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Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

15. No chance at that

Reply to msongs (Reply #11)

Fri Apr 19, 2019, 04:55 PM

Apr 2019

The reason we lost 2016 was swing independents somehow preferring Trump. The reason we won big in 2018 was swing independents turning against Trump in early 2017 and remaining there through November 2018.

That group will decide 2020. There are too many posts around here trying to pretend that Republicans are a severely declining slice of the electorate. Meanwhile in Florida last year 38% of voters self-identified as Republicans compared to 33% as Democrats. We did have a 9% advantage among independents (54-45) but it simply wasn't enough because more Republicans showed up.

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18 replies

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Highlight:

Pollster says there is a shift in independent voters' views of Mueller probe [View all] riversedge Apr 2019 OP

This is silly, elleng Apr 2019 #1

I was thinking of another word that starts with 's' n/t Strelnikov_ Apr 2019 #7

+1 Kurt V. Apr 2019 #8

This will change now that the report has been released. yardwork Apr 2019 #2

Red Don is at 37% approval, I don't think Barr's memo is going to override the Mueller report uponit7771 Apr 2019 #3

It'll change. Control-Z Apr 2019 #4

You know why? Because networks carried Barr's news conference along with nightly news... PeeJ52 Apr 2019 #5

Barr did a good job getting out in front of the release of the report and Nitram Apr 2019 #6

I don't buy it nt Sunsky Apr 2019 #9

Then how did his approval rating go down 3 points? MaryMagdaline Apr 2019 #10

if more dems would actually show up and vote, independents would be irrelevant nt msongs Apr 2019 #11

No chance at that Awsi Dooger Apr 2019 #15

"The interview was conducted before Barr released a redacted version of Mueller's long-anticipated Takket Apr 2019 #12

It's an online poll standingtall Apr 2019 #13

We've seen over the medium/long term that his numbers go down. OnDoutside Apr 2019 #14

because "Independents" are low-information flibberdigibbets. maxsolomon Apr 2019 #16

Harvard-Harris are shitty push pollers EleanorR Apr 2019 #17

There are few true independents TexasBushwhacker Apr 2019 #18