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zipplewrath

(16,646 posts)
5. It just gets harder
Mon Aug 13, 2018, 10:48 AM
Aug 2018

The thing that worries me about all of the "blue wave" talk is that it is reminiscent of articles you see when there is a disease out break. It's all the talk at the beginning that "at current rates of transmission...". Basically you'll see arm chair analysis that suggests that everyone will be infected by some date. The problem is that disease doesn't work that way. As the number of people infected increases, more and more are just exposing themselves to the already infected. Transmission rates peak out well before "everyone" is infected. Elections don't really work that way either

It's similar in almost every industry and endeavour. Achieving something "completely" can be nearly impossible. Hotels usually have a number of rooms that equals "full occupancy" that is less than the number of rooms. Usually in low to mid 90% range. "Full employment" in this country is usually considered to be around 4% unemployment. Restaurants don't run out of food, they run out of time. Their is inefficiency and imperfection in every industry.

The number of seats needed to get a majority is a big number. It's even bigger if you consider that we may lose a few as well. It will be hard just to get that many. All this talk about "waves" is interesting, but it never seems to acknowledge that the bigger the "wave" the harder it gets to actually achieve. Republicans still vote, and there are still places that will elect a farm animal over a democrat as long as there is an "R" after their name.

Good omens MFM008 Aug 2018 #1
Yup! SkyDancer Aug 2018 #4
We all hope so obviously DFW Aug 2018 #2
Bluenami DavidDvorkin Aug 2018 #3
It just gets harder zipplewrath Aug 2018 #5
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