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Response to Are_grits_groceries (Original post)

Mon Sep 10, 2018, 11:35 AM

27. 11:00 AM Update from NWS Charleston, SC

Thursday: by late Wednesday, the forecast area looks to be situated
on the outer fringes of broad cyclonic surface flow around Hurricane
Florence. Forecast difficulty increases greatly after this point due
to uncertainty in the location and track of Florence, which will be
governed by the location and orientation of ridging. While run-to-
run consistency and agreement between models is generally
increasing, it remains too early to determine how close Florence
will get to southeast Georgia or South Carolina. Even though the
current NHC track favors a landfall location north of the forecast
area into North Carolina, it is critical to remember two facts.
First, much of the forecast area remains within the error Cone.
Second, direct impacts from a major hurricane extend well away from
the center. Keeping these in mind, it is simply too early in the
forecast process to speculate on potential saltwater inundation,
rainfall amounts, windspeeds, and associated impacts to southern
coastal South Carolina and southeast Georgia. These are all
critically dependent on the proximity to Florence. In particular, a
tight gradient in winds and rainfall will extend southwest of the
landfall location, and small deviations in the track could spell big
changes to local impacts. Confidence is increasing that coastal
impacts including strong rip currents, rough surf conditions,
coastal flooding, and beach erosion are likely.

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Arrow 27 replies Author Time Post
Are_grits_groceries Sep 2018 OP
mahina Sep 2018 #1
Are_grits_groceries Sep 2018 #3
Squinch Sep 2018 #2
Arkansas Granny Sep 2018 #4
malaise Sep 2018 #5
Rhiannon12866 Sep 2018 #6
flygal Sep 2018 #7
malaise Sep 2018 #8
lark Sep 2018 #20
Nay Sep 2018 #24
True Blue American Sep 2018 #9
calimary Sep 2018 #10
malaise Sep 2018 #11
Alliepoo Sep 2018 #12
JHan Sep 2018 #13
mcar Sep 2018 #14
KY_EnviroGuy Sep 2018 #15
BumRushDaShow Sep 2018 #16
CherokeeDem Sep 2018 #17
getagrip_already Sep 2018 #18
LiberalLoner Sep 2018 #19
Silver Gaia Sep 2018 #21
mountain grammy Sep 2018 #22
nolabear Sep 2018 #23
DemocracyMouse Sep 2018 #25
malaise Sep 2018 #26
LineNew Reply 11:00 AM Update from NWS Charleston, SC
OneBlueDotBama Sep 2018 #27
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