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Response to EffieBlack (Original post)

Sun Jan 27, 2019, 12:21 PM

64. You just used a DU polll of like 123 people to make your assesment here? Okay...

 


It remains the case that Sanders wasn't a household name until fairly late in the campaign last primary. It has become the case that his popularity among democrats is very high. Also, this time around there is no obvoius frount-runner with all the momentum of inevitability at her back.

That said, its also true that the field is way larger, and that Sanders won't be the only lefty in it if he declares. He and Warren will likely split votes. Ojeta though, is already out so his relatively small impact potential is gone, and Gabbard appears to have made the incomprehensible move of attempting to appeal to the confused middle of the country who might accept a statement about both sides being intractable(say what Gabbard...that has not been the left's problem with our party in the past), so that's not gong to get her anywhere in the primary.

But then the rest of the field will absolutely be splitting their votes. Whether Gillibrand, Booker(running?) or Harris can pull in some of those Sanders lefties given their overtures to the Sanders voters in their platforms remains to be seen, but we know there are at least 33 of them that are ripe for the picking. Snark aside though, sure, its hard to recapture lightning in a bottle. Sanders isn't going to have a machine behind him, so if small donors don't come out again for his campaign given that he's no longer an exciting emerging phenomenon this time around, he'll struggle. He's not going to be promoted daily by the media, so he will live and stall by however many people can still afford to and still have excitement and expectations enough to donate.

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LineReply You just used a DU polll of like 123 people to make your assesment here? Okay...
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