"He's a despicable human being, but he's done great things for the country. I

[Awsi Dooger]

38. We are at the mercy of how the economy is viewed in mid 2020

Everything in your list is perfect. Trump unfortunately has a very low standard to clear. Mueller is a topic here but not elsewhere.

The right track/wrong track percentage in this country has basically been miserable since the end of the Clinton years, when right track was into the low 70s. Nowadays it seldom moves above 35 or 36. During the Obama years it was as low as 11 and generally in the 20s.

Since Americans have become accustomed to such low feeling of optimism, any small period of uptick is welcome. Trump would have had no chance at re-election in 2017. But beginning on 2018 all of the related satisfaction numbers began to climb. See the link below. We need that trend to stall and reverse. By election day 2020 is too late. Opinions have long since been cemented by that point. All of the models that look at presidential results in relation to economic news indicate that summer is the critical time period. We've basically got 14 months for the economy to slow down and more importantly to already be viewed as on the downswing by the American public.

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2018/11/more-americans-think-us-right-track/574927/