 5, 2023

Today in Ukraine

https://twitter.com/fpleitgenCNN/status/1710000153933828113

https://twitter.com/fpleitgenCNN/status/1710000168341225703

October 4, 2023

Apparently the russian black sea fleet is pulling out of Sevastopol

https://twitter.com/clashreport/status/1709463466874982723

I wonder if the NY Times covers this story.


On a personal note: I think I need to take a break from posting about the war for a while. I get depressed thinking about all the horror. I don't know....

October 2, 2023

Ukraine has encountered a large trench complex SW of Robotyne causing a delay in the offensive

This from last night's Institute for the Study of War report:

"Russian forces are conducting tactical counterattacks in the Robotyne area as part of their elastic defense against ongoing Ukrainian offensive operations in western Zaporizhia Oblast. The situation south of Robotyne is fluid as some tactically significant field fortifications have changed hands several times. Geolocated footage posted on September 30 shows Ukrainian forces striking Russian troops trying to enter a trench system about 1km southwest of Robotyne near the T0408 Robotyne—Tokmak road.[1] Footage posted on September 13 shows that Ukrainian forces had previously occupied segments of this trench and thus appear to have lost it to Russian counterattacks between September 13 and 30.[2] ISW has recoded this area from Ukraine's counteroffensive to Russian advances.

A Ukrainian soldier analyzed the footage of the area and noted that the aforementioned Russian-controlled trench is a strongpoint in an interconnected system of trenches, firing systems, and dugouts that lie between Robotyne and Novoprokopivka.[3] The Ukrainian soldier noted that the trenches are connected by underground tunnel-like structures and that Russian forces are prioritizing the defense of these positions, which have tactical significance in the area between Robotyne and Novoprokopivka.[4] Geolocated footage posted on October 1 shows Russian forces striking a Ukrainian vehicle just south of the middle of the three trenches and about 1km west of the easternmost trench in the system, suggesting that Ukrainian forces control the easternmost trench and are attempting to push westward to recapture the remaining two trenches and connected dugouts and firing positions.[5] Commercially available satellite imagery indicates that Russian forces destroyed this vehicle between September 25 and 28, indicating that Russian forces repelled a Ukrainian attack and reconsolidated Russian positions near the trench systems in late September. The reported continued presence of Russian forces in the western and central trenches suggests that Russian forces have been conducting successful limited tactical counterattacks south of Robotyne and that the tactical situation in this area is complex and dynamic."

The numbers of Russian casualties Ukraine lists each day has been down the last 3 or 4 days. This may reflect a pause while Ukraine regroup. I suspect the US answer would be a bunker buster bomb. Don't know what Ukraine will do.
Awaiting developments. Hoping there will be an answer soon.

October 1, 2023

NY Times: Why We Can't Stop Illegal Immigration? Because It Works! (No paywall)

Migrants, employers and government all conspire to evade harsh immigration laws. Because America needs the workers!


"There is one more reason the problem of unauthorized immigration has become so intractable. Over the past 20 years, incendiary rhetoric about migrants has become a powerful and popular political tool, and many elected officials now or recently in office have built their careers by wooing voters with such rhetoric. This path to power makes it difficult for them to compromise on any issue related to immigration, no matter how rational such flexibility might be given the facts of global migration and the demands of American businesses and consumers. For many of these politicians, blocking all or nearly all immigration to the United States is a top priority.

And though the Biden administration and congressional Democrats have cast themselves as more realistic on matters of global migration, they are also unlikely to spearhead much significant reform. Over the past three years, they have prioritized objectives that affect a larger portion of the electorate, like infrastructure and education bills. This also makes sense. Most voters, even Latino voters, rank immigration below the economy, education, gun policy and health care as a top concern. By definition, voters are already citizens. For most of them, rationalizing our immigration system is not a bread-and-butter issue.

Democrats like to blame Republicans for their own inaction on reform, but that’s only part of the story. The day Biden took the oath of office, his administration introduced a plan for comprehensive immigration reform, one designed to secure the borders, keep communities safe and “better manage migration across the Hemisphere.” Legislation based on that plan was introduced in the House weeks later as the U.S. Citizenship Act of 2021, with 80 co-sponsors. The Oval Office, the Senate and the House were all under Democratic control. But the act died in subcommittee, along with several more modest immigration bills.

The only immigration policies that Congress can bring itself to enact, it seems, are funding more border security and ICE raids. But these actions alone will never fix America’s immigration problems. No matter what anyone says on Capitol Hill, migrants know that if they can just make it inside the United States, they will find relative safety — and plenty of work."



Why Can’t We Stop Unauthorized Immigration? Because It Works. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/01/magazine/economy-illegal-immigration.html?unlocked_article_code=_uG3S7KdEI3XI_bfTJ5LJCbdHgsEJSMFgl71tS4wxFh2Yb5WwIRSCN5YMcYCuQmjk7cKpBYvJ4gSIe8E41CA3L6pz9az2U2q06i1zRR8UUCxFTk04mYh7OQ-bjdj0KGtZ6TukoxxVu2i_GMzILbQrYSQFz74oNn9wPnV5U96dwdBtGXFiyCh1VHbqYhhmlmxQe8BqzA8Lfwmx_x8n5GcVlRTSNjfmW-UcVjzqtQiqdmDkqLtZuLxF0btlcbv23iJfaw9LuyeesSGw3KMSnzN7SAN7I5HF4kGHTCYi0uvSvz-XuSfGH_vDnKw5mRZd3h9JysYUDj-SDC7NJML0j9_jAckeQSX6Q&smid=nytcore-android-share

October 1, 2023

Video of sapper Patron at the front!

https://twitter.com/PatronDsns/status/1708147419240665517

October 1, 2023

The Daily Kos on the current state of the war in Ukraine

"Regardless of whether you see the Ukrainian counteroffensive as promising or disheartening, one thing is abundantly clear: Ukraine and Russia are locked in a battle of attrition, drawing comparisons to World War I.

If we must compare World War I to the Russo-Ukrainian War, it is helpful to remember two things:



Ukraine Update: Data shows Ukraine is laying down the heaviest firestorm of artillery in the war

World War I ended in a decisive Allied victory, not in an inconclusive stalemate; and
World War I ended in four years and 106 days, compared to World War II, which lasted six years and one day.
I’ve written this before, but battles of attrition do not imply endless stalemates, or endless deadlocks. They most certainly do not imply wars without end. And one of the most decisive battles of attrition ever fought was the Allies’ gradual and grinding efforts to wear down German defenses around Normandy in late summer 1944, during World War II, before steamrolling the Germans all the way through France."

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/9/30/2196246/-Ukraine-Update-Data-shows-Ukraine-is-laying-down-the-heaviest-firestorm-of-artillery-in-the-war


Ukraine is making a great deal of progress, just not the kind you can see on a map. Yet.

September 28, 2023

The situation in Ukraine: Operational silence holds.

Ukraine is saying little and even Russian military commentators have little to say. Except they do say this: Ukraine has been firing an enormous volume of artillery shells along the Robotyne-Verbove main line of advance and the shelling has also reached the russian rear in the city of Tokmak and other nearby villages. The russians describe a volume of Ukranian shelling not seen before in the War. "Apocolyptic volume" Of shelling
Several experts I have some regard for agree this all is a prelude to a major push. There are reports Ukraine has moved reserve brigades close to the Robotyne front. The thought is that the shelling will attrite the russian forces in the area. But when the push by Ukraine forces will come: no one knows.
Waiting and hoping.🙏🙏🙏