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Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
18. I have no idea where you are getting the idea Repubicans have no chance in the House
Fri Oct 5, 2018, 08:39 PM
Oct 2018

538 has our chances at 74.2% and other mathematical models have always been lower, in the mid to high 60s.

We need to gain two dozen seats in the House, while Republicans merely need to stay where they are to hold the senate. The models have Republicans at anywhere from 77.7% on 538 to as high as 86% elsewhere to retain the senate.

In other words, they are more likely to retain the senate than we are to take the House. IMO, that has always been the case, although 538 had it the other way for a few weeks.

Independent voters own our fate

This message was self-deleted by its author ProudLib72 Oct 2018 #1
Yes samir.g Oct 2018 #5
Who is going to lead this war? sarisataka Oct 2018 #11
It will be fought online and in every courtroom in the country ProudLib72 Oct 2018 #13
how? DetroitLegalBeagle Oct 2018 #14
I've deleted that post ProudLib72 Oct 2018 #15
That I can get fully behind DetroitLegalBeagle Oct 2018 #17
The more relevant question is, what will have happened? guillaumeb Oct 2018 #2
Democrats just didn't bother to vote again. Meadowoak Oct 2018 #6
My hope is that there will indeed be a blue wave. guillaumeb Oct 2018 #7
Mine too, but we've been disappointed, how many times? Meadowoak Oct 2018 #9
fuck trump ! stonecutter357 Oct 2018 #3
We aboslutely 100% have to win the Senate inwiththenew Oct 2018 #4
Republic of Gilead. n/t OneGrassRoot Oct 2018 #8
There is no chance they retain the house. musicblind Oct 2018 #10
I have no idea where you are getting the idea Repubicans have no chance in the House Awsi Dooger Oct 2018 #18
The formation of large scale secession movements. roamer65 Oct 2018 #12
If those movements succeed customerserviceguy Oct 2018 #19
Other states will probably go as well in this scenario. roamer65 Oct 2018 #20
I'm a recent transplant here customerserviceguy Oct 2018 #22
Hopefully it makes a difference. roamer65 Oct 2018 #23
What do you think will happen? eleny Oct 2018 #16
Football bat. LuckyCharms Oct 2018 #21
We will see Sherman A1 Oct 2018 #24
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»What will happen in the c...»Reply #18