General Discussion

Downtown Hound

(12,618 posts)

12. Dubya had higher approval ratings than Trump

Mon Dec 16, 2019, 06:40 PM

Dec 2019

And the electorate was a lot different back then too. I'm not saying that Trump can't win reelection, he could. But he has a very tough road to climb. Generation X, Millennials, and Generation Z outvoted Boomers and Silents in 2018. These generations have a different set of concerns than previous ones did, such as global warming and gun control. The economy that is supposedly so great yet they can't even afford their rent is not going to be the deciding factor in their vote.

The bottom line is this: incumbent presidents tend to get in vote percentages almost exactly what their approval ratings are. That gives Trump a floor of about 40% to a high of about 46%. Those are very tough numbers to win reelection with.

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Why Trump's path to reelection is totally plausible [View all] Gothmog Dec 2019 OP

Who believes that it is a slam dunk exboyfil Dec 2019 #1

Some of the supporters of the far left candidates Gothmog Dec 2019 #3

I don't think that's a fair assessment at all. Cuthbert Allgood Dec 2019 #28

I really think that a far left candidate would help trump win and kill downballot candidates Gothmog Dec 2019 #34

The biggest voting block right now is Gen X and younger. Millennials and Gen Z are a HUGE block. Cuthbert Allgood Dec 2019 #35

Washington Post-Opinion: If the economy keeps its momentum, 2020 will be Trump's to lose Gothmog Dec 2019 #2

This is from May Fiendish Thingy Dec 2019 #26

is the economy really strong.... TrunKated Dec 2019 #4

Here's to hoping we have a plan that we don't " have to hope Trump crashes the economy " California_Republic Dec 2019 #5

Two words: Chipper Chat Dec 2019 #6

Yup Freddie Dec 2019 #10

I live in Indiana Chipper Chat Dec 2019 #20

So we need a better strategy than not going to WI at all before the election. Cuthbert Allgood Dec 2019 #29

It is foolish to assume anything about 2020 - when the other party is wholly owned and operated by dalton99a Dec 2019 #7

U.S. economy shakes free of recession fears in striking turnaround since August Gothmog Dec 2019 #8

If the economy takes a dump in the next 6 months, louis-t Dec 2019 #9

of course he can edhopper Dec 2019 #11

Dubya had higher approval ratings than Trump Downtown Hound Dec 2019 #12

Thanks for not forgetting the existence Bettie Dec 2019 #13

He could win with 46% of the popular vote, that's about what he got the doc03 Dec 2019 #14

I never said he couldn't win. Downtown Hound Dec 2019 #16

I hope so nt doc03 Dec 2019 #21

I don't think he'll 'easily' win...even with the cheating. His numbers are lower than Carter and UniteFightBack Dec 2019 #15

They both had 3rd party candidates siphoning off votes. sweetloukillbot Dec 2019 #33

As long as the economy stays good he will be reelected. Desert grandma Dec 2019 #17

I'm not buying it. We should easily defeat him. Joe941 Dec 2019 #18

President Trump's Re-Election Odds Actually IMPROVED After Being Impeached Gothmog Dec 2019 #25

I've heard that before. Cuthbert Allgood Dec 2019 #30

Simply make sure Russia doesnt change the votes and we are fine, agreed? Joe941 Dec 2019 #32

Another viewpoint Proud Liberal Dem Dec 2019 #19

I do not want a recession but a slowdown in red states could help Gothmog Dec 2019 #22

I don't want one either Proud Liberal Dem Dec 2019 #23

Presidential Race Remains a Toss Up Gothmog Dec 2019 #24

I still think he stays in office and gets re-elected* KentuckyWoman Dec 2019 #27

If a recession if the only hope... tman Dec 2019 #31