General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Democrats rebuilt their 'blue wall' in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisc. It's a big deal for 2020 [View all]Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)Every one had a gap of 9% or less in exit poll depiction of self-identified conservatives and liberals. That is a blue state by definition. Until 2016, I had never seen a state at 9% or less in that category vote Republican.
It was a short term blip and caused primarily by neglect and poor messaging and an unpopular candidate. I wasn't worried about them.
However, that can't be said about Ohio, which suddenly went to 39% conservatives and only 20% liberals in 2016. That state is essentially gone, at least in the short term, especially since it is 80% white. Nobody should be surprised at tonight's governorship outcome in Ohio.
Iowa is even more white at 90% but also troubling in the 2016 exit poll at 40% conservatives and 23% liberals. At least that 23% liberals indicates a pulse and not abandonment. The national number in 2016 was 36% conservatives and 27% liberals.