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Response to marmar (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2018, 06:55 AM

3. None of those states had changed in ideological terms

Every one had a gap of 9% or less in exit poll depiction of self-identified conservatives and liberals. That is a blue state by definition. Until 2016, I had never seen a state at 9% or less in that category vote Republican.

It was a short term blip and caused primarily by neglect and poor messaging and an unpopular candidate. I wasn't worried about them.

However, that can't be said about Ohio, which suddenly went to 39% conservatives and only 20% liberals in 2016. That state is essentially gone, at least in the short term, especially since it is 80% white. Nobody should be surprised at tonight's governorship outcome in Ohio.

Iowa is even more white at 90% but also troubling in the 2016 exit poll at 40% conservatives and 23% liberals. At least that 23% liberals indicates a pulse and not abandonment. The national number in 2016 was 36% conservatives and 27% liberals.

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Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 30 replies Author Time Post
marmar Nov 2018 OP
Cha Nov 2018 #1
leftynyc Nov 2018 #2
LineReply None of those states had changed in ideological terms
Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #3
JI7 Nov 2018 #5
regnaD kciN Nov 2018 #6
Scarsdale Nov 2018 #12
IronLionZion Nov 2018 #9
joshcryer Nov 2018 #13
delisen Nov 2018 #30
Freddie Nov 2018 #4
RobinA Nov 2018 #21
OnDoutside Nov 2018 #7
Crutchez_CuiBono Nov 2018 #8
GoCubsGo Nov 2018 #10
RobinA Nov 2018 #23
MichMan Nov 2018 #11
watoos Nov 2018 #14
MichMan Nov 2018 #18
MrGrieves Nov 2018 #26
catbyte Nov 2018 #28
DetroitLegalBeagle Nov 2018 #29
Demovictory9 Nov 2018 #15
N_E_1 for Tennis Nov 2018 #16
2naSalit Nov 2018 #17
BumRushDaShow Nov 2018 #19
RobinA Nov 2018 #25
workinclasszero Nov 2018 #20
The Liberal Lion Nov 2018 #22
DinahMoeHum Nov 2018 #24
realmirage Nov 2018 #27
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