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Tomconroy's Journal
Tomconroy's Journal
October 25, 2022

A few of my thoughts about Ukraine

I've been a loud mouth about this cause. I actually left this site for a while because I knew if I expressed my strong disagreements with the Biden administration policy I would be banned. But now, as some democrats align themselves with Putin and trump I'd like to say a few things.
1. I wanted Ukraine to negotiate back in March when Ukraine was negotiating. Then we found out about Bucha.
2. All wars do not end with negotiations. The Civil War and WW II did not.
3. Ukraine will not start WW III. Ukraine has no nuclear weapons to launch at Russia. It has no control over what Russia will do. If Russia launches nuclear weapons in Ukraine it will be up to the West to respond or more specifically the US or more specifically Joe Biden. Ukraine has no control over that response, if there is one. Ukraine will continue to fight even if Putin uses nuclear weapons or other wmd.
4. The war will end sooner if the West provides more and better weapons to Ukraine: tanks, ACATMS shells, F16s. But if the West chooses not to do that Ukraine will continue to fight.
5. If you agree with any of the above write your congress person and say so. You can make a difference. I owe Rosa DeLauro another letter

October 24, 2022

NY Times: 'Appalling' scores on national exams show devastating toll of Covid on students

U.S. students in most states and across almost all demographic groups have experienced troubling setbacks in both math and reading, according to an authoritative national exam released on Monday, offering the most definitive indictment yet of the pandemic’s impact on millions of schoolchildren.

In math, the results were especially devastating, representing the steepest declines ever recorded on the National Assessment of Educational Progress, known as the nation’s report card, which tests a broad sampling of fourth and eighth graders and dates to the early 1990s.

In the test’s first results since the pandemic began, math scores for eighth graders fell in nearly every state. A meager 26 percent of eighth graders were proficient, down from 34 percent in 2019.

Fourth graders fared only slightly better, with declines in 41 states. Just 36 percent of fourth graders were proficient in math, down from 41 percent.

Math Scores Fell in Nearly Every State, and Reading Dipped on National Exam https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/24/us/math-reading-scores-pandemic.html?unlocked_article_code=AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAACEIPuonUktbfqYhlSFUZBybIRp8ipwGGwOLCybA9gHC7NyOSUztZivwcBYSN_kbGI6p_Yt95lxKqeOh8Cp59Dvpj0r0YeEV3VwijppbDlMQMKSw4oo_2Bmlr1NeQDb0ztDWzNDP8de0gnLaz4xvWOTHqS7WfhSN6XHttppFvc1Cu3XAalOySQqMuhI4Ijbp2DYt6RDwAeCGIo_Lubh10M9yAZRzfgRIkD6AbAXqA2I7BtM9TNVlaGlnET3hg4W4j6d06ONIfPav3KhVIa9Mg89AxRFiqXZ1YwXwihcYG

October 22, 2022

Daily Kos update on Russia fleeing Kherson Province:

The situation appears to be rapidly changing.

Ukraine update: In Kherson 'organized withdrawal of troops of the first line is impossible'
Image of Mark Sumner, author
by Mark Sumner
Daily Kos Staff
Saturday, October 22, 2022 at 4:02:11p EDT

Over the course of the day, these withdrawals appear to have become evident on the front lines. There are multiple reports of abandoned Russian positions, some of which have even been confirmed by the Ukrainian general staff (which is usually reluctant to report anything happening near the actual front line). It’s possible that the front line in Kherson is simply collapsing. That may be particularly true if those reports that the line has been replaced by inexperienced and recently mobilized troops. As soon as those guys no longer had someone holding a gun to their back, running away likely seemed like a Real Good Thing.

Ferries are reportedly doing frequent and rapid trips across the river on Saturday night in Ukraine, with Russians hoping to get as much across they can, while keeping an eye out for incoming HIMARS fire.

As Wagner Group Telegram channel GrayZone puts it: “The situation is even worse than in the Kharkiv region after the breakthrough to Balakliya. In fact, the implementation of an organized withdrawal of troops of the first line is impossible.”

GrayZone worked this into a lengthy post that included such stirring phrases as “a tale of the city of the Scythian sun has not yet sounded in our ears, but the air has already been saturated with a familiar unpleasant aftertaste that leaves a lump in the throat.” That could be Google Translate straining at the seams. Or a lot of vodka. In any case, they also took this opportunity to complain about Russian leadership wasting drones on civilian targets, and to metaphorically roll their eyes at the scheme to blow the Nova Kakhovka dam then blame it on Ukraine. Because nobody, not even pro-Russian military bloggers, would buy that story.

Every single source now seems to expect that the end of Russian occupation in Kherson isn’t going to be measured in weeks or months. It’s a matter of days. How many days is the only question. And it’s not going to be an orderly withdrawal with Russian tanks all neatly ferried across the Dnipro. It’s going to end with Russian forces clawing, or maybe shooting, to get that last spot on board.


Profile Information

Name: Tom Conroy
Gender: Male
Home country: USA
Current location: Langley, Virginia
Member since: Sat Mar 6, 2021, 08:56 PM
Number of posts: 7,611

About Tomconroy

Member of NAFO. Living large on an enormous CIA paycheck.
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